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  • #896,441
  • May 9, 2014 5:19am May 9, 2014 5:19am
[quote=honeill;7459161]
Quoting yanitsa
{quote} I agree with you, because Draghi’s dropped yesterday an unexpected bombshell that the governing council is comfortable with acting next time, speculating on an easing policy in June.
and what if they dont act next time
  • #896,442
  • May 9, 2014 5:39am May 9, 2014 5:39am
[quote=bonnzi;7459177]
Quoting honeill
{quote} and what if they dont act next time
If they don't act, then gentlemen, start your engines…!!
  • #896,443
  • Edited 5:59am May 9, 2014 5:46am | Edited 5:59am
Quoting gatorinla
i will probably close longs at/and look to s 3912/3931/no hh. the bulls made what they needed for 1.4 in this drop, so i will look for weakness on a bounce. if we make a LL now to 3819 before a bounce to wherever, it will just be more confusing for me. until bears show a hand. out of the 3102 missed, and the voided 3620,3442 #s. we did have one setup for .8xx.. (tin foil hat speculation). that one is valid. silver at 14.73 makes that one less tin foil.. 3819 w/o breaking 36xx low then a hh, and i can expand 1.4,1.4146, to 1.42xx or more.. i assume...
no bear target for me yet.. its dropped more, so that floating bounce, if one was bearish, is about 3898 ish up to tyh, if one speculates bearish. 3560 ish or less may be what is brewing in the st. that one would take out 36xx and 37xx lows. bringing up 3898 again, and what 3560 has in it,,, a bounce to 3888 may be needed.. 3888 is close to 3898. if we make a test of 3777 low, even if we break it.. a bounce to 3888 would not be a surprise before continued. if one is bearish. that bounce could be above 3888, and it may do it twice. reaching new yearly high now would void it..the bear target is nothing more then speculation and so is the bounces. pa would have to build the path. the bull path atm is still intact. breaking 3777 is what bears need to void st 1.4001 and for the possible 3560..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #896,444
  • May 9, 2014 5:48am May 9, 2014 5:48am
[quote=bonnzi;7459177]
Quoting honeill
{quote} and what if they dont act next time
can't see much of interest until US open today...unless Draghi throws some grenade in the meantime... he may announce he has booked some holidays in June for instance...some surprise from US is looming
  • #896,445
  • May 9, 2014 5:55am May 9, 2014 5:55am
retail longs above 50%

gonna close out some of shorts here around 3805-3795. add more on rally to 384
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #896,446
  • May 9, 2014 5:58am May 9, 2014 5:58am
1) ECB won't do anything in June. Its the same story "Tomorrow i'm going do it! I wont do it now, but tomorrow!"
2) Even if they do anything, what could it be? a rate cut? QE? What effect could that have in the exchange rate? unless its a huge ammount of QE (unlikely), EURO won't get affected, nevermind a 10bps rate cut that is compety irrelevant at this point. Negative rates REMOVE euros from the system. Supply and Demand anyone?
3) ECB will not weaken their currency by talk! ITS IMPOSSIBLE, IT HAS BEEN TRIED, IT DIDNT WORK. IMPOSSIBLE!

We were 9 pips below 1.40, you can't kill this trend by talking, forget about it. Only huge ammounts of QE can kill this trend or political turmoil/crisis.

Draghi, the perfect bottom maker of EURUSD since 2013.
  • #896,447
  • May 9, 2014 6:01am May 9, 2014 6:01am
Quoting Citiboy
retail longs above 50% gonna close out some of shorts here around 3805-3795. add more on rally to 384
on oanda it's 68% shorts
  • #896,448
  • May 9, 2014 6:02am May 9, 2014 6:02am
Risk on downside, key levels to watch that would check the move.

See key level that would produce an outside week.

Daily Forex Trading Outlook

Inserted Video
  • #896,449
  • May 9, 2014 6:04am May 9, 2014 6:04am
Quoting Greener
{quote} on oanda it's 68% shorts

right , i prob shouldnt use the forexfactory number
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #896,450
  • May 9, 2014 6:04am May 9, 2014 6:04am
2nd Entry triggered 1.3792
Cheers!!
  • #896,451
  • May 9, 2014 6:05am May 9, 2014 6:05am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Intelligence is knowledge learned from your own experience. Wisdom is knowlege learned from experience of others. Intelligence is a hard way of learning but wisdom saves us from a lot of trouble. If you long or short EUR/USD right now, your will be little more intelligent in a couple of hours. But if you remain on sidelines for now, you are already a wise person.
I like that
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #896,452
  • May 9, 2014 6:05am May 9, 2014 6:05am
Quoting Greener
{quote} on oanda it's 68% shorts
not only Forex retailers, the entire market was holding long Dollars underwater ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #896,453
  • May 9, 2014 6:14am May 9, 2014 6:14am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} not only Forex retailers, the entire market was holding long Dollars underwater ...

Finally goods news...

Still holding my shorts from 10th February. Cashing bug time now.

KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON SHORTING
  • #896,454
  • May 9, 2014 6:15am May 9, 2014 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no bear target for me yet.. its dropped more, so that floating bounce, if one was bearish, is about 3898 ish up to tyh, if one speculates bearish. 3560 ish or less may be what is brewing in the st. that one would take out 36xx and 37xx lows. bringing up 3898 again, and what 3560 has in it,,, a bounce to 3888 may be needed.. 3888 is close to 3898. if we make a test of 3777 low, even if we break it.. a bounce to 3888 would not be a surprise before continued. if one is bearish. that bounce could be above 3888, and it may do it twice. reaching...
was expecting 3890 then down to 3771 that's the logic but F... it goes directly to it
too bad to know where it go and miss it
  • #896,455
  • May 9, 2014 6:17am May 9, 2014 6:17am
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  • #896,456
  • May 9, 2014 6:17am May 9, 2014 6:17am
Quoting Thirsty
{quote} Finally goods news... Still holding my shorts from 10th February. Cashing bug time now.
Congratulation, but even the biggest hedge funds are in the same position as you are ... so do not feel bad!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #896,457
  • May 9, 2014 6:17am May 9, 2014 6:17am
Quoting Thirsty
{quote} Finally goods news... Still holding my shorts from 10th February. Cashing bug time now.
lol how come, feb shorts are still underwater
swing it!
  • #896,458
  • May 9, 2014 6:19am May 9, 2014 6:19am
Quoting egkid
{quote} was expecting 3890 then down to 3771 that's the logic but F... it goes directly to it too bad to know where it go and miss it
one could argue then that you didn't know after all
  • #896,459
  • May 9, 2014 6:20am May 9, 2014 6:20am
Long 1.37894 TG 1.3906
  • #896,460
  • May 9, 2014 6:23am May 9, 2014 6:23am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} not only Forex retailers, the entire market was holding long Dollars underwater ...
holding long dollar underwater? you are so biased. You have no idea where the support is. You have no idea if dollar is going to bounce or not.

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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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