GBPJPY H1 nice bear. It time for me add first order, but I watching when price near TL H4, D1 {image}
- #70,343
- May 2, 2014 2:58pm May 2, 2014 2:58pm
[quote=leentjai;7442270][quote=Repsaj; I'm losing the desire to post here. Friends, if you look today (not to mention earlier days), before moving the GBPJPY, I received criticism and ridicule, because my analysis make me look bullish GBPJPY. Dear Repsaj just ignore negative attitudes ! You are a competent analyst and trader !I find your comments very helpful ! And I learn from your post to !And I'm glad that I can learn from you Guys ! Most of members of this thread are friendly My English is poor ,sorry .[/quote]
Leentjai, you flatter me by saying that you like my analysis. Thank you.
Leentjai, you flatter me by saying that you like my analysis. Thank you.
Check your emotions. How are you?
- #70,345
- Edited 3:58pm May 2, 2014 3:41pm | Edited 3:58pm
- Joined Mar 2008 | Status: PVSRA with Traderathome | 23,552 Posts
{quote} I was also one of the sonicers that posted a GJ chart at that time and i also stated that i was bearish overall as the MM's were obviously selling above 172.50. being bearish with the MM's does not mean that there will not be more bullish PA before the MM's decide to make a run for profits..... in fact a few actually stated that they believed that would be the case. there was then a little witty banter between a couple users about the theiving, deceiving, lying MM's. i think that Repsaj maybe took some of this the wrong way possibly because...
{quote} I appreciate your clarification and as you say, we are all in the same boat.
"All in the same boat", give it a break! Since the close last Friday to right now, GJ has not sustained even 100 pips gain,.....not exactly bullish!
You sounded stressed out here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7441919
I have already apologized if I seemed harsh with you. I certainly was not making fun of you, or of anyone else:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post7442303
Standardization and repetition of what works makes it easier for every new trader to learn and improve, than does a constantly varying input of methods.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...89#post7442289
Don't you think it is time to consider the bigger picture of the purpose of this thread and how it can best be achieved? It is the perspective I must maintain, or this thread will go the way of every other thread. Yes, I am under pressure on this score. However, I always try to be impartial and fair, and to not "release pressure" on anyone just because there is pressure. I have respect for you, your experience, your skills, and your efforts here. You have the ability to add to the purpose of this thread, and in a way that supports the goal of standardization, so that as time goes on everyone finds learning here a much easier experience.
-tah
Hello all,
Something about PVSRA
Since Tuesday i made started Long on Xau/Usd, i did not save any charts of how i saw MM's were bulls
(Serving National service and had to stay in the camp, only got a tiny screen iphone)
Attachment
Which price moved down, each time i saw notable Vol showing mm's were Bull, i added more each time.
Even though news for US all came out better, FOMC ISM ADP, NFP today was dam expected to be better somehow. The thing was, IMO PVSRA was showing BULL.
I couldn't help but added long after LS opens on Friday, knowing NFP could have impacted. I still trusted PVSRA of what i thought MM's were doing.
As LS begins I was reluctant to post, din't had confident. (Also the template i was using was like the old one, but still... Your knows what TAH would say. Like how he manage to repeat more than a few times a week to people who doesnt standardise
TAH, who would bother to give so much fucks time after time)
Since monday i've added more longs whenever i saw new clues, but price when down still.
Somehow i trusted PVSRA that MM were BULLS, though news and all those views from forexcrunch, bloomsberg and reuters all states dollar would strengthen as NFP would turn out dam good, and it was true! As NFP came out, i thought DAM why the hell i added so many longs, i added another one i couldnt help but still saw bulls.
I was trading from my phone outside, i closed it after price went above 1300. Got to free up my margins, but i closed all anyway.
A Bearish MM could Push price Up for a bloody long time. The NFP news just now could caused price to go all the way down for MM's to build more longs at much better price, i could have gotten a margin call if MM's would simply react to the news. No one knows what effects News could cause and how MM's wants it to react. they could use it to build better positions at better price, they could use it for profit taking or move it the other way and play their thing. there's endless of ways. One could trade based on lagging directional indicator signals, Or like SONICers could build the direction of MM's. Sometimes price could be brought in the other direction for a long time, like what's happening to E/U now.
The thing i want to say to all is, read up more on PVSRA and trust Your PVSRA analysis, not blindly trade with some directional bias from indicators.
TAH who made lots of effort every week to help others for years, without fail telling others to read post 1, im starting to skip reading those post, it's made on almost every fucking page.
Something about PVSRA
Since Tuesday i made started Long on Xau/Usd, i did not save any charts of how i saw MM's were bulls
(Serving National service and had to stay in the camp, only got a tiny screen iphone)
Attachment
Which price moved down, each time i saw notable Vol showing mm's were Bull, i added more each time.
