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  • #882,841
  • Mar 13, 2014 12:47am Mar 13, 2014 12:47am
Quoting Avir
Still waiting for the CNY data Oh just heard that Chinese having IT problem for the release of data
Lower than expected data.. just in
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #882,842
  • Mar 13, 2014 12:57am Mar 13, 2014 12:57am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} This is a larger view but if I saw this on a smaller tf I'd be inclined to look for confirmations to trade. To accommodate we have a daily (90 day) TL broken on the 28/2, a (57 and 19) weekly TL's broken last week (it's currently trading at longer term weekly TL too) and it has broken the top monthly TL, though it is early in the month and can easily create a wick instead. It is at critical levels imo which is why I think there is so much sideways happening atm with the real battle for up or down being fought. {image}
matt bro, i just found a better possibility of triangle. the a leg end is at 1.6038 the e leg end is at 1.4696. the triangle journey start at 1.1866. that gives 3 segment each leg.
becoz it did not hit 0.75 of the largest leg and/or 1.618. small chance its contracting/expanding. possible is a strange big b wave of flat.
is it acceptable under logical thinking and collection of normal patterns?
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #882,843
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:12am Mar 13, 2014 1:12am
Quoting Esssex
3760 is apparently the number to hit in order to form a top. The break above 3895 brought 4250 into play so 3760 needs to go or tech-wise is set up for 4250. This, from the weekly charts. Reiterating my stance, not touching EU until it reaches 4200 or so, going to use my equity on more UJ and NZD longs. Re-analysis after my miscall on short EU @3825 and even 3881

Re-analysis seems to be right for now. Markets want to ignore economic damage of a strong euro, should see EUR strength start to falter during July/August when PIIGS have to be refinanced. 4250 still in the books. Still not going to touch this pair where tech and fund doesn't coincide.


Still buying UJ dips, stopped adding on NZD/USD longs as the monthly indicate some supply at current levels, no change on buying the dips on NZD/JPY.
  • #882,844
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:17am Mar 13, 2014 1:17am
Look at EUR/JPY to see how much legit was this move. Just a stop run, no fear
  • #882,845
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:34am Mar 13, 2014 1:34am
Historical review about US Retail Sales (MoM) February vs March (actual data) :

Year, Feb, Mar
2007, +0.5, n.a
2008, +0.4, -0.4
2009, +1.8, +0.3
2010, +0.1, +0.5
2011, +0.7, +1.1
2012, +0.6, +1.0
2013, +0.2, +1.0
2014, -0.4, ????

What will happen this month ?? will it paint green? will it beat the concensus at +0.2% ??

Place your bets !!!
K.I.S.S.
  • #882,846
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:39am Mar 13, 2014 1:39am
well
Mr.M is wrong
eu 13333 today
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  • #882,847
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:55am Mar 13, 2014 1:55am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} risk to 3940/90 with momentum otherwizze we gonna sell this mofu hard
americazz news later in a day will direct it
we lay on the first play HH 394x
selling towards 3990 and managing the pigz
targets
down 388x opens 379x
  • #882,848
  • Mar 13, 2014 1:58am Mar 13, 2014 1:58am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} matt bro, i just found a better possibility of triangle. the a leg end is at 1.6038 the e leg end is at 1.4696. the triangle journey start at 1.1866. that gives 3 segment each leg. becoz it did not hit 0.75 of the largest leg and/or 1.618. small chance its contracting/expanding. possible is a strange big b wave of flat. is it acceptable under logical thinking and collection of normal patterns?
I think I see where your at and yah sure definitely possible. The next step would be to find confirmation anyway you can. For my strat I look at the micro level and as one level is supported/broken I begin to work my way up in tf's and can start making assumptions on what may happen next. I am far from correct all the time though... in early feb I was convinced we would drop hard below 1.354 but instead it flew in opposite direction . I could be wrong here again, it happens. I use my strat and it wins more than loses so I have to trust in my system.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #882,849
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:04am Mar 13, 2014 2:04am
who's going heavily long above 1,40?
nobody (big banks included)
shorting is more rational than ever
  • #882,850
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:05am Mar 13, 2014 2:05am
Quoting artocarpus
who's going heavily long above 1,40? nobody (big banks included) shorting is more rational than ever
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,851
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:06am Mar 13, 2014 2:06am
1.389x is calling once again
  • #882,852
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:15am Mar 13, 2014 2:15am
well just looking at the monthly chart, 1.40 rarely has caped it...just sayin..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #882,853
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:19am Mar 13, 2014 2:19am
even draghi is sure about euro collapse that he is doing nothing,
ukraine conflict, eurovotes in may (nationalism increase)
we watch a manipulation game from banks to push the price in a higher level
so they can get more pips during the fall
its always the same
stay with manipulators side
is too risky
  • #882,854
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:19am Mar 13, 2014 2:19am
Quoting artocarpus
even draghi is sure about euro collapse that he is doing nothing, ukraine conflict, eurovotes in may (nationalism increase) we watch a manipulation game from banks to push the price in a higher level so they can get more pips during the fall its always the same stay with manipulators side is too risky
Don't worry so much! FXRat is here reporting for Duty!
rat
  • #882,855
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:26am Mar 13, 2014 2:26am
so much fun coming haha
  • #882,856
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:26am Mar 13, 2014 2:26am
Quoting artocarpus
who's going heavily long above 1,40? nobody (big banks included) shorting is more rational than ever

Hello Arto

My last long entered 1.39 TO 141

Got quiet a few longs closing at 1.40

Nobody wants to left holding the hot potato

at the end off the week.:nerd:
  • #882,857
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:35am Mar 13, 2014 2:35am
Impressive rise....

They really want the precious 1,40, but 1,41 is better

Chancing a short here, 10 pips stop. Then waiting for NY
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #882,858
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:41am Mar 13, 2014 2:41am
What to expect from Dragi in a few hours.
  • #882,859
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:42am Mar 13, 2014 2:42am
Quoting 3Davy
What to expect from Dragi in a few hours.
1.45
Once scalper always scalper
  • #882,860
  • Mar 13, 2014 2:48am Mar 13, 2014 2:48am
EU W1 H4

970s to hold bulls short term imo
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