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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #44,981
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:20am Apr 17, 2014 9:20am
got in a couple more longs at 101.88 last night. avg long from 102 now. SL 101.85

lets see if we can hit my first target at 102.30
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  • #44,982
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:25am Apr 17, 2014 9:25am
I think she's going to be rejected from102.30 ish again all this is for short term trades
  • #44,983
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:30am Apr 17, 2014 9:30am
my point is 102.4 MA200 on H4
  • #44,984
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:32am Apr 17, 2014 9:32am
Quoting khol_hands
my point is 102.4 MA200 on H4
Xa xa that's what I see
  • #44,985
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:36am Apr 17, 2014 9:36am
Ftse looks good to go short 6580 or 6590 again who knows im not an expert
  • #44,986
  • Apr 17, 2014 9:40am Apr 17, 2014 9:40am
She couldn't even break 102.3x on good data. hmmm
  • #44,987
  • Apr 17, 2014 10:08am Apr 17, 2014 10:08am
Well my viewing this pair i'm not home right now so I cannot post chart i'll do it later either she goes down from here or 102.80 ish 103.00 ish area long-term ( don't follow me are you going to )? I'm thinking where to go short
  • #44,988
  • Apr 17, 2014 10:20am Apr 17, 2014 10:20am
lol, sleeping .... still holding on to short position from 102.24 sl 102.38 depending how the close of the day happens will hold this until the new D1 bar starts to decide
  • #44,989
  • Apr 17, 2014 10:37am Apr 17, 2014 10:37am
Just added another small Long position in UJ. Now I am all out of bullets.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #44,990
  • Apr 17, 2014 11:05am Apr 17, 2014 11:05am
Looking to open short one for short-term waiting for opportunity
  • #44,991
  • Apr 17, 2014 11:18am Apr 17, 2014 11:18am
I'll go on 102.31 Will see
  • #44,992
  • Apr 17, 2014 11:32am Apr 17, 2014 11:32am
Quoting Citiboy
got in a couple more longs at 101.88 last night. avg long from 102 now. SL 101.85 lets see if we can hit my first target at 102.30

took a little bit off, looks like last nights dip was the down 3 wave on the 4hr chart?

looking for 102.60 next, will add on dips
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #44,993
  • Apr 17, 2014 11:47am Apr 17, 2014 11:47am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} took a little bit off, looks like last nights dip was the down 3 wave on the 4hr chart? looking for 102.60 next, will add on dips
Moving with rates. Long USDJPY turning out to be a decent way to trade the better than expected US data release coming out over next few weeks while giving you optionality of possibly BoJ intervention.
Rate selloff fairly relentless on this de-escalation talks in Ukraine. Surprised so much was priced into the market.
  • #44,994
  • Apr 17, 2014 11:53am Apr 17, 2014 11:53am
I got two short on 10235 10240If she breaks 102.40ish Game over for me
  • #44,995
  • Apr 17, 2014 12:11pm Apr 17, 2014 12:11pm
Quoting mahras
{quote} Moving with rates. Long USDJPY turning out to be a decent way to trade the better than expected US data release coming out over next few weeks while giving you optionality of possibly BoJ intervention. Rate selloff fairly relentless on this de-escalation talks in Ukraine. Surprised so much was priced into the market.
C'mon BoJ, Intervene!!! JPY is WAY too high!!! Buy some greenbuck and sell some Yen!!! Yellen is tapering anyway, she will appreciate the help.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #44,996
  • Apr 17, 2014 12:19pm Apr 17, 2014 12:19pm
Okay I'm closing my short ( I think ) going to wait until weekly Candle bar is don I think no 102.65ish hoping she will still turn around
  • #44,997
  • Apr 17, 2014 12:21pm Apr 17, 2014 12:21pm
looking another opp. for long @ 102.17.. if she going down from this point.. GL
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #44,998
  • Apr 17, 2014 12:32pm Apr 17, 2014 12:32pm
Quoting Forexia
{quote} C'mon BoJ, Intervene!!! JPY is WAY too high!!! Buy some greenbuck and sell some Yen!!! Yellen is tapering anyway, she will appreciate the help.
Doubt you will see much in the way of announcement until end of next week (US reps coming in next week). Good news is US treasury semi annual fx report released Tuesday took out the language which existing on concerns regarding BoJ easing. So, can be interpreted (according to Citibank economists and I agree) that US Tsy giving their "ok" on additional measures. Next stage of JPY related easing will come after effect of the tax hike has been processed IMO.

In the meantime, we can enjoy some USDJPY appreciation as 10 year yields keep rising (bonds sell off). Deescalation of Ukraine fully should take it to 2.8% 10y yield which corresponds to around 104 level yen. 10y will need to get >3% to challenge new USDJPY highs without any JPY easing news.

All this hinges on the idea that weather effects are done and USD is about to outperform across the major data releases in the coming 2-3 weeks.
  • #44,999
  • Apr 17, 2014 12:54pm Apr 17, 2014 12:54pm
Quoting mahras
{quote} Doubt you will see much in the way of announcement until end of next week (US reps coming in next week). Good news is US treasury semi annual fx report released Tuesday took out the language which existing on concerns regarding BoJ easing. So, can be interpreted (according to Citibank economists and I agree) that US Tsy giving their "ok" on additional measures. Next stage of JPY related easing will come after effect of the tax hike has been processed IMO. In the meantime, we can enjoy some USDJPY appreciation as 10 year yields keep rising...
Wow nice analysis!!! Thanks. Ok I am subscribing to you.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #45,000
  • Apr 17, 2014 1:01pm Apr 17, 2014 1:01pm
I would be looking for 102.97 next.............staying out til next week. I want to look at the end of this weeks price action first.
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