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Sonic R. System

  • #70,541
  • May 5, 2014 1:14pm May 5, 2014 1:14pm
Quoting Repsaj
{quote} jojojo22, I'm still waiting for an explanation
I was speakng about th GJ, not aud usd.. u were arguing with them about that u see it as a bull am I right ? so I said u can be bull on GJ from 172 even if there mm are bears but better be carefull

and today the 172 bounced again
Build your own dreams, or someone else will hire you to build theirs.
  • #70,542
  • May 5, 2014 2:22pm May 5, 2014 2:22pm
USDCAD, H2
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The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #70,543
  • May 5, 2014 2:24pm May 5, 2014 2:24pm
Quoting jojojo22
{quote} I was speakng about th GJ, not aud usd.. u were arguing with them about that u see it as a bull am I right ? so I said u can be bull on GJ from 172 even if there mm are bears but better be carefull and today the 172 bounced again
all in order
Check your emotions. How are you?
  • #70,544
  • May 5, 2014 2:35pm May 5, 2014 2:35pm
Quoting traderathome
PVSRA: GBPJPY, Bulls or Bears? This DAY chart is incredibly bearish,.....a Double Top, and achieved by an extremely bearish hammer candle that more often then not represents the MMs ramming the price up, closing their longs into the buying momentum they create. And, as we know from PVSRA, they probably not only closed their longs, but used the price area above the whole number to switch to shorts. -tah {image}
The double top is well defined in

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...e_top_reversal

You propose Peaks daily TF are unlike the theory.
Maybe am I missing something?
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Check your emotions. How are you?
  • #70,545
  • May 5, 2014 3:12pm May 5, 2014 3:12pm
NZD/USD - Bearish formation on the 4H chart, plus volumes on the 15M chart.
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Take what the market gives you.
  • #70,546
  • May 5, 2014 3:26pm May 5, 2014 3:26pm
NZD/USD is going to hit the whole number 8700 before it tanks. MM's just setting up the newbies to short early because they dont know the true setups
  • #70,547
  • May 5, 2014 3:51pm May 5, 2014 3:51pm
Quoting Tiggrrr
NZD/USD - Bearish formation on the 4H chart, plus volumes on the 15M chart. {image} {image}
Unemployment numbers come out in a couple days, just something to be aware of. Living in NZ myself there has been a lot of talk about how we're experiencing a boom lately so I expect them to be positive and give this thing the push it needs to reach 87+. For that reason, I'm being conservative in waiting until I see PVSRA indicating bears at a higher level. As for myself also, I see the M15 trend clearly showing up. Time will tell, just thought I'd let you know my take

M15 Classic Long NZDUSD:
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  • #70,548
  • May 5, 2014 4:01pm May 5, 2014 4:01pm
Quoting Repsaj
{quote} The double top is well defined in http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...e_top_reversal You propose Peaks daily TF are unlike the theory. Maybe am I missing something? {image} {image}
Hi Repsaj, I have been following your posts and I can see that you have spent more time supporting your argument that GBPJPY will be bullish and any comment to the contrary had always received a back lash from you. Also I sense that you have some reservations about TAH and his methodologies, which I find strange as I would have expected that you would have moved on to set up your own thread instead. I am a newbie and I dont want to be an expert in technical and indicator analysis, we all know the results. I just want to be good at Sonic and PVSRA - as the MMs know everything you know, even their computers have been hard coded with everything you know and that's why they win the game. Also I have looked the GBPJPY day chart and I can see that the PA had dropped by no less than 500 pips every time it touched 173.35. And from your posts you have always insisted that it is bullish when there is also a possibility that it could drop by 500 pips!!!! Can you explain this from your text books? And please let the leaders of the thread guide us, if you dont like his style, go set up your thread.
Happy trading
  • #70,549
  • Edited 5:18pm May 5, 2014 5:03pm | Edited 5:18pm
Quoting allisonmagic
here's my star currency for the news release this morning. 7:00am PST USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI USDJPY, long bias. possible TP at RDH Based on what i'm looking at.. MMs keeping price below the whole number in order to get a cheap price for this news release. I'll be watching about 2 minutes before the release to see if they push it any lower. Not too much detail needed here. It's pretty self explanatory {image}

that was terrible.. i pulled 1 pip. volatility was so low, i just took a pip and went to sleep
  • #70,550
  • Edited 5:57pm May 5, 2014 5:30pm | Edited 5:57pm
Quoting SaiLyfee
{quote} Unemployment numbers come out in a couple days, just something to be aware of. Living in NZ myself there has been a lot of talk about how we're experiencing a boom lately so I expect them to be positive and give this thing the push it needs to reach 87+. For that reason, I'm being conservative in waiting until I see PVSRA indicating bears at a higher level. As for myself also, I see the M15 trend clearly showing up. Time will tell, just thought I'd let you know my take M15 Classic Long NZDUSD: {image}

you think MMs give a damn about your country ? they will trade it to the ground even if it's made of gold. they don't care about a boom in your economy or the numbers or any of the detail in the data. they see all of us as a commodity to be traded
  • #70,551
  • May 5, 2014 5:32pm May 5, 2014 5:32pm
Quoting allisonmagic
{quote} you think MMs give a damn about your country ? they will trade it to the ground even if it's made of gold
I agree with you, but if you were a banker where would you want to be trading it to the ground from? I have no doubt this thing is gonna dive, its only a matter of time. But when price is so close to seeing new all-time highs you can bet that's where they want to be selling from first..and if the unemployment can help them get 87/88, you can bet they'll wait till it sees those figures first. We'll see.

