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  • #881
  • Mar 12, 2014 1:35pm Mar 12, 2014 1:35pm
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Have no bias atm but price has been stuck in a box for 4 months and it's at the top now. Sometime it will breakout of the box - thats when I look to get in. Given that there is FTA very close above I would prefer to short as well.
Beginning to think this might be a better option - especially with the rumours that NZD rates might go up soon.

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  • #882
  • Mar 12, 2014 6:30pm Mar 12, 2014 6:30pm
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Beginning to think this might be a better option - especially with the rumours that NZD rates might go up soon. {image}
Hi Stewrigh

I am looking at this too. Below is the chart I put on my thread
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #883
  • Mar 12, 2014 7:43pm Mar 12, 2014 7:43pm
Quoting Olu
{quote} Hi Stewrigh I am looking at this too. Below is the chart I put on my thread {image}
I agree with your comments. On a confirmed breakdown this could be a longer term sell hold rather than a swing short.

I think it's the GBP that is very vulnerable right now. I have had a lot of the GBP crosses pegged as short setups based on COT data.

GBPUSD - Critical level now. My TF approach shows a 'buy the dip' call. But I am cautious.
GBPNZD - Looks to have well and truly broken down so will sell a rally a bit higher if I can
GBPAUD - At critical support trendline. This could be a real mover given the bullish COT sentiment on the AUD

I am still short GBP/CAD (got is a bit early to be honest) and its just been chopping around.....
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  • #884
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:08pm Mar 12, 2014 8:08pm
I missed particular amongst all the other news about/around Ukraine.....

http://www.goldcore.com/goldcore_blo...nancial_System

So Sunday looks to be a key day in the ongoing drama.
  • #885
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:13pm Mar 12, 2014 8:13pm
Quoting mypipbull
{quote} I agree with your comments. On a confirmed breakdown this could be a longer term sell hold rather than a swing short. I think it's the GBP that is very vulnerable right now. I have had a lot of the GBP crosses pegged as short setups based on COT data. GBPUSD - Critical level now. My TF approach shows a 'buy the dip' call. But I am cautious. GBPNZD - Looks to have well and truly broken down so will sell a rally a bit higher if I can GBPAUD - At critical support trendline. This could be a real mover given the bullish COT sentiment on the AUD...

I got in on the gbpnzd before the aud news. The pair tanked. It might be done tanking for today though hence I have tightened stops. I see a bit more upside for the gbpusd (towards 6850) before a major downmove. Let's see how this pans out

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #886
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:52pm Mar 12, 2014 8:52pm
A very importing pi$$ing contest indeed......

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-26549924
  • #887
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:55pm Mar 12, 2014 8:55pm
Flight to safety??....
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  • #888
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:00pm Mar 12, 2014 9:00pm
Quoting mypipbull
A very importing pi$$ing contest indeed...... http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-26549924
Great article. 'How are the mighty fallen ' comes to mind about America. At the same time is Ukraine worth fighting for in a way that could escalateto nuclear arms?

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #889
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:00pm Mar 12, 2014 9:00pm
Quoting mypipbull
Flight to safety??.... {image}

Definitely MPB

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #890
  • Mar 12, 2014 10:13pm Mar 12, 2014 10:13pm
Quoting Olu
{quote} Great article. 'How are the mighty fallen ' comes to mind about America. At the same time is Ukraine worth fighting for in a way that could escalateto nuclear arms? Olu
True....this is the key point IMO:

"A country which willingly gave up its nuclear arsenal... and received guarantees from the world's leading countries, finds itself unprotected, one-on-one with a country which is armed to its teeth,"

Ukraine were promised protection should they need it. Its a matter of are the US (and other EU countries) going to 'honour their word' or not.

If not they will lose a lot of face. This could prompt countries to look at what other promises have been given by the US and see if those promises have any merit at all? For example US Treasuries or the USD itself.

As we know this is a trust and confidence game. When these run out we hit trouble.
  • #891
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:58am Mar 13, 2014 2:58am
Quoting Olu
{quote} Hi Stewrigh I am looking at this too. Below is the chart I put on my thread {image}
I didn't realise you had a thread Olu - I'll add it to my watch list.
  • #892
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:25am Mar 13, 2014 3:25am
Quoting mypipbull
{quote} True....this is the key point IMO: "A country which willingly gave up its nuclear arsenal... and received guarantees from the world's leading countries, finds itself unprotected, one-on-one with a country which is armed to its teeth," Ukraine were promised protection should they need it. Its a matter of are the US (and other EU countries) going to 'honour their word' or not. If not they will lose a lot of face. This could prompt countries to look at what other promises have been given by the US and see if those promises have any merit...
US Influence is on test here. And the first signs is that it is failing. If the 'US' cant turn Putin around here no other country will accept US promises of protection. They will reply 'Like you protected Ukraine eh?'
I saw an interview on TV where Obama was making a statement to the world and the new Ukraine leader was seated. The Ukraine leader looked like he was saying 'get on with saving us' while Obama seemed to be saying 'softly softly. please putin can you get out of Ukraine please'

I for one will not support war but I cant help thinking that Power has changed hands and its in Putin's hands

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #893
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:36am Mar 13, 2014 3:36am
Quoting Olu
{quote} US Influence is on test here. And the first signs is that it is failing. If the 'US' cant turn Putin around here no other country will accept US promises of protection. They will reply 'Like you protected Ukraine eh?' I saw an interview on TV where Obama was making a statement to the world and the new Ukraine leader was seated. The Ukraine leader looked like he was saying 'get on with saving us' while Obama seemed to be saying 'softly softly. please putin can you get out of Ukraine please' I for one will not support war but I cant help thinking...
There's an old adage that says power goes to whoever has the gold - gold is currently going east to China and Russia. The power will follow.
  • #894
  • Mar 13, 2014 3:42am Mar 13, 2014 3:42am
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Beginning to think this might be a better option - especially with the rumours that NZD rates might go up soon. {image}
Wow - Just switched my PC on - Think this might be a case of buy the rumour AND buy the news lol.

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  • #895
  • Mar 13, 2014 7:50am Mar 13, 2014 7:50am
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Wow - Just switched my PC on - Think this might be a case of buy the rumour AND buy the news lol. {image}
Like that one S buy both the rumour and the news. We have had a bit of a retracement it might be setting up to go down more. Gbp had a bit of a bounce as I suspected it would.
Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #896
  • Mar 14, 2014 5:26am Mar 14, 2014 5:26am
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Ok now I'm short target 7.6 {image}
Stopped - took a loss on this bastard - Think I'll get back in tho below 8.2.
  • #897
  • Mar 15, 2014 3:27am Mar 15, 2014 3:27am
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Stopped - took a loss on this bastard - Think I'll get back in tho below 8.2.
Euro just continues to grind higher......looks like the EU trying to look at 1.4.
  • #898
  • Mar 15, 2014 3:29am Mar 15, 2014 3:29am
Quoting mypipbull
A very importing pi$$ing contest indeed...... http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-26549924
Cheers for the link Mike...
Memories caught in time but never forgotten
  • #899
  • Mar 16, 2014 4:58am Mar 16, 2014 4:58am
Quoting j4d
{quote} Cheers for the link Mike...
sweet
  • #900
  • Mar 19, 2014 4:10am Mar 19, 2014 4:10am
Woulda, shoulda, coulda - lol.
D'ya reckon we missed the boat on this one?

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