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EURUSD

  • #882,741
  • Mar 12, 2014 7:39pm Mar 12, 2014 7:39pm
Quoting suthmo
Dow 16281.00 Support for 17000s
Flying high
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #882,742
  • Mar 12, 2014 7:43pm Mar 12, 2014 7:43pm
Quoting Jeheil
Euro has seemed very resilient to bad Euro news over the last couple of weeks, it seems to be ignoring the fundamental fear factor of Ukraine, I think before going big on predictions of 1.40+ we need to see what happens with the Crimean referendum in Ukraine, give the options being Join Russia or Leave Ukraine !! it could get a bit hairy if Putin orders all Ukrainian forces to get out of his Crimea.

All of this is priced in > Putin is simply flexing his musclesand in the grand scheme of things he ain't some Kalashnikov toting gangster hell bent on starting WW3 unlike some f**** u p middle eastern countries who are stuck in the twelve century with their religious beliefs...
  • #882,743
  • Mar 12, 2014 7:44pm Mar 12, 2014 7:44pm
The point is that the moves are technical not funamental
  • #882,744
  • Mar 12, 2014 7:59pm Mar 12, 2014 7:59pm
Quoting Jofan
The point is that the moves are technical not funamental


858 < 869
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #882,745
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:09pm Mar 12, 2014 8:09pm
1.4000 should touch, and then down.
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,746
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:10pm Mar 12, 2014 8:10pm
Expect a big move or a wild consolidation. We are at a critical support/resistance (1.3867 to 1.3887).

The attached is weekly chart with a 15 minute zoom-in. All fib lines are several week old.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled11111.jpg Size: 96 KB
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #882,747
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:16pm Mar 12, 2014 8:16pm
Quoting I-Robo
1.4000 should touch, and then down.
to 1.379 ,than up to 1.42 ? is that a plan?
  • #882,748
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:31pm Mar 12, 2014 8:31pm
big picture weekly chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-03-13_12-29_MetaTrader 4 IC.jpg Size: 136 KB
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,749
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:32pm Mar 12, 2014 8:32pm
we are in very strong up trend which started in july 2012
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,750
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:33pm Mar 12, 2014 8:33pm
Quoting I-Robo
big picture weekly chart {image}
Robo, what's your analysis of fundamentals? Do you think it will break or follow this yellow trendline?
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #882,751
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:35pm Mar 12, 2014 8:35pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Robo, what's your analysis of fundamentals? Do you think it will break or follow this yellow trendline?
technically EURO looks super bullish, but my concerns are Crimea tension.
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,752
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:38pm Mar 12, 2014 8:38pm
Quoting I-Robo
{quote} technically EURO looks super bullish, but my concerns are Crimea tension.
Me too think the same way, but I have no doubts about euro strength....................... Ukraine like situations sometimes are only on surface with another story/interests behind it......................... Money makes the mare go.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #882,753
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:43pm Mar 12, 2014 8:43pm
Quoting Jeheil
Euro has seemed very resilient to bad Euro news over the last couple of weeks, it seems to be ignoring the fundamental fear factor of Ukraine, I think before going big on predictions of 1.40+ we need to see what happens with the Crimean referendum in Ukraine, give the options being Join Russia or Leave Ukraine !! it could get a bit hairy if Putin orders all Ukrainian forces to get out of his Crimea.
Do you think the only option get euro down need war in europe ??
Once scalper always scalper
  • #882,754
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:51pm Mar 12, 2014 8:51pm
Where is all wise guy about bla bla bla euro cant finish higher 6 or 7 weeks in row? Thank you I sitting in red ...
Once scalper always scalper
  • #882,755
  • Mar 12, 2014 8:58pm Mar 12, 2014 8:58pm
Quoting freemen
Where is all wise guy about bla bla bla euro cant finish higher 6 or 7 weeks in row? Thank you I sitting in red ...
That's a bit harsh. Week hasn't ended yet. Plus, that guy was referring to probability and was right on at least this count. We learn and share with each other. Have an open mind and broader heart bro.............................. It is a good opportunity to pracitice some leadership skills here. Believe me, you will never find idiots like me anywhere else to practice upon. Between, I do this, you do the same. Just an unwanted/unsolicited advice.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #882,756
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:01pm Mar 12, 2014 9:01pm
cremia or Ukraine or Russia, but it seems 1400 is a sure touch down.

lets see...I will monitor this closely, because I am holding quite few shorts.
I am smart than average trader, I simply copy the best.
  • #882,757
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:11pm Mar 12, 2014 9:11pm
Quoting I-Robo
cremia or Ukraine or Russia, but it seems 1400 is a sure touch down. lets see...I will monitor this closely, because I am holding quite few shorts.
If it touches 1.4000, leave 10% of the position for another 120 pips if you have slightest faith on my 18-years of currency trading experience.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #882,758
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:20pm Mar 12, 2014 9:20pm
Quoting freemen
Where is all wise guy about bla bla bla euro cant finish higher 6 or 7 weeks in row? Thank you I sitting in red ...
Lol, dude... I was talking about low probability scenario in EURUSD going 6 uptrend weeks in a row... luckily I got out before that last bounce from 1.3850... and managed to place a new short @1.3911 .. Since we're talking about probabilities, I prefer to call them bets instead of trades.. and its not wise to place a bet forgetting about money management. On the other hand, if this weekly ends up painting blue, we will have 6 in a row.. so better chances for having a red candle next week (max uptrend weeks in a row I can see in my history data, since 2002, is 7)

edit.: you can still save your underwater shorts if they are not that huge. Some options I know; place a new short higher so you can average your BE level, wait for a dip or absorb the loss now.
K.I.S.S.
  • #882,759
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:23pm Mar 12, 2014 9:23pm
EURUSD will come down, there is about 90% probability that EURUSD come down, because if you look at weekly charts, this week 6th bullish week. 6 bullish week in a row never happened on EURUSD also EURO area is fragile there is no good signs that ECB will start hiking rates. more likely US starts hiking rates first.

So I expect either little reversal and then consolidation or big reversal this week.
kiss the trend
  • #882,760
  • Mar 12, 2014 9:27pm Mar 12, 2014 9:27pm
Quoting Leijenberg
{quote} Lol, dude... I was talking about low probability scenario in EURUSD going 6 uptrend weeks in a row... luckily I got out before that last bounce from 1.3850... and managed to place a new short @1.3911 .. Since we're talking about probabilities, I prefer to call them bets instead of trades.. and its not wise to place a bet forgetting about money management. On the other hand, if this weekly ends up painting blue, we will have 6 in a row.. so better chances for having a red candle next week (max uptrend weeks in a row I can see in my history...
Lol, a good reply.

I checked the candles after you pointed it out. These candles are smaller than normal. Once again, this is a market full of deceptions, the key is to manage your money and the best way I have found to do this is to KEEP YOUR POSITIONS AS SMALL AS POSSIBLE ................. no matter what.
The Thief of Wall Street
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