Sonic R. System

Is there any estimated average time or pips such a "run for profits" phase can hold on?

btw Indicators working well tyvm

PVSRA

PVSRA stands for Price, Volume, Support, Resistance Analysis. The purpose of PVSRA is to:
1. Determine if the MMs are bulls or bears.
2. Determine if the price movement is in the MM's "Run for Profits" or "Position Building" phase.
Price includes consideration of individual candlestick configurations (example: hammer, engulfing,....see "Essence of Sonic R" in Post #1) as well as any visible pattern (example: Head & Shoulders) and the wave action in general (example: higher H/Ls or lower H/Ls), keeping in mind that prices tend to move in inter-day swings of 100+, 150+, 200+, 250+, etc. pips. Where price might be in a swing can determine if the price movement is in the "Run for Profits" or the "Position Building" phase.
Volume is the count of trades on the broker server (currency size undisclosed) and what we are looking for are notable increases relative to preceding volumes. The M1 chart is excellent for spotting if higher trading activity is occurring at highs or lows. The M1 chart does not reveal the status of MMs continuously due to times of conflicting signals. However, when the MMs activity will provide clues, they will stand out in real-time best on the M1 chart.
Support and Resistance refers primarily to the quarter divisions between whole numbers, with whole numbers, half numbers and finally the 1/4 and 3/4 numbers being important in that order. Other support and resistance areas formed by past price action are also to be considered.

The premise behind PVSRA is that bull MMs prefer buying below key S&R and bear MMs prefer selling above key S&R. It will help us to determine if the MMs are bulls or bears by finding out where (above or below key S&R) they are doing most of their trading. This is not the only consideration, of course, but it is a helpful one. We also need to determine if the MMs are in a "Position Building" phase (running price opposite their status), or if they are in a "Run for Profits" phase (running price per their status). It is the "Run for Profits" phase that we want to trade. There is less risk to us if we are trading in the direction per the status of the MMs when the MMs are pushing the price in that direction. For example, if the MMs are bulls, then we want to trade long, but only when the bull MMs are in their bull "Run for Profits" phase. We do not want to trade long when the bull MMs are in their bull "Position Building" phase, because we cannot know how long that phase will last and the longer it lasts the lower the price is going! Let's see how the MMs work, and how and where they change status.

Starting with the turn of a trend, for example a new trend with prices moving upwards, the MMs have started their bull "Run for Profits" phase. These bull MMs have already been building long positions in the latter part of the previous down trend, and during any ranging of the price before the new up trend started. That was their bull "Position Building" phase. The bull MMs will continue adding longs in the new up trend direction. They will do this during retraces downwards, possibly taking price below key S&R to add longs. This is a long trading opportunity, early in a fresh up trend when the bull MMs are focused on adding longs at retrace lows. At a point during the up trend, the MMs will shift from a bull "Run for Profit" to a bear "Position Building" phase. PVSRA will start showing the MMs as bears instead of bulls. The price will still be moving up, but the bear MMs are now focused on highs as sellers, to close longs and build short. They will still be adding longs at lows in order to continue to profit as they continue to push price up. And they will continue to push the price up in order to deceive longs into buying so there will be liquidity the bear MMs need to close their longs and open shorts. This is where the bear MMs begin the bear "Position Building" phase. It will continue until the price reaches the top and possibly goes to ranging. We cannot know how long or how high bear MMs will push price up during the bear "Position Building" phase, but eventually the bear MMs will turn the price downwards starting the bear "Run for Profits" phase. The bear MMs will continue to add shorts in the new down trend direction. They will do this during retraces upwards, possibly taking price above key S&R to add shorts. This is a short trading opportunity, the time early in a fresh trend down when the bear MMs are focused on adding shorts at retrace highs.

To summarize, think of it this way. Bulls can trend prices down for buying (position building) before they start trending prices up for profit, but even during the early trend up (run for profits) they pull prices back down to add more longs. The trading opportunity here is to trade long on retraces early in the bull "Run for Profits". Bears can trend prices up for selling (position building) before they start trending prices down for profit, but even during the early trend down (Run for Profits) they pull prices back up to add more shorts. The trading opportunity here is to trade short on retraces early in the bear "Run for Profits". It is extremely important that you understand, even though we can determine if the MMs are bulls or bears, we cannot know when they will finish position building and turn prices in the profit making direction. To avoid getting trapped in a trade that is in the "Run for Profits" direction, during a prolonged "Position Building" phase in the opposite direction, it is best to wait for a trading opportunity on a retrace early in the "Run for Profit" phase. This means you will not be trading "tops and bottoms". Instead, you will be performing the analysis we call PVSRA to determine if the MMs are bulls or bears and to determine where the price action is in overall inter-day swings, looking for a corresponding bull or bear "Run for Profits" phase. You will be looking for a Classic setup trading opportunity on a pullback early in the "Run for Profits" phase.

