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  • #883,801
  • Edited 1:05pm Mar 17, 2014 12:55pm | Edited 1:05pm
Quoting suthmo
H&S ? Sold this area twice now, it's been good to me. 3rd times a charm? {image}
A higher right shoulder is risky imo, however there maybe a pullback coming imo. I am watching the top aqua TL, I will make st short here depending on pa, but I am expecting a bull bo eventually.

Edit: ignore the closest red TL, it is the top monthly TL that has gone skewiff on a smaller tf.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #883,802
  • Edited 1:58pm Mar 17, 2014 1:20pm | Edited 1:58pm
I'm just looking at 4 hour formation. U got a daily head and s that didn't happen.
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} A higher right shoulder is risky imo, however there maybe a pullback coming imo. I am watching the top aqua TL, I will make st short here depending on pa, but I am expecting a bull bo eventually. Edit: ignore the closest red TL, it is the top monthly TL that has gone skewiff on a smaller tf. {image}
The first time I saw this happen was first my first week live trading on a big fund account 200K. The right shoulder had me freaked out and I called to close the position. Missed and epic drop , broke my heart.
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #883,803
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:09pm Mar 17, 2014 2:09pm
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #883,804
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:11pm Mar 17, 2014 2:11pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Exactly!
  • #883,805
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:14pm Mar 17, 2014 2:14pm
Quoting suthmo
I'm just looking at 4 hour formation. U got a daily head and s that didn't happen.{quote}The first time I saw this happen was first my first week live trading on a big fund account 200K. The right shoulder had me freaked out and I called to close the position. Missed and epic drop , broke my heart.
lol^^. Yah I saw you were on 4hr was just providing a daily look. You have a legit H&S it's just a personal opinion that I prefer my latest shoulder lower (for bull) than the previous shoulder.

just on a side note ...man i'm going to throw this chair out of a window ...it squeaks so bad and I can't reach the washer with oil, it's driving me nuts! 1st thing ima do tomorrow is buy a new chair....
sorry, that's out of the system, I'm done now.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #883,806
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:23pm Mar 17, 2014 2:23pm
Quoting matheszabi
{quote} now say again typo and the correct is 1.35 or something like that - only because I am short me too.
maybe after 4146 i will be with ya
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,807
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:27pm Mar 17, 2014 2:27pm
a L may be setting on the uj, a retrace of 100 pips or a trend continuation. waiting for that dt to break and a pullback after
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,808
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:29pm Mar 17, 2014 2:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
a L may be setting on the uj, a retrace of 100 pips or a trend continuation. waiting for that dt to break and a pullback after {image}
101.88? thats what I'm watching...

nevermind...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #883,809
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:43pm Mar 17, 2014 2:43pm
the u/cad may be a good long if 1.1042 holds, near it atm. if it dont hold .0978/.0954 is a spot to look for bear weakness
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,810
  • Mar 17, 2014 2:44pm Mar 17, 2014 2:44pm
EURUSD next leg to 1.4000-1.4073.

It's been in stop-loss hunt for quite some time.
Trade to win in long term, not gamble.
  • #883,811
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:12pm Mar 17, 2014 3:12pm
Quoting ahuruglca
EURUSD next leg to 1.4000-1.4073. It's been in stop-loss hunt for quite some time.
micro has a setup to 3903,, it has done all needed except drop to 3903
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,812
  • Mar 17, 2014 3:25pm Mar 17, 2014 3:25pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} 101.88? thats what I'm watching... nevermind...
aud seems to want .94998, that ship may have sailed, i was expecting .8869 first. it came close but no cigar 50 pip miss, maybe she comes back and the u/cad and uj get a bounce and allow the aud to get it,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,813
  • Mar 17, 2014 5:05pm Mar 17, 2014 5:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} aud seems to want .94998, that ship may have sailed, i was expecting .8869 first. it came close but no cigar 50 pip miss, maybe she comes back and the u/cad and uj get a bounce and allow the aud to get it,
I might take a short on AUD soon if it touches the trendline and 200 MA on daily (oanda). at least a 4h close above .9130 for me to go long, and that will probably be on a pullback test of that trendline.

