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  • #895,001
  • May 5, 2014 8:05pm May 5, 2014 8:05pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Long EA @ 1.49457
Aussie bank rate is in a couple hours. Risky entering right now, good luck though.

I can't see the RBA being real bullish on the Aussie or inflation ... EURAUD has a chance of breaking the upside. be careful.
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  • #895,002
  • May 5, 2014 8:07pm May 5, 2014 8:07pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} Aussie bank rate is in a couple hours. Risky entering right now, good luck though. I can't see the RBA being real bullish on the Aussie or inflation ... EURAUD has a chance of breaking the upside. be careful. {image}
LONG EA
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #895,003
  • May 5, 2014 8:09pm May 5, 2014 8:09pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} LONG EA
I read it correctly, but them not being bullish AUD isn't guaranteed to be a bearish selloff. And I stated I think it can have a bullish breakout, but why not buy the breakout instead of chancing an instant 50 pip loss?

I wish you good luck, just stating, imo, that it is risky to enter any AUD trade prior to RBA, especially a pair that can move 100-200 pips like nothing.
  • #895,004
  • May 5, 2014 8:46pm May 5, 2014 8:46pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I read it correctly, but them not being bullish AUD isn't guaranteed to be a bearish selloff. And I stated I think it can have a bullish breakout, but why not buy the breakout instead of chancing an instant 50 pip loss? I wish you good luck, just stating, imo, that it is risky to enter any AUD trade prior to RBA, especially a pair that can move 100-200 pips like nothing.
he is taken a shot, it has a chance to go either way. with a stop, he will be out if it goes against him. if it goes in his favor, the odds are he will have a decent move, with the limited stop. he could wait for news, but by then, his entry may have a wider spread. and his stop will probably be even larger, since it will probably be at almost the same place as now. with a entry further away.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #895,005
  • May 5, 2014 8:51pm May 5, 2014 8:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} he is taken a shot, it has a chance to go either way. with a stop, he will be out if it goes against him. if it goes in his favor, the odds are he will have a decent move, with the limited stop. he could wait for news, but by then, his entry may have a wider spread. and his stop will probably be even larger, since it will probably be at almost the same place as now. with a entry further away.

OUT @ 1.49495
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #895,006
  • May 5, 2014 8:52pm May 5, 2014 8:52pm
looking at US monthly Libor Issues, as they get wedged into a possible topping.

U.S. Banks Ease Lending Standards for Businesses - Fed
U.S. Banks Ease Lending Standards for Commercial Real Estate Loans -- Fed
U.S. Banks Ease Standards on Credit Card and Auto Loans -- Fed
Reports of Tightening and Easing of Mortgage Standards Were Equal - Fed
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
05-05-14 1401ET
Copyright (c) 2014 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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  • #895,007
  • May 5, 2014 8:52pm May 5, 2014 8:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} he is taken a shot, it has a chance to go either way. with a stop, he will be out if it goes against him. if it goes in his favor, the odds are he will have a decent move, with the limited stop. he could wait for news, but by then, his entry may have a wider spread. and his stop will probably be even larger, since it will probably be at almost the same place as now. with a entry further away.
To each their own of course, I was just curious ... not at the levels, but at the reasoning.

I see a better short with stop above 1.508x rather than a long, if it breaks north, it has 400'ish pips to move to 1.55 give or take 50.

buying at resistance before a rate decision ...
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  • #895,008
  • May 5, 2014 8:57pm May 5, 2014 8:57pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} To each their own of course, I was just curious ... not at the levels, but at the reasoning. I see a better short with stop above 1.508x rather than a long, if it breaks north, it has 400'ish pips to move to 1.55 give or take 50. buying at resistance before a rate decision ... {image}
Next Long Just before the Rates
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #895,009
  • May 5, 2014 9:05pm May 5, 2014 9:05pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Next Long Just before the Rates
I hope you do well, there is a chance you may. I am normally long NZD, but I took a counter short ... holding it now, but NZD just ran stops through .87, it can be setting a high for the week/month ... I have a trendline on AUD that was just touched, so this maybe it.

I just personally wouldn't risk it. but hopefully it works out for you.
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  • #895,010
  • May 5, 2014 9:52pm May 5, 2014 9:52pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I hope you do well, there is a chance you may. I am normally long NZD, but I took a counter short ... holding it now, but NZD just ran stops through .87, it can be setting a high for the week/month ... I have a trendline on AUD that was just touched, so this maybe it. I just personally wouldn't risk it. but hopefully it works out for you. {image}
I agree, both aussie and kiwi, getting fatter by the hour, if / when they fall wont be vertical but should be pretty steep
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #895,011
  • May 5, 2014 10:02pm May 5, 2014 10:02pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} I agree, both aussie and kiwi, getting fatter by the hour, if / when they fall wont be vertical but should be pretty steep
I have been buying NZD, but turning nuetral as we linger up here. The only thing I don't like about NZD or AUD topping is that normally at least one of them, if not both, have a short timed blow-off before doing a big reversal, not this 'drip-drip' BS.

