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Geppy's Geppy Thread (GBP/JPY)

  • #11,321
  • Edited 12:02pm Mar 2, 2014 11:51am | Edited 12:02pm
GJ and EJ minus approx 100 pipsi down gap!
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when GOD brings you a challenge he also gives you the power to deal with it
  • #11,322
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:17pm Mar 2, 2014 12:17pm
LOL!! I went short GBP/JPY last Friday and held it.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,323
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:19pm Mar 2, 2014 12:19pm
Quoting Temujin
LOL!! I went short GBP/JPY last Friday and held it.
me neither!!!

great for us!
when GOD brings you a challenge he also gives you the power to deal with it
  • #11,324
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:24pm Mar 2, 2014 12:24pm
Quoting karmostaji
{quote} Nothing, forget the news and trade the chart.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,325
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:25pm Mar 2, 2014 12:25pm
I am already positional short
  • #11,326
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:32pm Mar 2, 2014 12:32pm
Quoting Noob Trader
I am already positional short
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when GOD brings you a challenge he also gives you the power to deal with it
  • #11,327
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:38pm Mar 2, 2014 12:38pm
It will go low and low. Yen=Safe heaven.
  • #11,328
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:45pm Mar 2, 2014 12:45pm
For sure guys. So funny on Friday how the banks flushed out the shorts on EUR/USD. The S&P ramped up to a record high and the euro popped past 1.38. Retail was incredibly short Friday on the euro. It seems to me the banks were already seeing the risks for the coming week and of course they don't want anyone else to be riding their wave so they use stopping volume to shake you out.

They always want to be the ones to sell to you when you want to buy or when you take a sell position it has to be way lower than their short at the top. The Friday moves had nothing to do with anything other than they want you out.

So what they do is this; Banks commit an action like you saw on Friday. Then they spin it with the mass financial media as to why you saw what happened even though it is the farthest thing from the truth.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,329
  • Mar 2, 2014 12:51pm Mar 2, 2014 12:51pm
Quoting Temujin
For sure guys. So funny on Friday how the banks flushed out the shorts on EUR/USD. The S&P ramped up to a record high and the euro popped past 1.38. Retail was incredibly short Friday on the euro. It seems to me the banks were already seeing the risks for the coming week and of course they don't want anyone else to be riding their wave so they use stopping volume to shake you out. They always want to be the ones to sell to you when you want to buy or when you take a sell position it has to be way lower than their short at the top. The Friday moves...
its call,STOPLOSS HUNTING.
when GOD brings you a challenge he also gives you the power to deal with it
  • #11,330
  • Mar 2, 2014 1:03pm Mar 2, 2014 1:03pm
Yes eitan, but there were articles provided by the mass media on the motivation for the S&P high. What was it for the euro? I forgot. More Flaky U.S. data? A renewed risk appetite? Some kind of crap was reported. Whatever was conveyed it was anything other than the real reason.

Oanda had a sample on Friday of like 75% short and 25% long on the euro so any other reason than burning the shorts is fake, a lie, false reporting.

If they were to write real articles it should of gone something like this; We see event risk the coming week with scheduled data releases and great uncertainty with the situation in the Ukraine. Therefore seeing most individual traders are initiating short positions we want to burn them with inducement spikes because we want to go short for next week.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,331
  • Mar 2, 2014 1:08pm Mar 2, 2014 1:08pm
Quoting Temujin
Yes eitan, but there were articles provided by the mass media on the motivation for the S&P high. What was it for the euro? I forgot. More Flaky U.S. data? A renewed risk appetite? Some kind of crap was reported. Whatever was conveyed it was anything other than the real reason.
yepp u right about it.
when GOD brings you a challenge he also gives you the power to deal with it
  • #11,332
  • Edited 5:17pm Mar 2, 2014 2:49pm | Edited 5:17pm
Decision Points calendar week 10(EU)/09(US):

Map:
177.20/00
175.60/40
174.80/60
173.20/00 (optimal TP this week(long))
170.80/60
170.10/69.80 (Mid)
169.40/20
168.20/00 (short TP + buyback)
166.40/20
165.20/00
163.00/62.80
161.60/40
160.20/00
158.80/60

If you find yourself long/short in any Point above mentioned, conservative TP: halfway inbetween every decision point, dont give away profits. If you can get 50/60/70's, just take it. There gonna be chances for a re-entry.