Monthly ATR is still pretty low, we can easily see .87 by April 1st if that MA/Trendline caps it.

second chart, AUDCAD weekly is capped below a couple MA's ... and the spikes above are becoming lower and lower; that momentum lost might be indicative of a pullback in the AUD soon.

And since you pay attention to walmart, do you watch others like Tesco? for international?

Tesco would match your thesis.
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  • #883,814
  • Mar 17, 2014 5:09pm Mar 17, 2014 5:09pm
Added a little to my NZDUSD short with break of trendline, will watch for bounces (but hopefully breaks) of MA's on 15m, 30m charts. its below all ma's on 5m chart.
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  • #883,815
  • Mar 17, 2014 5:28pm Mar 17, 2014 5:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
a L may be setting on the uj, a retrace of 100 pips or a trend continuation. waiting for that dt to break and a pullback after {image}
Ummm ... better this ...

UJ 60 min ... retrace to market zone ... then drop ... target 0.99 - 0.97

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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UJ 1440 min ... Target zone for next BIG longs

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  • #883,816
  • Mar 17, 2014 5:54pm Mar 17, 2014 5:54pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I might take a short on AUD soon if it touches the trendline and 200 MA on daily (oanda). at least a 4h close above .9130 for me to go long, and that will probably be on a pullback test of that trendline. Monthly ATR is still pretty low, we can easily see .87 by April 1st if that MA/Trendline caps it. second chart, AUDCAD weekly is capped below a couple MA's ... and the spikes above are becoming lower and lower; that momentum lost might be indicative of a pullback in the AUD soon. And since you pay attention to walmart, do you watch others...
no, but a second large land developer in china has failed. we could be on the edge of a leyman or bears and sterns china
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,817
  • Mar 17, 2014 6:04pm Mar 17, 2014 6:04pm
Quoting rbetancor
{quote} Ummm ... better this ... UJ 60 min ... retrace to market zone ... then drop ... target 0.99 - 0.97 {image} UJ 1440 min ... Target zone for next BIG longs {image}
i was looking for 100 easy pips.. i suspect i could of aimed for 103.09 or 104.41,.. if she dont break that high and makes that LL. i will change to 100.53 min. my target is based on the hh, and that is based on a normal retrace triggering a HH
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,818
  • Mar 17, 2014 6:10pm Mar 17, 2014 6:10pm
Quoting slow-trader
{quote} I might take a short on AUD soon if it touches the trendline and 200 MA on daily (oanda). at least a 4h close above .9130 for me to go long, and that will probably be on a pullback test of that trendline. Monthly ATR is still pretty low, we can easily see .87 by April 1st if that MA/Trendline caps it. second chart, AUDCAD weekly is capped below a couple MA's ... and the spikes above are becoming lower and lower; that momentum lost might be indicative of a pullback in the AUD soon. And since you pay attention to walmart, do you watch others...
i have it going to .83 eventually. but it has never retraced much after hitting last summers target. its a good time to go to 9500 or even 1.02xx.. i doubt the later with u.s. oil increasing all the time. 9498 is the latest confirmed bull although it missed the pullback i like atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #883,819
  • Mar 17, 2014 6:25pm Mar 17, 2014 6:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i have it going to .83 eventually. but it has never retraced much after hitting last summers target. its a good time to go to 9500 or even 1.02xx.. i doubt the later with u.s. oil increasing all the time. 9498 is the latest confirmed bull although it missed the pullback i like atm.
I will only scalp long above .9130.

A couple EM currencies that I am watching on weekly are hinting at a strong USD, and of course since the Dollar index doesn't cover those currencies, what we see in the index might be a lie.

If the daily trendline holds off AUD below .9130, I might start turning pretty USD bullish soon.
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  • #883,820
  • Mar 17, 2014 6:27pm Mar 17, 2014 6:27pm
not to mention the Turkish Lira and S.A. Rand against the JPY
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