On another note, this pair is expecting further rate hikes throughout the year. This means it will be eaiser for the MM's to have highers prices to sell at. They may hold out till 90 before selling. It wouldn't surprise me.
  • #70,552
  • May 5, 2014 5:44pm May 5, 2014 5:44pm
Quoting mima
USDCAD, H2 {image}

So far so good ...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #70,553
  • May 5, 2014 5:49pm May 5, 2014 5:49pm
Quoting SaiLyfee
{quote} Unemployment numbers come out in a couple days, just something to be aware of. Living in NZ myself there has been a lot of talk about how we're experiencing a boom lately so I expect them to be positive and give this thing the push it needs to reach 87+. For that reason, I'm being conservative in waiting until I see PVSRA indicating bears at a higher level. As for myself also, I see the M15 trend clearly showing up. Time will tell, just thought I'd let you know my take M15 Classic Long NZDUSD: {image}
I'm also paying very close attention to NZDUSD pair.
  • #70,554
  • May 5, 2014 6:04pm May 5, 2014 6:04pm
Quoting SaiLyfee
{quote} I agree with you, but if you were a banker where would you want to be trading it to the ground from? I have no doubt this thing is gonna dive, its only a matter of time. But when price is so close to seeing new all-time highs you can bet that's where they want to be selling from first..and if the unemployment can help them get 87/88, you can bet they'll wait till it sees those figures first. We'll see. On another note, this pair is expecting further rate hikes throughout the year. This means it will be eaiser for the MM's to have highers...

definitely could run it up to a significant technical level for selling.. we still have less than 24 hours to see their positioning if they do drop it, it will be a good one
  • #70,555
  • Edited 6:50pm May 5, 2014 6:28pm | Edited 6:50pm
NZDUSD Long Trade Opened:

Entered long #1, Classic, but during Asian session, not LS as recommended. TP is set, but tentative.

The circled PVSRA episode is clearly bullish. It helps to now define the previous Whack n' Whip below the whole number as bullish, too. I estimate that price has not gone up enough for the MMs to be immediately interested in profit taking on their longs. My guess is that at least RDH will be achieved before the next NZD high impact release, which is about another day off. Considering the lead time to this release, it is quite possible the MMs will whack the price again before a run up to highs and profit taking on longs. If there is a whack job and if it is low enough, I might add a long Scout to this trade.

For now, PVSRA says the MMs are bulls and the trend is up. This is Classic long environment.
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  • #70,556
  • May 5, 2014 7:13pm May 5, 2014 7:13pm
I hate this. Is it selling? Or buying? .. Talk about deceiving.
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  • #70,557
  • May 5, 2014 7:19pm May 5, 2014 7:19pm
Quoting traderathome
GBPAUD Short Trade Opened: Entered shorts #1-2. Short #1 was a quasi-Classic Friday, when FO MMs started moving price up and it got to the area of the EP zone for a previous PA wave, as marked. Unfortunately, Friday was a rip roaring day that saw price go much higher. I just entered short #2, a Scout as the Asian session MMs worked the price back up once again. For days my interpretation of PVSRA is that the MMs are bears. They have kept the price above the whole number where they seem to be coveting the highs for higher volumes, and coming down...
GBPAUD Short Trade Closed:

Manually closed for 97.4 pips gain. AUD high impact releases are coming, which could affect AUD pricing. If even only temporarily GA goes up due to this, I can enter again short. If GA just goes down, I will look for a future retrace up for a new short entry.
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  • #70,558
  • May 5, 2014 7:23pm May 5, 2014 7:23pm
Quoting traderathome
NZDUSD Long Trade Opened: Entered long #1, Classic, but during Asian session, not LS as recommended. TP is set, but tentative. The circled PVSRA episode is clearly bullish. It helps to now define the previous Whack n' Whip below the whole number as bullish, too. I estimate that price has not gone up enough for the MMs to be immediately interested in profit taking on their longs. My guess is that at least RDH will be achieved before the next NZD high impact release, which is about another day off. Considering the lead time to this release, it is...
TAH,
Good Call! I sure wouldn't want to put a stop or a tight one anyway on this puppy. Of course, I realize that you mostly trade without stops and watch your trades anyway

Regards,
Cigarguy
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Keep It Simple
  • #70,559
  • May 5, 2014 7:28pm May 5, 2014 7:28pm
EA
Appears to me that EA MM's are bears and its just a matter of time before they make a profit run. loads of selling above 1.4975 on the 15m chart and also above 1.500 with significant volume. the bigger picture shows PA coming down from a head and shoulder neckline break and is currently ranging at the neckline resistance zone. looks to me that they have been at this for a solid week or so and have accumulated a ton of shorts.
Im still pretty new at PVSRA so please feel free to critique so i can learn where i may be going wrong.
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  • #70,560
  • May 5, 2014 7:56pm May 5, 2014 7:56pm
Quoting SaiLyfee
I hate this. Is it selling? Or buying? .. Talk about deceiving. {image} {image}
Watever they are dong they just took every last drop of liquidity that was to be had. Since 70% of traders are short then that kinda makes me wonder if they just bought the other side of all those sells....

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