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  • #894,621
  • May 2, 2014 10:50am May 2, 2014 10:50am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} check around the time 2007-11, when the equity market began to tank, only euro went up for 4 more months, all others dropped.
so I only hold cable and aussie shorts right now.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,622
  • May 2, 2014 10:51am May 2, 2014 10:51am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} why not? you got 3 trillion printed in the last 18 months.
Every damn thing is electronic, I wonder if all of them request for 3 trillion $$ physical delivery, there is enough paper and ink to print it.

Some day 1000$, 10000$ and 100000$ dollars will come into public circulation to save paper and ink lol..

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_d...100.2C000_bill
  • #894,623
  • May 2, 2014 10:52am May 2, 2014 10:52am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} ya its obviously not sustainable. this is all going to go horribly wrong with 2-3 years.
These things happen after we switch the muppet in chief, so yeah.. 2017 or so..
  • #894,624
  • May 2, 2014 10:53am May 2, 2014 10:53am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Right, thank you for supporting my point. A mediocre economy have averages 2.5 percent growth and an index that made 45+ new highs in the last 16 months. {quote} And that supports current levels?
I bet a spx top around 1920.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cable-spx - i7860-TDA_192.png Size: 450 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,625
  • May 2, 2014 10:53am May 2, 2014 10:53am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} check around the time 2007-11, when the equity market began to tank, only euro went up for 4 more months, all others dropped.
That is exactly what I was thinking about. Risk avversion was the main driver for long time.
  • #894,626
  • May 2, 2014 10:54am May 2, 2014 10:54am
QE3 was where it went bad... stocks were near highs, no tail risks in sight, inflation and job creation were mediocre but not horrible...


the solution???

F**K IT, print 85 billion a month open ended.

i never got why they did that, there was no crisis and no big problem to fix.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,627
  • May 2, 2014 10:54am May 2, 2014 10:54am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} people have no money to buy houses. it is going to be people have no money to buy food soon.
And that's when I'll pull my $20 bills stash... Cheap blow jobs will be the norm. Fuck the people.. While we are spilling our blood here, they're watching American Idol while stuffing their face.. I really don't care about them..
  • #894,628
  • May 2, 2014 10:55am May 2, 2014 10:55am
Why not go down to 1.376* or 1.377* to have a bigger upper move

Quoting Fxwina
When both non farm employment and unemployment rate are positive, eu drops, however, if the drop in unemployment rate is huge like in today's case, EU recovers and goes up based on historical records. So, I expect EU up, I'll go long at 1,376* with few stops in case it goes there.
  • #894,629
  • May 2, 2014 10:55am May 2, 2014 10:55am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} so I only hold cable and aussie shorts right now.
cable shorts are more likely to hunt your SouL
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #894,630
  • May 2, 2014 10:55am May 2, 2014 10:55am
Quoting ultra_knight
{quote} Every damn thing is electronic, I wonder if all of them request for 3 trillion $$ physical delivery, there is enough paper and ink to print it. Some day 1000$, 10000$ and 100000$ dollars will come into public circulation to save paper and ink lol.. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_d...100.2C000_bill
They will print $ 1,000,000 notes, that is 1 million in one note.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,631
  • May 2, 2014 10:58am May 2, 2014 10:58am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} we have to ask why china sell the dollar. If the dollar can preserve its value china wont sell its dollar reserve. Just because the Fed devaluate the dollar, china has no choice, has to diversify.
I could remember sometimes ago when US Accused Japan of manipulating Exchange rate and weakening the Yen. Is this another case? or I didn't get it
  • #894,632
  • May 2, 2014 10:59am May 2, 2014 10:59am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} I bet a spx top around 1920. {image}
I think it'll stop around the middle of the shaded area within 16 months.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-05-02-TOS_SPX.png Size: 143 KB
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #894,633
  • May 2, 2014 11:00am May 2, 2014 11:00am
Quoting Citiboy
QE3 was where it went bad... stocks were near highs, no tail risks in sight, inflation and job creation were mediocre but not horrible... the solution??? F**K IT, print 85 billion a month open ended. i never got why they did that, there was no crisis and no big problem to fix.
the US is consuming economy. when the world stop providing the goods for the US to consume, the crisis come. that is when the world do not need the dollar as reserve any more.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #894,634
  • May 2, 2014 11:02am May 2, 2014 11:02am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} people have no money to buy houses. it is going to be people have no money to buy food soon.
unemployment here is 4%. houses selling, its definately not a boom atm. its not bad either. credit ratings are still recovering. some people still owe for the 5$ gas they bought in 2008 on the cc
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #894,635
  • May 2, 2014 11:02am May 2, 2014 11:02am
Quoting kemiodelade
{quote} I could remember sometimes ago when US Accused Japan of manipulating Exchange rate and weakening the Yen. Is this another case? or I didn't get it
heres a good explanation-
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_a...can_we_do.html



Japan is just doing QE, like the Fed does. Even when Japan did FX interventions in 2011, they used their own money to do it (no yen was printed).


China prints yuan. new money created out of thin air is used to buy dollars. (which are diversifie in eur,gbp etc.). This is allowed because nobody in the United States would ever get elected president if they actually called out China on this.

Mitt romney tried it. he wasnt handing out "free" healthcare though. oh well. Americans would rather have cheap iphones than a real economy.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #894,636
  • May 2, 2014 11:04am May 2, 2014 11:04am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} the US is consuming economy. when the world stop providing the goods for the US to consume, the crisis come. that is when the world do not need the dollar as reserve any more.
How about when the consumer has no money to consume? The quack Fed and alike point to the recent tick up in consumer spending data - AWESOME! Then you find out want consumers spent money on were Obamacare costs, higher energy costs, and higher rents. Sounds promising.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #894,637
  • May 2, 2014 11:05am May 2, 2014 11:05am
Quoting attila
{quote}.. I really don't care about them..
Have you noticed recently, the tendency you are projecting towards leaving the United States of America?!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #894,638
  • May 2, 2014 11:06am May 2, 2014 11:06am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} They will print $ 1,000,000 notes, that is 1 million in one note.
America 2019
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: starving-billionaire1.jpg Size: 115 KB
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #894,639
  • May 2, 2014 11:07am May 2, 2014 11:07am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} the US is consuming economy. when the world stop providing the goods for the US to consume, the crisis come. that is when the world do not need the dollar as reserve any more.
i guess your ruling out the u.s. building its own crap. lets do a check list. commodities, check. energy,check. labor, check. biggest military, check. i just dont see it in the near future.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #894,640
  • May 2, 2014 11:08am May 2, 2014 11:08am
honestly id rather just pay $2000 for the iphone produced in the US than have a sht economy with no manufacturing base.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
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