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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #44,001
  • Mar 13, 2014 11:32pm Mar 13, 2014 11:32pm
japan wants a weak yen and will doing everything possible to make it happen,
looks like a sweet time to buy uj as vix indicator start scaling down again.
  • #44,002
  • Mar 13, 2014 11:56pm Mar 13, 2014 11:56pm
Quoting acidguy
japan wants a weak yen and will doing everything possible to make it happen, looks like a sweet time to buy uj as vix indicator start scaling down again.
I like the cadjpy long here
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #44,003
  • Mar 14, 2014 12:03am Mar 14, 2014 12:03am
looks like 101.33/41 might provide a place for a bounce, I dont like it enough to get long however, and I cant find a place I would like to get short, so I'll pass on trading this today...gl
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #44,004
  • Mar 14, 2014 2:04am Mar 14, 2014 2:04am
101.199 is the key level for me...over that long, under that won't long (wouldn't short either).
f(z)=z2+c
  • #44,005
  • Mar 14, 2014 2:31am Mar 14, 2014 2:31am
Try to take some longs at 101.7. Normally we should not get lower before around 4 hours from now. Let's see if correct.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #44,006
  • Mar 14, 2014 2:54am Mar 14, 2014 2:54am
S&P is highly overvalued and UJ follow it. That's one of the reasons for the drop at JPY crosses. There's absolutely no mystery why UJ has fallen. If BoJ wants weaker Yen, it doesn't mean that UJ should go to 120 immediately. Even if it falls to 90 the uptrend would be intact. Yen is still a safe heaven and if someone believes that S&P would go to 2000 in two months because the media says that markets are not overvalued and Japanese would buy like a crazy everything in their way without asking about the price..sorry. I think that big correction at the markets has begun and UJ will be highly affected by this. For long term investors and for those who entered in mid 80's there's no problem, for speculators - follow the trend without guessing what japanese want, and the trend right now is down.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #44,007
  • Mar 14, 2014 6:52am Mar 14, 2014 6:52am
Quoting PayTheLimit
looks like 101.33/41 might provide a place for a bounce...
Excellent level to go long.
I suggest that you take the trade.
Don't miss the opportunity.
You will be glad you did.
  • #44,008
  • Mar 14, 2014 6:57am Mar 14, 2014 6:57am
Added short @ 101.44. Target 101.20 or 100.77
  • #44,009
  • Mar 14, 2014 6:58am Mar 14, 2014 6:58am
Quoting pipcenturion
{quote} Excellent level to go long. I suggest that you take the trade. Don't miss the opportunity. You will be glad you did.

its a good place to cover shorts I think, longs are another story, perhaps if it wasn't Friday, I would take a punt, but I am going to pass, I've called it a week...good luck to you sir..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #44,010
  • Mar 14, 2014 6:58am Mar 14, 2014 6:58am
Quoting shripsfx
{quote} Daily RSI has rejected 60 and falling so this is good for a short. Targeting 101.00 as a minimum. Strong NFP's was not enough to push through and stay above 103.30. GJ is an even better short. Watch the retail longs get burned in the next few days/weeks.

getting there quicker than i thought. Expect a small bounce at 101.
  • #44,011
  • Mar 14, 2014 7:26am Mar 14, 2014 7:26am
Wtf. There is no respect in this pair at all.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #44,012
  • Mar 14, 2014 7:35am Mar 14, 2014 7:35am
you can buy USD/JPY now, 100% profit quaranteed.
  • #44,013
  • Mar 14, 2014 7:44am Mar 14, 2014 7:44am
Quoting tedsung
you can buy USD/JPY now, 100% profit quaranteed.
Excuse me but guaranteed by what?
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #44,014
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:01am Mar 14, 2014 8:01am
I know Jpy don't respect candles (likes to overwrite storng spikes for example), but a H1 hammer close like this can generate a new h1 bull candle, and that would make the H4 to closea sa hammer in one hour...
f(z)=z2+c
  • #44,015
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:14am Mar 14, 2014 8:14am
Retail boys are net long, short the hell out of this and get them out.

Only those who have sized their positions well will survive this fall thanks to Crimea.
  • #44,016
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:23am Mar 14, 2014 8:23am
Quoting hathor
I know Jpy don't respect candles (likes to overwrite storng spikes for example), but a H1 hammer close like this can generate a new h1 bull candle, and that would make the H4 to closea sa hammer in one hour...
uups...I was wrong...H4 close already happened.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #44,017
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:28am Mar 14, 2014 8:28am
warren buffet said ' be greedy when everyone is fearful and be fearful when everyone is greedy' usdjpy keeps dropping, at some point i ve got to go long. i knw because of the crimea saga money's flowing into jpy, chf and gold, so shorting jpy might not make sense atm, especially since its friday, but at some point i gotta go long usdjpy.
  • #44,018
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:29am Mar 14, 2014 8:29am
Quoting hathor
{quote} uups...I was wrong...H4 close already happened.
Hammers killed me twice yesterday. Aim for 100.77
  • #44,019
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:35am Mar 14, 2014 8:35am
can anyone tell where USDJPY is heading....
  • #44,020
  • Mar 14, 2014 8:40am Mar 14, 2014 8:40am
Quoting thole91
{quote} Hammers killed me twice yesterday. Aim for 100.77
yepp, but I have a feeling of BoJ makes a fool of us..
- every was waiting for an upswing that didn't come...they just pushed down and down
- after the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes everybody was waiting for the real turn, but they just pushed and pushed
- until we reach near the monthly low (~7points needed (not even a pip))

Something is not right...why is it stopped? This thing stinks...

Edit: This is the battle of nerves and stops....I wouldn't surprise to see a lower low and a f***'n hard rise.
Rising over 101.9 (102) would kill the bear momentum in no time.
f(z)=z2+c
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