With that said, I would like to short the .89 area in NZDUSD and .9750-.99 in AUD (at least .9450) ...
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  • #895,012
  • May 5, 2014 10:15pm May 5, 2014 10:15pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} To each their own of course, I was just curious ... not at the levels, but at the reasoning. I see a better short with stop above 1.508x rather than a long, if it breaks north, it has 400'ish pips to move to 1.55 give or take 50. buying at resistance before a rate decision ... {image}
i may be s myself at 1.5010/20 with a small stop
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #895,013
  • May 5, 2014 10:20pm May 5, 2014 10:20pm
So many usd bulls getting eyeballs stabbed out everywhere.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #895,014
  • May 5, 2014 10:31pm May 5, 2014 10:31pm
Cant sleep being short this, I know its going to just be wasted money whenever 1.3900 stops get run.

Im out until 1.3780.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #895,015
  • May 5, 2014 10:35pm May 5, 2014 10:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i may be s myself at 1.5010/20 with a small stop
yeah, thinking about a short. It would be fitting to a nonchalant RBA & a QE hinting ECB.

I don't follow news that much (I stay aware of the data release times) but this Q2/Q3 2014 central bank meetings can be quite leading for the next few years.
  • #895,016
  • May 5, 2014 10:36pm May 5, 2014 10:36pm
Quoting Citiboy
Cant sleep being short this, I know its going to just be wasted money whenever 1.3900 stops get run. Im out until 1.3780.
to much leverage?
  • #895,017
  • May 5, 2014 10:44pm May 5, 2014 10:44pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} yeah, thinking about a short. It would be fitting to a nonchalant RBA & a QE hinting ECB. I don't follow news that much (I stay aware of the data release times) but this Q2/Q3 2014 central bank meetings can be quite leading for the next few years.
To add to this, an event that may turn out to be something. I don't believe there was much more to Benghazi than normal CEO work in DC ... Bush was doing the same thing .. (running illegal arms to Eygyt).

Boehner ... special investigation .. what does he know that we don't know? if anything.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/...utm_medium=RSS


If this is something, this can be what the right needs for house/senate power this fall and 2016 wins.


Read something the other day that made me have less confidence in Hillary, along the lines of "if you strip away the controversy that isn't, you have nothing left" ... meaning that there isn't much to her outside of the realm of others "husband, obama/boss, etc" .... so maybe she isn't the competition the left is craving.

Another talking point the right has and will be sure to rub it in

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-me...ur-no-1-enemy/


Point being, fiscally, the right ... if played right, can be 3/3 by Jan 2017 (house/senate/executive) ... and leverage influence with the supreme court. Not to mention down here in Texas, Wendy Davis (D) is looking to get her bells rung, will that give momentum to the East coast this fall? ..


times might be shifting to a more fiscally responsible (j/k) USA ... but in reality, this can be some drastic changes coming forward.
  • #895,018
  • May 5, 2014 10:45pm May 5, 2014 10:45pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} to much leverage?
nope lol. Just trying to take the humble stance that what Im looking for isnt there, and it wont be there until 1.3790 goes. no point in trying to force it. Volatility is near all time lows, trend seekers like me are just pissing away money getting involved to early trying to force it.


Promising myself I wont trade until EUR 1.3790, JPY 101, or AUD 0.9220 see breaks. I will admit friday was probably one of the most morale killing days ever, and i broke even ironically.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #895,019
  • May 5, 2014 10:46pm May 5, 2014 10:46pm
Any trade opened now is a gamble with the RBA statment ahead of us. Citi I cant sleep either so why try? just had a coffee at 23:45 and getting the ball rolling
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #895,020
  • May 5, 2014 10:47pm May 5, 2014 10:47pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} nope lol. Just trying to take the humble stance that what Im looking for isnt there, and it wont be there until 1.3790 goes. no point in trying to force it. Volatility is near all time lows, trend seekers like me are just pissing away money getting involved to early trying to force it. Promising myself I wont trade until EUR 1.3790, JPY 101, or AUD 0.9220 see breaks
set level alarm. 1.39, 1.3950-60, 1.37. Done ... thats what I do, get several alarms a day ... saves energy and adds to my life span ...
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