Even though news for US all came out better, FOMC ISM ADP, NFP today was dam expected to be better somehow. The thing was, IMO PVSRA was showing BULL.
I couldn't help but added long after LS opens on Friday, knowing NFP could have impacted. I still trusted PVSRA of what i thought MM's were doing.
As LS begins I was reluctant to post, din't had confident. (Also the template i was using was like the old one, but still... Your knows what TAH would say. Like how he manage to repeat more than a few times a week to people who doesnt standardise
TAH, who would bother to give so much fucks time after time) Since monday i've added more longs whenever i saw new clues, but price when down still.
Somehow i trusted PVSRA that MM were BULLS, though news and all those views from forexcrunch, bloomsberg and reuters all states dollar would strengthen as NFP would turn out dam good, and it was true! As NFP came out, i thought DAM why the hell i added so many longs, i added another one i couldnt help but still saw bulls.
I was trading from my phone outside, i closed it after price went above 1300. Got to free up my margins, but i closed all anyway.
A Bearish MM could Push price Up for a bloody long time. The NFP news just now could caused price to go all the way down for MM's to build more longs at much better price, i could have gotten a margin call if MM's would simply react to the news. No one knows what effects News could cause and how MM's wants it to react. they could use it to build better positions at better price, they could use it for profit taking or move it the other way and play their thing. there's endless of ways. One could trade based on lagging directional indicator signals, Or like SONICers could build the direction of MM's. Sometimes price could be brought in the other direction for a long time, like what's happening to E/U now.
The thing i want to say to all is, read up more on PVSRA and trust Your PVSRA analysis, not blindly trade with some directional bias from indicators.
TAH who made lots of effort every week to help others for years, without fail telling others to read post 1, im starting to skip reading those post, it's made on almost every fucking page.
When in doubt, Go fking sleep.
- #70,348
- Edited 7:53pm May 2, 2014 7:33pm | Edited 7:53pm
{quote} Good plan - Nice Charts!
GJ short still
Smart $ may be looking for BIG profits... We all know they are down below and lookie-lookie.... an aweful lot of Shorting done today... Could there be more next week...don't know but R/R looks good for a drop....time will tell
I did take a seed off the bottom(bad placement initially) then added it back as a short on the top...being careful not to over-extend my MM
not a good week for me but some weeks more than make up for it...
Chart below I just noticed when I got home ( I cant trade on MT4 during the day) a Whoppingly large Red volume candle this nonfarm Fri - largest in a while - looking bearish
Attachment
Entries in the wicks over and over **PVSRA rules!
- #70,350
- May 3, 2014 12:33am May 3, 2014 12:33am
- | Commercial User | Joined Jul 2012 | 2,049 Posts
Reading mode initiated {image}
you got all weekend to study
i'm gonna go back through and study more too
- #70,352
- May 3, 2014 4:04am May 3, 2014 4:04am
Hi guys, it is weekend so its time to analyse this week , i choosed the Aussie. I would like to now your opinion Prof, Tah, Loeil and other masters
What do I see on H1 chart-
After 3 weeks of going down start the acumulation of poisitions
almost ten days and price didnt event change.. selling high buying low.
Then The NFP the last day, and what i see.
They closed their shorts, huge sell but important is what comes after is buying!
For me this means the possible trend is changing, and the MMs are switching from bears to bulls once again.
I would call it fake breakt out to get premium longs.
What we can see later, for me maybe another touch of 9200 with more buying,
Or maybe another acumulation hole week and another leg down.
there is scenario 2: the MMs bring the price back after sell because they wanna sell higher.
Well time will show..
What is your opinion on this pair.?
I learned one think on PVSRA last week.
I was bear, and the candles were bearish they just pushed the price as fake break out to start sell!
But there is one big true for me, even if you were bull from 172 u can make money cause bears push price higher. and if u were bear u can make money too from 173.
So for me If you are bear or bull, there is stil chance to make good money but u have to find a good entry and good TP.
But if u know the mms are bears and you are bull Like Repsaj better be carefull when they start run for profit.
Have a nice weekend
What do I see on H1 chart-
After 3 weeks of going down start the acumulation of poisitions
almost ten days and price didnt event change.. selling high buying low.
Then The NFP the last day, and what i see.
They closed their shorts, huge sell but important is what comes after is buying!
For me this means the possible trend is changing, and the MMs are switching from bears to bulls once again.
I would call it fake breakt out to get premium longs.
What we can see later, for me maybe another touch of 9200 with more buying,
Or maybe another acumulation hole week and another leg down.
there is scenario 2: the MMs bring the price back after sell because they wanna sell higher.
