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  • #888,961
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:43am Apr 10, 2014 3:43am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Feckin A, you're right. I don't know why I listen to CNBC. But still, Spain is in the same boat. Their debt-to-GDP did increase, and their 10Y went from over 7 to just under 3. Last I heard, their 5Y note is lower than the US. Leading into a bubble IMO. Draghi got his wish, lower debt costs. That was his main goal from the get go.
CNBC is selling a product.

I studied plenty of economics, and I still don't know what those mean when it comes to correlation with the markets. Plenty of times it 'leads' traders in the right direction, but what happens when it doesn't. All I know when it comes to interest rates on bonds is that the interest is what is being paid on that contract. nothing more or less.

If things turn for the worse, I will jump right on the band wagon, and take off my 'bull' insignia ... and take my losses also ... but until then, I think Europe is going to be fine. Aside from all the rhetoric, I think 'most' of the leaders are honest when they say they want a better future for europe, but of course they are going to make their money on the side ... who wouldn't.

And what bubble? I keep hearing (not just from you) the word bubble turning up everything. A bubble, by definition, pops when internal static pressure is greater than the durability of the surface that holds it. What is holding this bubble and how much pressure is on it?
  • #888,962
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:45am Apr 10, 2014 3:45am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} They are selling a product. I studied plenty of economics, and I still don't know what those mean when it comes to correlation with the markets. Plenty of times it 'leads' traders in the right direction, but what happens when it doesn't. All I know when it comes to interest rates on bonds is that the interest is what is being paid on that contract. nothing more or less. If things turn for the worse, I will jump right onthe band wagon, and take off my 'bull' insignia ... and take my losses also ... but until then, I think Europe is going...
I use it for background noise, but gave them the benefit of the doubt. Anyways, even if the banks don't topic the euro-bloc, the private debt load sure will.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #888,963
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:49am Apr 10, 2014 3:49am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} chart eu monthly Its been bearish, has been since "May" 2008 The present rally since July 2012 is a bull rally in a bear market The only part a real bull rally was the 1st half (circled in red) with an appropriate 50% bear pullback, since then bulls have barely reclaimed the "real bull rally high, " and for the last 7 months shes traded sideways 7 months sideways is niether bull nor bear, it is a sideways range @ resistance , so effectively both bulls and bears have done equally ok if range trading My guess by all the raving celebrating...
Nice chart
In my view there will b Fake break out then down
But let's trade what we see now
  • #888,964
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:52am Apr 10, 2014 3:52am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} 1.4120 and then 1.4444, but not before a very decent bear move.
Monthly TF has a room to go down but weekly TF gone nuts with strong bull. I cannot expect major down before some big fundamental crisis coming out such as Dubai crisis when price was above 1.50
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #888,965
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:52am Apr 10, 2014 3:52am
Hello Everybody

Who is expert in USDCHF?

I have short order n USDCHF , is it a good idea/?

I think it is going down....

sb guide me...
  • #888,966
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:54am Apr 10, 2014 3:54am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I use it for background noise, but gave them the benefit of the doubt. Anyways, even if the banks don't topic the euro-bloc, the private debt load sure will.
I haven't looked at their debt or wages, but as long as their wages go up in the medium-long term, they will be fine.
  • #888,967
  • Apr 10, 2014 3:54am Apr 10, 2014 3:54am
It is clear that LONers don't have guts to move it. Waiting for NYer's direction. So wait and watch game now
  • #888,968
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:00am Apr 10, 2014 4:00am
Quoting Magicmen
It is clear that LONers don't have guts to move it. Waiting for NYer's direction. So wait and watch game now
Yep i guess so
@US Unemployment Claims
  • #888,969
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:02am Apr 10, 2014 4:02am
Quoting Magicmen
It is clear that LONers don't have guts to move it. Waiting for NYer's direction. So wait and watch game now
So your take on EU is short?
  • #888,970
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:06am Apr 10, 2014 4:06am
Quoting noom0121
{quote} So your take on EU is short?
Yes sir. Couple of positions. 3795 and 3865. TP 36xx SL 4900
  • #888,971
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:13am Apr 10, 2014 4:13am
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I haven't looked at their debt or wages, but as long as their wages go up in the medium-long term, they will be fine.

Not if their debt grows more. These economies, look at the UK, are all consumer driven. Before the 2008 crisis, the US had negative savings rates. We can get complacent and say that things are ok now before it's not 2009 anymore, but the majority of the underlying issues that created the mess are still in play.

I'm not saying not trend the trends, but I'd think it would be foolhardy to say everything is ok. Sure it's better than five years ago, but that doesn't necessarily mean much.

Spain has an unemployment rate of 26/7%, GDP per capita has declined year over year since 2008, GDP has been negative since 2012, wages haven't gone anywhere, consumer prices just went into deflation, producer prices sank, Debt to GDP rose every year since 2008...

Their credit rating is BBB- and has lower borrowing costs than the US.

The US apparently gained back all the jobs lost in the recession. It took five years, 10% are part time, 60% of the population have wages below the national average, U13 is still double digits.

The markets are so distorted it's not funny.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #888,972
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:15am Apr 10, 2014 4:15am
13333 today
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  • #888,973
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:16am Apr 10, 2014 4:16am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Not if their debt grows more. These economies, look at the UK, are all consumer driven. Before the 2008 crisis, the US had negative savings rates. We can get complacent and say that things are ok now before it's not 2009 anymore, but the majority of the underlying issues that created the mess are still in play. I'm not saying not trend the trends, but I'd think it would be foolhardy to say everything is ok. Sure it's better than five years ago, but that doesn't necessarily mean much. Spain has an unemployment rate of 26/7%, GDP per capita...

Well I don't know, is their debt for material items or what? are they buying houses and cars? or PS4's and iPods/Junk food ...

and their unemployment, is it like here in the US where a lot of unemployed can work but they don't because of benefits from the state?

I think deflation is good for consumers. Deflation is bad for holders of that investment ... so you sell it if it isn't worth of value, and a buyer will buy when they see value.
  • #888,974
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:16am Apr 10, 2014 4:16am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Yes sir. Couple of positions. 3795 and 3865. TP 36xx SL 4900
Hope you mean 1.3900 as SL ... or your R:R it's a disasster
  • #888,975
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:17am Apr 10, 2014 4:17am
Please can someone provide me the name of a good MT4 calendar indicator. Please I need that it works with the last MT4 build 625.

Thank you
  • #888,976
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:19am Apr 10, 2014 4:19am
EUR/USD is probably not moving much before April 30. Technicals, interest rate expectations and futures suggest EUR/USD goes up, but a big move will probably be delayed until euro zone CPI and the next Fed meeting end-April.
  • #888,977
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:23am Apr 10, 2014 4:23am
Quoting Devart
Please can someone provide me the name of a good MT4 calendar indicator. Please I need that it works with the last MT4 build 625. Thank you
YOU ARE TOO NOISY....

AND WRONG FORUM TRY HERE http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=69
  • #888,978
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:25am Apr 10, 2014 4:25am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} YOU ARE TOO NOISY.... AND WRONG FORUM TRY HERE http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=69
Noisy for one post ?! ullallà.

However thx
  • #888,979
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:26am Apr 10, 2014 4:26am
EurUsd Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014.04.10. EurUsd D.png Size: 27 KB
f(z)=z2+c
  • #888,980
  • Apr 10, 2014 4:27am Apr 10, 2014 4:27am
Quoting Scalptastic
EUR/USD is probably not moving much before April 30. Technicals, interest rate expectations and futures suggest EUR/USD goes up, but a big move will probably be delayed until euro zone CPI and the next Fed meeting end-April.
you need to explain that one please....
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