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  • #888,981
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:28am Apr 10, 2014 4:28am
Quoting Iraniatrader
Hello Everybody Who is expert in USDCHF? I have short order n USDCHF , is it a good idea/? I think it is going down.... sb guide me...
I trade swissy, and I think your are playing with fire, if you keep it tight and partial bank might be ok but we have entered SNB intervention target zone august 2011, so we are effectively dabbling with a level they were happy witth but dumped a shitload of cash to achieve it, so if they jump in be prepared to jump ship and fast, I could a chunk of the intervention, so did gator and it was surreal but awesome vertical climb
not sure if youve been noticing but yen has been flying all day and still looks to be wanting a go at geppys tuesdays lows and considering their data this morning was crap, makes me think something is in the pipeworks and it aint going to be pretty so becareful with any trade let alone your swissy short, could keep rolling south but north will be virtical your choice
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #888,982
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:30am Apr 10, 2014 4:30am
Quoting neo1599
Starting relative BUY again. Will add till 1.3655 in 20 pip steps. MM and RM guiding blocks.
Quoting neo1599
{quote} MM in place. Max 5 positions from here with decreasing risk on each. Max loss(all inclusive) < 0.3% of Total Capital employed.

Quoting neo1599
{quote} Stops moved into profit. Looking for a run up to 1.4 If positions get closed, possible re-entry at similar level to last time: 1.374x-5x with no risk. i.e. Risk being covered by this position. Will keep looking for longs till 1.3655 is breached successfully.
Got stopped out. Then got re-entry levels.

Stops in profit now, looking to add more if we breach successfully above: 1.3882.
  • #888,983
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:30am Apr 10, 2014 4:30am
  •  ibox
  • | Joined Feb 2014 | Status: Big Frame , Small Trade = Money | 13 Posts
Quoting fatpanda
13333 today {image}
I really want to see your post ,when EU reaches 1.3333.Will be funny I guess
  • #888,984
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:32am Apr 10, 2014 4:32am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} you need to explain that one please....
It's very unlikely that interest rates rise in US near term.(Just my view). My view is that it goes up until mid of May and then we will get a selloff.
  • #888,985
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:39am Apr 10, 2014 4:39am
As traders, a crash or crisis is a good thing, WE CAN MAKE LOTS OF MONEY, tell me who didnt during the 2008/09 financial crisis???

Those who didnt should really try something else, no offence!
Cheers!!
  • #888,986
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:42am Apr 10, 2014 4:42am
Quoting Scalptastic
{quote} It's very unlikely that interest rates rise in US EVER AGAIN.
Fixed that one for you
  • #888,987
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:43am Apr 10, 2014 4:43am
Quoting Scalptastic
{quote} It's very unlikely that interest rates rise in US near term.(Just my view). My view is that it goes up until mid of May and then we will get a selloff.
given that is the view of most I don't see how that leads to a positive pointer for the euro based on interest rates, hence my confusion

anyway gl
  • #888,988
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:44am Apr 10, 2014 4:44am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} YOU ARE TOO NOISY.... AND WRONG FORUM TRY HERE http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=69
Hi Max, hope you're well!
Do you trade indices? If not, why not?
  • #888,989
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:46am Apr 10, 2014 4:46am
I believe Mr. Draghi. He promised me to maintain 1.36
  • #888,990
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:55am Apr 10, 2014 4:55am
Quoting Magicmen
I believe Mr. Draghi. He promised me to maintain 1.36
The only number Mr. Draghi spoke of, was 1.60 ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #888,991
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:59am Apr 10, 2014 4:59am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} Well I don't know, is their debt for material items or what? are they buying houses and cars? or PS4's and iPods/Junk food ... and their unemployment, is it like here in the US where a lot of unemployed can work but they don't because of benefits from the state? I think deflation is good for consumers. Deflation is bad for holders of that investment ... so you sell it if it isn't worth of value, and a buyer will buy when they see value.
I'll have to see what the debt is in, but I think there is a general understand that because you buy a car or house that's a good purchase. What I want to know is if they are buying these large ticket items, can they afford them?

Consumer debt to income in the UK is over 150% Not sure what it is in the ez, but the US has $17 trill in consumer debt. Scandinavian countries made it through the recession fairly untouched but their 200-300% consumer debt to income levels is catching up with them. When you spend more than you make, whether on houses or prostitutes, it probably won't end well.

Deflation is great for consumers, but it's shite for businesses. And the the manufacturing sector in the ez is not stable. It's made a good rebound, but tonight Spain seen a -.5 percent reduction in industrial production after making a 1.1 percent increase last month. There are positive trends.

I mean in the US, UK, EZ there has been low inflation, lower than normal. It helps consumers, but not businesses so we get this stagnation decade long recovery.

It's a mess. But I would look to see were debt is allocated, and I assume not in good places.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #888,992
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:01am Apr 10, 2014 5:01am
Look ouuuuuut - long trade taken 22 days ago back in profit.
Fucked up analysis for entry, but not trend. Boom.
It'll be alright on the night
  • #888,993
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:04am Apr 10, 2014 5:04am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} The only number Mr. Draghi spoke of, was 1.60 ...
Are you sure??? In one of his press releases, he did mention that "We will try our best to maintain 1.36".
  • #888,994
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:08am Apr 10, 2014 5:08am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote}When you spend more than you make, whether on houses or prostitutes, it probably won't end well.
Nice sentiment but it's worked out quite well for TPTB so far; ie US and UK just export obesity and debt on a global basis and the sheeple can't get enough...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #888,995
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:08am Apr 10, 2014 5:08am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I'll have to see what the debt is in, but I think there is a general understand that because you buy a car or house that's a good purchase. What I want to know is if they are buying these large ticket items, can they afford them? Consumer debt to income in the UK is over 150% Not sure what it is in the ez, but the US has $17 trill in consumer debt. Scandinavian countries made it through the recession fairly untouched but their 200-300% consumer debt to income levels is catching up with them. When you spend more than you make, whether on...
But US has A LOT more in total assets than that 17 Trillion in debt ... so that isn't a fair comparison.

And I hate talking about inflation because it is hard to quantify and get a true since of ...

There isn't any deflation ,in my opinion, in the US ... every business has just cut portions or quality to meet a lower price, so deflation is really masked inflation with lower grade. Not sure if it is same story everything else, but I am sure it is.

And the debt/spending part, that is what I was talking about, there isn't a real good way to gag wages live ... it is all in retrospect. I would bet that wages are moving up rather than down, which is good ... and debt is cheap now, so that high debt/gdp might be a side effect of that and will normalize after big low-interest/high debt purchases are made. (aka buy expensive crap now with cheap money and higher wages later on will offset that purchase)
  • #888,996
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:13am Apr 10, 2014 5:13am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} There isn't any deflation ,in my opinion, in the US ...
How about the massive deflation in pension values that is being caused by QE?
Oh yeah, don't worry about that, we're all far too young and carefree to give a damn
  • #888,997
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:14am Apr 10, 2014 5:14am
Quoting jonnypants
{quote} How about the massive deflation in pension values that is being caused by QE? Oh yeah, don't worry about that, we're all far too young and carefree to give a damn
show me what you are talking about exactly.
  • #888,998
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:17am Apr 10, 2014 5:17am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Are you sure??? In one of his press releases, he did mention that "We will try our best to maintain 1.36".
I do not think so,
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #888,999
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:18am Apr 10, 2014 5:18am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} The only number Mr. Draghi spoke of, was 1.60 ...
I know u follow all fundamental
Don't wanna rush things but i have surprised number by end of next week
tell u and talk about it or wait till week close
  • #889,000
  • Apr 10, 2014 5:19am Apr 10, 2014 5:19am
Quoting jonnypants
{quote} How about the massive deflation in pension values that is being caused by QE? Oh yeah, don't worry about that, we're all far too young and carefree to give a damn
Annuities are currently amongst the most expensive in history.
It'll be alright on the night
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