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  • #888,501
  • Apr 8, 2014 1:59pm Apr 8, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting mahras
{quote} Appreciate, I have checked your charts in the past. Right now I have strong stops on both the position. Levels I am targeting are ~102.5 on the UJ and ~9260 on AUDUSD. Not expecting a full retrace but IMO, this whole dollar selloff has been hugely overdone. I am very curious to understand why this massive rally in JPY is happening. Typically a JPY rally = broader selloff in risk assets (aka equities, AUD/CAD etc). We have a rally is everything EXCEPT the USD. Crazy movements from a fundamental perspective.
I am probably not as experienced as you but I tend to see opportunities for big moves before they happen, so if its not in the chart I don't trade them because on a fundamental basis everyone is pretty much thinking about USDJPY long (opposite monetary policies) and that doesn't give me any confidence. I might learn in the future otherwise. Have a look at AUDUSD monthly chart.
You can check my article on AUDJPY posted couple months ago.
Cheers.
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We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #888,502
  • Apr 8, 2014 2:09pm Apr 8, 2014 2:09pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} I am probably not as experienced as you but I tend to see opportunities for big moves before they happen, so if its not in the chart I don't trade them because on a fundamental basis everyone is pretty much thinking about USDJPY long (opposite monetary policies) and that doesn't give me any confidence. I might learn in the future otherwise. Have a look at AUDUSD monthly chart. You can check my article on AUDJPY posted couple months ago. Cheers. {image}
Thanks for the chart. Where do you see the critical S/R levels on that chart? Right now its an absolute yield grab with this pair.
  • #888,503
  • Apr 8, 2014 2:30pm Apr 8, 2014 2:30pm
Quoting mahras
{quote} Thanks for the chart. Where do you see the critical S/R levels on that chart? Right now its an absolute yield grab with this pair.
For me S/R levels are just another tool, I mainly look for Fibonacci levels/swing/turns along with pivots and candlestick patterns, monthly down to 4 hours. Example. If I see a possible critical level let's say .786 on weekly chart I know I need a reversal candle on daily or even 4 hours to at least have a go at it, there is also confluence of fib levels in different timeframes. I guess is just different to your method. Some people combine this method with Elliot waves you might do it with something else. On my AUDJPY article I explain all that. USDJPY seems to be moving a little bit now...Good luck!
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #888,504
  • Apr 8, 2014 2:38pm Apr 8, 2014 2:38pm
Anything can happen just have to follow price as close as you canm, even if that means getting it wrong a couple times
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #888,505
  • Apr 8, 2014 2:48pm Apr 8, 2014 2:48pm
Most Probable Formation for the EUR:
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  • #888,506
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:03pm Apr 8, 2014 3:03pm
Quoting ruffryders
EU now that we had printed 3800, time for 3600 this week. noted, H8 reversal stick on EU almost complete now. {image}
EU H8 rejection signified, as the MP was rejected also in the process (proper MP 3815)
  • #888,507
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:09pm Apr 8, 2014 3:09pm
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} EU H8 rejection signified, as the MP was rejected also in the process (proper MP 3815)
RUFFRYDERS, if you are so sure everything is set to tank, then just load up put options big time, and you will be living next door to John Paulson in S.Hamptons next year.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...71#post7391771

ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #888,508
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:10pm Apr 8, 2014 3:10pm
Quoting Kambooj
Most Probable Formation for the EUR: {image}
current EW count is neutral (as confirmed on MTF Elwave).
  • #888,509
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:10pm Apr 8, 2014 3:10pm
We can only ask for a good probability, and the best probability atm for me is long.
The H1 backswing is suppressed since 5 hours.
For me that is the normal procedere for another leg to the upside.
  • #888,510
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:12pm Apr 8, 2014 3:12pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} RUFFRYDERS, if you are so sure everything is set to tank, then just load up put options big time, and you will be living next door to John Paulson in S.Hamptons next year. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...71#post7391771
Ffleo can you post anything substantial at all? Like maybe your current positioning? What's yous trading, micro lots, or you've upgraded to mini recently?
  • #888,511
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:14pm Apr 8, 2014 3:14pm
[quote=ffleo;7391824]{quote} RUFFRYDERS, if you are so sure everything is set to tank, then just load up put options big time, and you will be living next door to John Paulson in S.Hamptons next year. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...71#post7391771

oh yeah, I remember, you's the elite trader, who short sold into kiwi rally. well done kid, now you can go back to school.
  • #888,512
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:14pm Apr 8, 2014 3:14pm
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} Ffleo can you post anything substantial at all? Like maybe your current positioning? What's yous trading, micro lots, or you've upgraded to mini recently?
but I am sure it is going to tank, and I do not need to load up options.

ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #888,513
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:16pm Apr 8, 2014 3:16pm
Quoting ruffryders
oh yeah, I remember, you's the elite trader, who short sold into kiwi rally. well done kid, now you can go back to school.
the more you post here, the more you present yourself as a laughing stock. Just wait for other people to rip you off.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #888,514
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:25pm Apr 8, 2014 3:25pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} the more you post here, the more you present yourself as a laughing stock. Just wait for other people to rip you off.
FFleo Ill just leave it at that. The school of hard knocks in real life will teach you proper manners I can only hope so.
  • #888,515
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:32pm Apr 8, 2014 3:32pm
I did not think was going to travel this much……anyway what I think, the market does not care.

A pull back at those line will be considered to go long.
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Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #888,516
  • Apr 8, 2014 3:51pm Apr 8, 2014 3:51pm
It is all quite down here, is that because most of bears?
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #888,517
  • Apr 8, 2014 4:02pm Apr 8, 2014 4:02pm
au still hasn't reached 9499, so it still has room.

eu can go to 4146 (larger chart), but it may need 3620 (smaller chart) before or 34xx. atm with the 3620 # 3834/35 is normal up to the high at 387x..

gu has a setup for 6350 and like the eu is in the bounce that happens most times before. that ones entry was at 6675/6784, atm its near the 6784.

the cad is also in like lower bounce near .0909.

being near these levels makes the target bounces have great r/r. it is also the edges of where the usd will show bear or bull statues. its where a dollar bull would like to enter because the risk is known. and even if the usd bears take control, one can jump on that ship too.

this may be a pivotal junction atm for a change of trend with these smaller targets. this may take weeks. the aud and the eu still have north room. not all pairs will be ready at the same time.
atm i am looking for a short on the eu after 3834/35. but still conscience of 4146
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,518
  • Apr 8, 2014 4:15pm Apr 8, 2014 4:15pm
Quoting milam
It is all quite down here, is that because most of bears?
...it's seems too much suicide trading by shorting since friday ! -( ...it's like the titanic when we see lot of frozen dead people and soo quite... -(
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  • #888,519
  • Apr 8, 2014 4:15pm Apr 8, 2014 4:15pm
eu month pp at 3813. trying to enter above it 3834 touch or more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,520
  • Apr 8, 2014 4:19pm Apr 8, 2014 4:19pm
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} ...it's seems too much suicide trading by shorting since friday ! -( ...it's like the titanic when we see lot of frozen dead people and soo quite... -( {image}
trading is hard enough. i dont mind you pointing out you were right. but is it necessary to antagonize others?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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