Well time will show..
What is your opinion on this pair.?
I learned one think on PVSRA last week.
I was bear, and the candles were bearish they just pushed the price as fake break out to start sell!
But there is one big true for me, even if you were bull from 172 u can make money cause bears push price higher. and if u were bear u can make money too from 173.
So for me If you are bear or bull, there is stil chance to make good money but u have to find a good entry and good TP.
But if u know the mms are bears and you are bull Like Repsaj better be carefull when they start run for profit.
Have a nice weekend
Build your own dreams, or someone else will hire you to build theirs.
- #70,354
- May 3, 2014 4:54am May 3, 2014 4:54am
- Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Trading Chaos | 1,133 Posts
So let me get this straight.. Banks can manipulate markets, governments, entire economies, kill legislation, profit from war and crime. And yet, if you steal money from a bank, You are the criminal.
- #70,355
- May 3, 2014 5:42am May 3, 2014 5:42am
- Joined Mar 2013 | Status: In the learning phase.. | 1,377 Posts
Hi guys, it is weekend so its time to analyse this week , i choosed the Aussie. I would like to now your opinion Prof, Tah, Loeil and other masters
I'm starting with bigger timeframe.
H4 - falling channel, nice downtrend. But what happened yesterday? Price came to support area, volume increasing - usually it shows that strength has came into the market.
H1 - price pushed down, volume is high, but look at the wick at support area. Long orders came in and next bar is immediately up bar. This kind of action shows strength, what we already saw on H4 too. In this part our volume are different, your chart shows highest volume on down bar, mine shows highest volume on up bar. As soon as price rallies up, supply came into the market, look at the wick of green up bar. To me it seems that volume is too high for normal bull run, so I think there is still too much supply in.
M30 - high volume on up bar, bar closes in the middle, there is still supply in.
M15 - as soon as price rallies up, bears getting active. High volume on that yellow marked bar shows the same as M30 and H1 previously, there is still supply in.
To me it seems that there are lot of problems in both sides. Buying interest came into the market as soon as price touched support area, which is normal. But too many signs of supply tells me that price is not ready to rally up before supply has gone and that mean we have to see no supply candles or some low volume test, neither we have not at the moment.
So I think the best thing is to wait and see what MMs will do.
Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
- #70,357
- May 3, 2014 8:10am May 3, 2014 8:10am
{quote} You asked my opinion, here it is
"So I think the best thing is to wait and see what MMs will do."
- #70,358
- Edited 11:20am May 3, 2014 8:34am | Edited 11:20am
- Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Senior Member | 6,517 Posts
{quote} Cigarguy, you are one of the most affable people I've met in this forum. You're very clever with words and with your trades. You remind me a quick and elegant swordsman. I told you that I positively envied. You always have good words and good cheer. There should be someone like in each forum. Much appreciate your encouragement and the way you do.
Repsaj, thank you for the kind words. I have read every one of your posts and find them to be informative as well. You have always posted as an intelligent person with insightful and kind words. As I posted earlier, FX is not easy to master and when you have a thread such as this with "A" personality type traders from around the world with different cultures and languages, it is easy to be misunderstood and misunderstand. I can only imagine if I were to join a thread based in another language, the mistakes that I would make in posting and how my sentiments and analysis would be misunderstood.
I sometimes feel, we as traders based here in the US communicating primarily in English, should take a minute to reflect on the intent of the poster and give him/her the opportunity to clarify something that does not appear to be clear or correct to us, and not offer hurtful criticism. Yes, I realize that each trader is trading to make money while contributing to this great thread and these tasks are time consuming and sometimes overwhelming. Then if that be the case, no quick response and post should be offered that may be hurtful no matter if the post is correct or not. Then when time permits after considering the posters view and analysis, offer only constructive criticism or non at all. I fear that we all have been guilty of this quick judgment and lack of consideration to a fellow trader during the stress of a trading session and only an apology can be offered at this time if I have ever unintentionally offended anyone in any way.
In my trading career, I have never found such insightful and detailed explanations into the MM's intent and mindset as found here at any price, let alone FREE! This thread and its contents are rich with golden nuggets offered by TAH and other experienced traders that cannot be found elsewhere. My point being, that we should over look some of the inadequacies and reap the benefits of the nuggets that are here for the taking.
One traders opinion and apology
Regards,
Cigarguy
Keep It Simple
- #70,359
- May 3, 2014 8:48am May 3, 2014 8:48am
- Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Trader | 14,314 Posts
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
- #70,360
- Edited 9:18am May 3, 2014 9:04am | Edited 9:18am
- Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Trader | 14,314 Posts
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade