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  • #891,801
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:13am Apr 22, 2014 11:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} here we r... and atm its bs... 3744 also pops up instead of 3711.. yesterday it was 3780 in the micro. incompleted
Spot On 3740 -3748
Looking forward to see it
  • #891,802
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:14am Apr 22, 2014 11:14am
Quoting BeyondD
For anyone that is derping going euro short just wait till atleast the german data on wensday lol, high chance that a reversal to 1,382 will happen again
And just who is going to be buying?

TK, London and NY have all sold off weekly highs and weekly open.

Any close below the weekly open makes this a continuation bearish candle following a bearish weekly candle from last.

They keep back filling to clear the books and selling off.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,803
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:14am Apr 22, 2014 11:14am
I think we need a trigger for the final destination, maybe Draghi on Thursday.

Until then everybody will claim he is right on 10-20 pips up and down -

I prefer 1.3740, 1.3710, 1.3648 and so on.

But it could also end up with attila´s 1.3960.

There are arguments for both sides.
  • #891,804
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:30am Apr 22, 2014 11:30am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Had to sort out some private issues mate, all good now... You may be right to believe it is going down but please watch the 15M chart. I think, it has bottomed. Trade safe bro, hope to drink a few pints of Efes Pilsen one day with you over there...
i hope too brother. i will be happy to see you.

i dont believe with my emotions my mate. i believe action and reactions.

i try very low risk short enter. at 3803. imo this hour close will show us the truth.
  • #891,805
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:32am Apr 22, 2014 11:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sos except now we are on the bear side of 3804 R. lets see if that area holds this time
here we again.. intra day this is where the st bears are nesting. they need to make a LL from yesterday. then the larger bears maybe at 3818 once again if we get that bounce again. as time goes on, bounces are curbed when penned up a while. the time of day for the 3804 ones kinda sucks.. if one wants to s, 3830 is one that will not be touched if 3744 is going to happen. its inside so if touches other R is also here a little higher. also 3810 and 3834/35 relevant. 3818/19 may be in the future.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #891,806
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:34am Apr 22, 2014 11:34am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Had to sort out some private issues mate, all good now... You may be right to believe it is going down but please watch the 15M chart. I think, it has bottomed. Trade safe bro, hope to drink a few pints of Efes Pilsen one day with you over there...
Efes is delish
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #891,807
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:35am Apr 22, 2014 11:35am
Quoting Magix
{quote} And just who is going to be buying? TK, London and NY have all sold off weekly highs and weekly open. Any close below the weekly open makes this a continuation bearish candle following a bearish weekly candle from last. They keep back filling to clear the books and selling off.
Call it intuition or crack pot theory if ya want. But its that feeling of a Wednesday pump to the 1,382 - 1,385 spike region before the retrace towards 1,37 in the upcoming week. good chance that usd home sales are in the gutter and that german pmi is decent. I just feel this isn't the right price to get a short that all
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #891,808
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:39am Apr 22, 2014 11:39am
Quoting BeyondD
{quote} Call it intuition or crack pot theory if ya want. But its that feeling of a Wednesday pump to the 1,382 - 1,385 spike region before the retrace towards 1,37 in the upcoming week. good chance that usd home sales are in the gutter and that german pmi is decent. I just feel this isn't the right price to get a short that all

You mean, these home sales?

Above the forecast, home sales in the US?
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Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,809
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:40am Apr 22, 2014 11:40am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Efes is delish
Hahahah...! How come you can know that...? Can you find that over there man...?
  • #891,810
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:44am Apr 22, 2014 11:44am
Quoting Magix
{quote} You mean, these home sales? Above the forecast, home sales in the US? {image}
no the new home sales on 23th of april along with the german pmi on the 23th at like 8 am
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #891,811
  • Apr 22, 2014 11:49am Apr 22, 2014 11:49am
Quoting egkid
{quote} Spot On 3740 -3748 Looking forward to see it
I hope you won't lol... You OK mate...?
  • #891,812
  • Apr 22, 2014 12:05pm Apr 22, 2014 12:05pm
Bearish stubbornness exceeding last down to 366x
What those craps will do if bull let it pass the sensitive area then pull back? Still this is weak bear until bull reach mid term target.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #891,813
  • Apr 22, 2014 12:28pm Apr 22, 2014 12:28pm
Quoting BeyondD
{quote} no the new home sales on 23th of april along with the german pmi on the 23th at like 8 am
So, your idea is to sit out markets and wait until this time to buy?

Or is it to load up longs until this time hoping for a long retrace?
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,814
  • Apr 22, 2014 12:31pm Apr 22, 2014 12:31pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} So, your idea is to sit out markets and wait until this time to buy? Or is it to load up longs until this time hoping for a long retrace?
wait it out for a last spike up before going Short since draghi is on thurday id be too paranoid to go for a potential 20-50 ish pip gain on a good german pmi report. When the fundementals are pointing at a bearish eur/usd in may overall.
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #891,815
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:01pm Apr 22, 2014 1:01pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} You mean, these home sales? Above the forecast, home sales in the US? {image}
yeah above forecast but still the worst numbers since July 2012....
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You bearish on the euro?
  • #891,816
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:08pm Apr 22, 2014 1:08pm
Quoting jonnypants
{quote} yeah above forecast but still the worst numbers since July 2012.... {image} You bearish on the euro?

Currently, yes, I am bearish, EURUSD.

Looking for a retrace to breakzone at about 1.3761(ish).

There was ops to fill the previous weekly gap...but there were no buyers come end of week.

All Sessions have sold off this zone and we have seen the same coming out of the long weekend. Clear the books and sell the bitch.

Not saying we cannot go long again, just not seeing it at current.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,817
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:15pm Apr 22, 2014 1:15pm
Quoting Magix
Clear the books and sell the bitch.
Lol, I like the cut of your gib sir
What do you think about 'filling the gap'? ie will that gap from beginning of last week ever get filled or is this gap fill just an urban myth?
Cheers and good trading

edit: gib = jib ie reference to old english boat sail ie stylish; I can't even speak the queen's eenglish anymore
  • #891,818
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:28pm Apr 22, 2014 1:28pm
Quoting jonnypants
{quote} Lol, I like the cut of your gib sir What do you think about 'filling the gap'? ie will that gap from beginning of last week ever get filled or is this gap fill just an urban myth? Cheers and good trading
We have seen 2 bullish years in a row, meaning that we could still be seeing the third white soldier, but this shit don't get decided until after Summer Session.

We are coming into May, and we aren't seeing a lot of buying.

I think that this Gap could prove to fuck with a lot of folk waiting for the fill, just as did last week.

Will we see it?

Really, I can't be sure. I would be under the same assumption as all others in that it will get filled, but that don't mean I am going to go long before price tells me to.

Tripping the M1s is a benefit. My method of trade like a Polish Sex Manual:
1. Go in.
2. Pull out.
3. Repeat if necessary.

What ever direction of the major, there is always a little range for the counter....and in these, if you listen carefully, you can trade inside of the 100% of weekly range without any great exposure.

Selling off this weeks open today, tells me that we ain't long yet. But when we see the breakzone, I will wait for this area to tell me if we gunna continue on down or if we ricochet.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #891,819
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:33pm Apr 22, 2014 1:33pm
Quoting math_GB
{quote} I hope you won't lol... You OK mate...?
So far all good
  • #891,820
  • Apr 22, 2014 1:52pm Apr 22, 2014 1:52pm
EU Daily

Issues for the longer term bulls

  1. Window still open @1.3862 might as well be a brick wall
  2. S/R zone - 1.3800 is not holding
  3. Super Mario doesn't want it this high and he's due to talk it down
  4. Range break target 1.3745
  5. Next real support 1.362xx area

Trade safe

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