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  • #887,221
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:16pm Apr 1, 2014 1:16pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Have you ever noticed you only talk to yourself?
not only that, i only read my post, the subcribed post and the quoted. rest is bypass
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #887,222
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:27pm Apr 1, 2014 1:27pm
Quoting Vachus
Read and laugh .... http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=477571
99% of this weeks eurusd price action will come thursday/friday.


Lets wait and see.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #887,223
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:31pm Apr 1, 2014 1:31pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} 99% of this weeks eurusd price action will come thursday/friday. Lets wait and see.
come thurday/friday, EU to 1.36xx
till den.
  • #887,224
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:54pm Apr 1, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting dashlat
Long!!? {image}
False
1.3660 soon
P.S Put how many shorts yu can GL.
Once scalper always scalper
  • #887,225
  • Apr 1, 2014 1:57pm Apr 1, 2014 1:57pm
Quoting noom0121
{quote} come thurday/friday, EU to 1.36xx till den.
dont just coments...single line ..show your analysis..reason ..please or ..ssssssssssssssssssssssssssshhhhh
Say something meaningful or Silence!!
  • #887,226
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:00pm Apr 1, 2014 2:00pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} 99% of this weeks eurusd price action will come thursday/friday. Lets wait and see.
No negative interest rates, no rate cut and no easing measures ... Draghni is just playing with the financial markets

So, 1.39500 again - one more time, however it will be a rally to sell ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #887,227
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:04pm Apr 1, 2014 2:04pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} No negative interest rates, no rate cut and no easing measures ... Draghni is just playing with the financial markets So, 1.39500 again - one more time
My friend Draghi short EURO how crazy. He said that soon will be a surprise for all...
Once scalper always scalper
  • #887,228
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:09pm Apr 1, 2014 2:09pm
Every single thing ive read is 100% sure draghi will do nothing....


Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #887,229
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:19pm Apr 1, 2014 2:19pm
Quoting Citiboy
Went back in short here at 1.3797, Stop loss at 1.3855. Target is open at the moment, 1.3480 at the least. more of a bet on Thursday/Friday changing the trend here for the medium term. {image}
Why are you shorting? Risk:Reward is big taken the market expectations. Are you shorting because of it?
  • #887,230
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:20pm Apr 1, 2014 2:20pm
Quoting freemen
{quote} False 1.3660 soon P.S Put how many shorts yu can GL.
3661, monthly S1, and 61.8% retrace of last rally from February low to recent high. I favor monthly S1
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #887,231
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:27pm Apr 1, 2014 2:27pm
Quoting phiya
{quote} Why are you shorting? Risk:Reward is big taken the market expectations. Are you shorting because of it?

Technically I think the 4hr and daily charts are at best neutral below 1.3850. Monthly was a doji, and the overall direction of this months candle will probably be decided by Thursday and Friday's events

On the fundamentals I think Draghi will at least be dovish this week, or mention the exchange rate during the meeting as a inflation headwind. With expectations so low its hard to see how he cant send the EUR lower. The past two ECB meetings the EUR has sold off before the meeting on the German CPI number. That didn't happen this month, because markets have thrown in the towel on trying to front run the meeting. In my opinion this is a reflection of sentiment that Draghi will impose no new action or new dovish language.

On the USD side I think there is risk for a 250k+ payroll number given where unemployment claims have been and based on last months payrolls still being at 175k even after significant weather affects.


Volume is low, volatility is low, expectations for any surprising moves are low.

Think 1.3600 will trade friday.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #887,232
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:29pm Apr 1, 2014 2:29pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Technically I think the 4hr and daily charts are at best neutral below 1.3850. Monthly was a doji, and the overall direction of this months candle will probably be decided by Thursday and Friday's events On the fundamentals I think Draghi will at least be dovish this week, or mention the exchange rate during the meeting as a inflation headwind. With expectations so low its hard to see how he cant send the EUR lower. The past two ECB meetings the EUR has sold off before the meeting on the German CPI number. That didn't happen...
You think too much dude....concentrate on the PA as it comes, it will give you the direction.
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #887,233
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:32pm Apr 1, 2014 2:32pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} You think too much dude....concentrate on the PA as it comes, it will give you the direction.