Becoming proficient with PVSRA is like becoming proficient with an art. It will take time for you to learn to "read" what the charts have to say. But this is the essence of becoming a successful trader. Price, volume and S&R are totally unrelated "technicals" and are absolutely the three most important "technicals" in trading. When you learn to put these three things together, to see what the chart is saying, you will have mastered what truly matters. You will have mastered how the market really works! This is what indicator dependent traders never master because they are too busy looking for solely price derivative/price lagging indicators to "suggest" to them the future!

-tah

MM pushing this up to sell later?

Thank you TAH.

Why not trade long?
On your chart, there's sonic wave up through ema's and pvsra called volume to support long trade.
Here's my view. I'm sorry that it doesn't have this thread template, but wanted to share view with you. Hope it's okay to do so.

news Claimant Count Change in 30 min, its 90% bullish

EA: long scout opened

MMs took the price below a half number.

GU
High Impact News in 30 minutes.
Place your bet.

USDCAD Short Trade Update:

Added shorts #3-8, Scouts, yesterday and just now, as MMs are pushing price upwards, in the manner that suggests they are bears, not bulls, ahead of USD releases. This manner is when price is spiked up suddenly,....fast, far and full of volume. Bulls tend to want to hold prices down for accumulation of longs. So, when the MMs spike price, it is to make profits on longs already accumulated and to get the price higher where they can close and possibly reverse. After the first push up, the following low prices did not attract notable volume, so the MMs are not really bulls. Therefore, the MMs must be bears that are pushing prices higher to stop out longs so they can have liquidity to accumulate shorts. Time will tell, as we cannot know how price will move next.

BTW, I have said before and here is an example. M1 does not continuously reveal the status of MMs, but when truly notable activity does occur the clue will show up on M1 like a sore thumb. So, if the MMs push the price sufficiently higher, I intend to add to this short trade.

Id like to thank sonic, TAH and the rest of the participants for the PVSRA concept, i went through it last night and had the "eureka" moment.

UC Short Trade Update:
Added shorts #3-4

Catcher777,

I can't believe it! Is your broker still a 4-digit platform broker? I thought every broker upgraded more than two years ago?

EU Comment

Today could be a bear day for this pair. This Prima-Dona of the currency world has looked ill, but has been propped up for several years. Her makeup is wearing thin and I think she is starting to cough.....!

Hi TAH. I use a Standard account, which has 4-digit. The Pro account uses 5 digits.

EURAUR Comment

Sonicers, don't forget this one has great potential...... The thieving liquidity providing bank MMs might whip and whack the price in conjunction with the USD releases. So price could be hiked back to/above the H&S neckline briefly. We cannot know how the price will move next (due to the way these corrupt banks operate), but this pair is worth keeping an eye on, imho.

-tah

Two reasons not to trade GU long:

1. M15- setup occurs too early, right at LS open. A bit later we can confirm the MMs are bears simply hiking the price to close longs and open shorts, sucking in long traders to give them the liquidity to do so. We are not in a long trade, so we smile.

2. DAY- the upper 1/2 Level looms as resistance, which is possibly where the MMs will hike the price to (PVSRA), as they Pump-to-Dump. Overall, we can see the price has serious weakness in the background, plus the bigger volumes are all push up volumes where the corrupt liquidity providing bank MMs have been pumping above key S&R Levels and dumping (more PVSRA)!

Personally, I think these are two very good reasons to not risk much long trading of this pair. But, in addition, today is a big USD release day, and it could well be the day the stinking MMs start their Bear Run for Profits (PVSRA). Frankly, the better trade might be a short Scout if the MMs get the price back above the upper 1/2 Level, because this pair will have a much easier time dropping a huge distance than even regaining the DAY chart highs in view of the lower HLs PA waves it has been making on the DAY chart (more PVSRA).

We cannot know how price will move next. Not ever! What we can know is if the MMs are bulls or bears and we can look for the possible start of "runs for profit". PVSRA has been revealing the MMs to be bears, not bulls. And overall PA suggests that a Bear Run for Profits could be near at hand. And this early LS hike in price might be part of a retrace move the MMs are using for more accumulation of shorts. It is possible the Bear Run for Profits is already underway!

-tah

tah i agree .....Pound is going south with Usd/Cad look like reversal zones on these two

May I offer different view for usdcad

USDCAD Comment

Here is another look at that M1 pic. Now price has made it to RDH. The MMs might push it to the upper whole number area. I show this to reinforce the saying, "We can know if the MMs are bulls or bears, but we cannot know how the price will move next, nor when trends will reverse."

The MMs are bears. They are hiking the price to suck in longs so they can close longs and open shorts. Plain and simple. The Bear Run for Profits is what we want for short trading. This isn't it. But this activity at these highs on the DAY chart is tempting indeed.

-tah

USDCAD short.
For me it's time for start build short position.
Add 1 sell order 0.10 becouse demo my new broker is not smaller order.