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EURUSD

  • #888,441
  • Apr 8, 2014 9:51am Apr 8, 2014 9:51am
There is just one thing that worries my shorts - it is a possible cup an a handle...
  • #888,442
  • Apr 8, 2014 9:56am Apr 8, 2014 9:56am
EUR again is starting its uptrend. Buys are safe till roughly around 3880-3890 zone, but then exit and wait for 3750 before the next wave of buys start:
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  • #888,443
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:02am Apr 8, 2014 10:02am
Quoting Kambooj
EUR again is starting its uptrend. Buys are safe till roughly around 3880-3890 zone, but then exit and wait for 3750 before the next wave of buys start: {image}
the call is a bit preliminary. there are still good chances for further down to 3580 and 3460 before deciding future direction on EU.
  • #888,444
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:03am Apr 8, 2014 10:03am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} the call is a bit preliminary. there are still good chances for further down to 3580 and 3460 before deciding future direction on EU.
Love the good mix of opinions here.
Go with the flow.
  • #888,445
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:08am Apr 8, 2014 10:08am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} the call is a bit preliminary. there are still good chances for further down to 3580 and 3460 before deciding future direction on EU.
posted this before, but no harm done updating. EU D1 confirmed wolfe wave setup with PA reversal @ point 5.

This should resolve with 2 TPs highlighted on the chart.

RR
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  • #888,446
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:15am Apr 8, 2014 10:15am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Maybe tomorrow for FOMC This thing should fall hard, and swissy is being bought
Hi mate,
I miss to see buyers in swissy. I'm short and intend to remains. In micro I've 8825 and my first TP is at 8800 (the final target remains at 8650). I would appreciate your clues for reconsidering my pos and exit.

Thanks and see you later.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #888,447
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:19am Apr 8, 2014 10:19am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} you fear 1.68 may come???? I think it depends on the euro.
just placing a trade for 6350, in that setup a new high will not be made. since there is no possible way of telling the future. i have a risk tolerance that keeps it within that and the target. since atm we are extremely away from 6350. the r/r is better for me. i know the risk, and the target is 10 times over. one could wait to nearer 6784 and be 20 times over or even 50 or 100+
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #888,448
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:19am Apr 8, 2014 10:19am
Quoting Matts Micro
trying short @1.3799
out -4 pips
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #888,449
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:21am Apr 8, 2014 10:21am
RR: Didn't know you're an elliot user too.

Imho, EUR is currently testing Resistance of my 50% Fib Fan at 1.38.
It should bounce around this strong bands.

Failure to hold would rocket it to 1.38x; or perhaps a fall to 1.37x, followed by a lower 1.36x....

Broad Perspective view sees the end of wave 5 on Daily Chart; currently at correction waves down to a possible 1.34x
Go with the flow.
  • #888,450
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:23am Apr 8, 2014 10:23am
Quoting ahteddy
RR: Didn't know you're an elliot user too. Imho, EUR is currently testing Resistance of my 50% Fib Fan at 1.38. It should bounce around this strong bands. Failure to hold would rocket it to 1.38x; or perhaps a fall to 1.37x, followed by a lower 1.36x.... Broad Perspective view sees the end of wave 5 on Daily Chart; currently at correction waves down to a possible 1.34x
not exactly EW, more like harmonic pattern really. for EW I just do scans with Elwave (not that much really).
  • #888,451
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:27am Apr 8, 2014 10:27am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} not exactly EW, more like harmonic pattern really. for EW I just do scans with Elwave (not that much really).
Mhmm. EW or Harmonic Patterns give a broad based opinion for filtering positions and staying powers of Longs and Shorts.

Good luck guys.
Go with the flow.
  • #888,452
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:46am Apr 8, 2014 10:46am
Quoting Thirsty
greetings from west africa this week the eu trends to 1,38 until Friday. PPI should start bringing eu down again to 1,37 and 1,36 during next week. I am out of positioning for now. 1,377 to open 1/2 position, 1,38 to another 1/2 short. cya Friday cheers.
2 x 1/2 positioned short.

1/2 tp 1,37
1/2 tp 1,36

sl 1,45 Anti-martingale limited selection
KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON SHORTING
  • #888,453
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:49am Apr 8, 2014 10:49am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Hi mate, I miss to see buyers in swissy. I'm short and intend to remains. In micro I've 8825 and my first TP is at 8800 (the final target remains at 8650). I would appreciate your clues for reconsidering my pos and exit. Thanks and see you later.
Hey max!

I do miss them too, but you are short, you shouldn't miss them

Your tp should be reached i think, only 10 pips left. Maybe 0.879x could be reached too, i was waiting for this area before a move up, it didn't happen.

I would say above 0.885x is a risk for 0.891x (this area must be reached again at some point).
For your 0.8650 its too far away for me.

One thing to consider (same goes for EU) is on h4 the range of the candle is getting lower and the volume bigger. We may even finish this h4 on a doji with the higher vol of the day. It could print a new low but a reverse/retrace is near IMO.

Better play intraday as daily trend is a complete mess

GL with your trades mate
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #888,454
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:50am Apr 8, 2014 10:50am
Quoting Thirsty
{quote} 2 x 1/2 positioned short. 1/2 tp 1,37 1/2 tp 1,36 sl 1,45 Anti-martingale limited selection
I want 1.363x here.

FOMC tomorrow is about another round of 10 billions$ tapering ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #888,455
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:54am Apr 8, 2014 10:54am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I want 1.363x here. FOMC tomorrow is about another round of 10 billions$ tapering ?
GU already experiencing slow down due to gravity pull, fiber to follow shortly.
  • #888,456
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:57am Apr 8, 2014 10:57am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I want 1.363x here. FOMC tomorrow is about another round of 10 billions$ tapering ?
The last wee figures weren't good at all. But i believe Yellen wants to keep her predictability, so yes i believe they'll cut another $10Bi

I'll move sL to 1,366 if it goes under that figure.
KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON SHORTING
  • #888,457
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:57am Apr 8, 2014 10:57am
Market waiting for London to turn off their screens again......
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #888,458
  • Apr 8, 2014 10:58am Apr 8, 2014 10:58am
Quoting Miguel.N
...can go short, but can fly this way as well to kill all shorts for ever, so watch out the crazy forex !? hahaha -) {image}
Yes, sl 1,45
KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON SHORTING
  • #888,459
  • Apr 8, 2014 11:05am Apr 8, 2014 11:05am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Hey max! I do miss them too, but you are short, you shouldn't miss them Your tp should be reached i think, only 10 pips left. Maybe 0.879x could be reached too, i was waiting for this area before a move up, it didn't happen. I would say above 0.885x is a risk for 0.891x (this area must be reached again at some point). For your 0.8650 its too far away for me. One thing to consider (same goes for EU) is on h4 the range of the candle is getting lower and the volume bigger. We may even finish this h4 on a doji with the higher vol of the day....
Ok , my fear was that you saw anything on the volume side that I can't see. My TP is @ 8801(Ask) and I'll exit fully. 8800 or 8790 is the place for bounce and I intend to re-short it higher. My another fear is that euro reached 3808 (my target announced friday was 3810) so we have to wait that the bastards start to move it again. Sure intraday is the rule nowadays. Thanks.
BBL
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #888,460
  • Apr 8, 2014 11:12am Apr 8, 2014 11:12am
Hi,
is the second message for me. Wright from Italy.

My "alternative" setting ... say...3839 today, 3861 for tomorrow.

Do you like this number ??

I hope Yes. Remember... 10 candle 8 h tf

Bye
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