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  • #883,181
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:12pm Mar 13, 2014 2:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} long atm.. looking to s, but 4146 has not been hit. so i will wait.. came within 180. tomorrow's friday, and they suck...
I'm holding my long from 1.3856, had an additional to BE so I'm not worried. Also hoping for 1.4145 but maybe I'll cut on 1.4045.

Things can turn to bad on next week with the Russian picnic in Crimea, specially for our super-fast, super-powered European politicians.
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  • #883,182
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:14pm Mar 13, 2014 2:14pm
NFP + unemployment data for USD was good.

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Week-end event:
http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/03...er-in-ukraine/

I have removed the TP from my shorts, more exactly I set to 1.3 from 1.37
Once I got around 200 pip in favor from Friday to Monday.
I want to buy PATIENCE
  • #883,183
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:17pm Mar 13, 2014 2:17pm
EU 4H

Bounced @ the 23, still HH HL. News from Ukraine might press the issue but uptrend is intact, so I would be cautious of becoming overly bearish.

$SPX bearish $DXY looks to have stopped moving, still in down trend for now, volatile moves but supports / resistances still intact.

Trade safe

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  • #883,184
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:19pm Mar 13, 2014 2:19pm
Quoting Alorente
So where does Draghi think EurUsd should be? The answer may be hidden in his statement: The strengthening of the effective euro exchange over the past one and a half years has certainly had a significant impact on our low rate of inflation, and, given current levels of inflation, is therefore becoming increasingly relevant in our assessment of price stability. The Euro has been rising for a year and 9 months, but he specifically said 1 1/2 years. What price was EurUsd at that time? The answer is 1.2900. I think he is sending the market the message...
Good Point Alorente! Hope He could speaks more transparently on every next conferences to make that happen faster
what a lesson today ..one sentence could mean anything on market ....happened just like that.. reverse a strong trend
A handful of patience is worth a bushel of brains
  • #883,185
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:22pm Mar 13, 2014 2:22pm
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} ...and it's seems more aggressive shorts are coming, so, we can carry loading shorts to catchup loses... ...crazy forex continu -> yeee haaaa... !? -) {image}
yeah I'll try another one, with an stop (giving some room to the movement) but from the peacefulness size 8-). Mucha suerte Miguel!
  • #883,186
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:27pm Mar 13, 2014 2:27pm
If you take into account the recent data out of China, it doesnt seem far fatched to assume that diviersification away from USD is peaking out here. That recent negative trade balance is significant, as billions in 'exports' that were actually hot money inflows begin to reverse direction, China will have way less USD on their hands to sell.

Price action this morning after retail sales reaked of typical central bank trading. A good number from the US prints, and every single pair sees the USD fall right afterwards. Its hard to speculate how much USD China has bought as USDCNY has moved from 6.05 to 6.14, that money will need to be diversified. So theres a build up in USD from their intervention that needs to be sold, but in the longer run you can bet that now that there is 2 way risk in USDCNY, the reversal of the massively popular free money carry trade of short USDCNY will have insanely far reaching effects.


Maybe this is the phantom flow Ive been looking for... and once it ends the true market dynamics will take over.

We've already seen copper get blasted, as its usually collateral for the phantom over invoicing of 'exports' to sneak money into China. Said money is then invested into Chinese property or shadow banking products. The contraction in credit was seen in lower bank loans, which doesn't even measure shadow bank credit so the contraction there could be worse.

AUD is nowhere near the bottom, the longer USDCNY remains volatile the more we will get a reading on the 'real' exports coming out of China.
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  • #883,187
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:27pm Mar 13, 2014 2:27pm
I'm trying to automate aspects of trading. Just now I got 2 texts on my phone. My broker closed two TP trades. I was doing something else. Nice surprise.
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  • #883,188
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:14pm Mar 13, 2014 3:14pm
Looking to double shorts if we can get back to 1.3880-3900

First stop on the downside is 1.3800-1.3780.

Above 1.3930 I give up
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Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #883,189
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:23pm Mar 13, 2014 3:23pm
If 1.388 holds prolly a good sign we are going back to 1.37
  • #883,190
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:24pm Mar 13, 2014 3:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} long atm.. looking to s, but 4146 has not been hit. so i will wait.. came within 180. tomorrow's friday, and they suck...
We are turning down from mid of 1.603x to 1.187x move as you mentioned last year about 1.3711 as LM . Do you consider this as well?
  • #883,191
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:24pm Mar 13, 2014 3:24pm
Quoting iNSIELD
If 1.388 holds prolly a good sign we are going back to 1.37
Also USD/CHF bounced from a pretty important support Area
  • #883,192
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:32pm Mar 13, 2014 3:32pm
Quoting iNSIELD
If 1.388 holds prolly a good sign we are going back to 1.37
...mayday mayday... -)
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  • #883,193
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:33pm Mar 13, 2014 3:33pm
DXY on pace for highest volume in 6 months.... on a doji candle close.


Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #883,194
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:45pm Mar 13, 2014 3:45pm
Waiting a bit for the euro rebound on Friday. would be nice to see a 1,388 so i can short down again
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #883,195
  • Mar 13, 2014 4:04pm Mar 13, 2014 4:04pm
Quoting Mr.C
Good day traders. EUR/USD as one of the pairs on today's menu. Pending buy placed @ 1,3917. SL @ 1,3887.
Was wrong about today's EU long. Position stopped out with -30 pips (0,7%). Congrats to short players!

Calling it a day. Good luck.
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #883,196
  • Mar 13, 2014 4:08pm Mar 13, 2014 4:08pm
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} BE on chfjpy killed +20 on EURUSD on low entry still hold sells from 396+ cadchf green gbpchf green audchf which was not live call also green
killed chfjpy +160
eurusd killed rest on +100
i still hold chf pairs green on BE
  • #883,197
  • Mar 13, 2014 4:19pm Mar 13, 2014 4:19pm
...oh shiiiiit -> a magic line came out -> a signal for a up move like that ! ...i hope the shorting guys are not sleeping, they'll have a bad surprise ! -(
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  • #883,198
  • Mar 13, 2014 4:20pm Mar 13, 2014 4:20pm
Hi Miguel...were did you take this line from????
  • #883,199
  • Mar 13, 2014 4:26pm Mar 13, 2014 4:26pm
Quoting Miguel.N
...oh shiiiiit -> a magic line came out -> a signal for a up move like that ! ...i hope the shorting guys are not sleeping, they'll have a bad surprise ! -( {image}
Forget it, your earlier graphic was better -

Of course we will have retrace and pingpong like always.
But for me until different signals we are going down.
Waiting for the retrace to come to an end and then short again.
Will not go long here, have enough of retraces that are broken during my beauty sleep.
  • #883,200
  • Edited 4:42pm Mar 13, 2014 4:30pm | Edited 4:42pm
Quoting CandleStar
{quote} Forget it, your earlier graphic was better - Of course we will have retrace and pingpong like always. But for me until different signals we are going down. Waiting for the retrace to come to an end and then short again. Will not go long here, have enough of retraces that are broken during my beauty sleep.
...i wish, but my magic line never ever lie to me -> i am fully loaded for up because we have seen the lowest !

as usal- > crazy forex hahaha -)) -> this is what appening right now -> a powerfull launch ! ...so, a big heee haaaa -)))

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