Im a fundamental trader... I dont care about technicals/PA that much.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #887,234
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:38pm Apr 1, 2014 2:38pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Im a fundamental trader... I dont care about technicals/PA that much.
Then it is obvious that if draghi won't do anything officialy on that metting we will blast above 1.40 and current drop in price is a clear sign of buyers interest at lower prices. Not sign of expected policy change at ECB, I am trying to keep it simple when it comes to fundies,
We started month Q and a week by sell off from Monthly pivot, next should be support and that mofu at 366xxx depend on your broker, this will be a line for this month imo as we will prolly drift towards it until ECB. Both bulls and bears have their chance in April, big one.
swing it!
  • #887,235
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:42pm Apr 1, 2014 2:42pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Technically I think the 4hr and daily charts are at best neutral below 1.3850. Monthly was a doji, and the overall direction of this months candle will probably be decided by Thursday and Friday's events On the fundamentals I think Draghi will at least be dovish this week, or mention the exchange rate during the meeting as a inflation headwind. With expectations so low its hard to see how he cant send the EUR lower. The past two ECB meetings the EUR has sold off before the meeting on the German CPI number. That didn't happen this month,...
Yeah I'm going to join you too. The risk:reward is too good to let it go.
My main case is euro trading close to 1.39 after ECB is done, but im going to do the opposite direction, if board long liquidation happens it will be really nice.
  • #887,236
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:43pm Apr 1, 2014 2:43pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} Then it is obvious that if draghi won't do anything officialy on that metting we will blast above 1.40 and current drop in price is a clear sign of buyers interest at lower prices. Not sign of expected policy change at ECB, I am trying to keep it simple when it comes to fundies, We started month Q and a week by sell off from Monthly pivot, next should be support and that mofu at 366xxx depend on your broker, this will be a line for this month imo as we will prolly drift towards it until ECB. Both bulls and bears have their chance in April,...

My point was that expectations for policy change or shift in tone are very low. Doing nothing is already priced in... whereas the prelude to the last two meetings saw action already priced into FX prices and money market rates, so there was the squeeze when nothing happened. The WSJ had already porjected there would be action at the March meeting weeks in advance, expectations for action were VERY high.

I see the opposite has a chance of occurring, expectations are currently very low. If Draghi makes any surprises there will be an outsized down move.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #887,237
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:46pm Apr 1, 2014 2:46pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} My point was that expectations for policy change or shift in tone are very low. Doing nothing is already priced in... whereas the prelude to the last two meetings saw action already priced into FX prices and money market rates, so there was the squeeze when nothing happened. The WSJ had already porjected there would be action at the March meeting weeks in advance, expectations for action were VERY high. I see the opposite has a chance of occurring, expectations are currently very low. If Draghi makes any surprises there will be an outsized...
I'm going to try to add shorts on some headlines like
* ECB SOURCES SAY NO CONSESUS TO ACT ON ECB

Shit like that you know..
  • #887,238
  • Apr 1, 2014 2:53pm Apr 1, 2014 2:53pm
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} ... I see the opposite has a chance of occurring, expectations are currently very low. If Draghi makes any surprises there will be an outsized down move.
This would turn my head south straight away, meeting or missing expectations - it's all about that
swing it!
  • #887,239
  • Apr 1, 2014 3:00pm Apr 1, 2014 3:00pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} You think too much dude....concentrate on the PA as it comes, it will give you the direction.
What is the PA ?
  • #887,240
  • Apr 1, 2014 3:14pm Apr 1, 2014 3:14pm
Quoting Devart
{quote} What is the PA ?
Prints left by price taken in consideration for future speculations. The only way in my view, not easy. All the rest is cabbage.
Wherever you go, there you are.
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