(Shorts be careful, the downmove might be already done if 170.10/69.90 holds as support here. Then we gonna see a test of 170.80/60 again.
If it doesnt next decision point 169.40/20.(posted first))

Add: Completed.

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  • #11,333
  • Mar 2, 2014 3:07pm Mar 2, 2014 3:07pm
I will be sure to keep a watch on this one all week Ray. Some important data this week including the BOE rate decision in a couple days. Thanks for the levels provided.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,334
  • Mar 2, 2014 5:41pm Mar 2, 2014 5:41pm
Quoting FX-Ray
Decision Points calendar week 10(EU)/09(US): Map: 177.20/00 175.60/40 174.80/60 173.20/00 (optimal TP this week(long)) 170.80/60 170.10/69.80 (Mid) 169.40/20 168.20/00 (short TP + buyback) 166.40/20 165.20/00 163.00/62.80 161.60/40 160.20/00 158.80/60 If you find yourself long/short in any Point above mentioned, conservative TP: halfway inbetween every decision point, dont give away profits. If you can get 50/60/70's, just take it. There gonna be chances for a re-entry. (Shorts be careful, the downmove might be already done if 170.10/69.90 holds...
All the lvls noted for trade
  • #11,335
  • Mar 2, 2014 5:42pm Mar 2, 2014 5:42pm
Quoting eNjoyPips
{quote} Pair went to as high as 171.20, and falling to 170.3/4 region before weekend close. I still believe this pair would test 171.4/5 at the very least. 4hr close above that I would target 172.2 region, which was swing high. [For Longs] On the opposite direction, any 4hr close below 170.10, I would target 169.00/169.10 [ For shorts ] No GBPJPY position carried over the weekend. Just GBPCAD short targeting 1.8408. My personal bias for next week is that this pair would test 171.4, before falling to test 169.xx again. Hope February 2014 was nice...

Pair opened below support(170.10). Would stay on the sidelines. However, if 4hr GBPJPY goes back to 170.3/4 levels, long target would be 171.4/5, and then 172.2. All key resistances.

On the other hand, if pair closes below 169.00, 168.2 is next target, being support.

Current Bias: Pair would head to as a low as 169.00, before rebounding up. Will look for long entry now.

Have a good trading week/month.
  • #11,336
  • Mar 2, 2014 5:43pm Mar 2, 2014 5:43pm
Good advice, take the 50 to 70 pips. Must not be too fearful nor greedy. Secretary Kerry is on his way to Kiev to increase the agitation in Ukraine. Unless Britain, France and the U.S. want to posse up and ride in they will not be able to deal with a potentate like Vladimir Putin.

The BOE is expected to let rates stand as they are for now and some analysts don't project a raise until 2015.

No real rush for the exits yet in Tokyo just a refusal to bid at this level so far. Same as usual thick and slow as molasses. London will be interesting. GJ linked to equities and the FTSE is still very fat. Ukraine is just the thing needed for it to run down a bit from the fear to lose weight.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #11,337
  • Mar 2, 2014 5:45pm Mar 2, 2014 5:45pm
Quoting FX-Ray
Decision Points calendar week 10(EU)/09(US): Map: 177.20/00 175.60/40 174.80/60 173.20/00 (optimal TP this week(long)) 170.80/60 170.10/69.80 (Mid) 169.40/20 168.20/00 (short TP + buyback) 166.40/20 165.20/00 163.00/62.80 161.60/40 160.20/00 158.80/60 If you find yourself long/short in any Point above mentioned, conservative TP: halfway inbetween every decision point, dont give away profits. If you can get 50/60/70's, just take it. There gonna be chances for a re-entry. (Shorts be careful, the downmove might be already done if 170.10/69.90 holds...
Have to admit I am really impressed by the levels you gave. Thanks for that. However, would you care to clarify how do you foresee the upcoming direction for the next 6-9 hours?
  • #11,338
  • Mar 2, 2014 5:58pm Mar 2, 2014 5:58pm
@Quads

Dude, please tell me you got in this time?
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  • #11,339
  • Mar 2, 2014 6:16pm Mar 2, 2014 6:16pm
Quoting SirMcPip
Time: 04:59 AM GMT BOUGHT GBP/JPY AT 1,70 TARGET 1,80 STOPS: NONE
Hi my friend Sir - long term trader , how are you ????

long time not see you here @ FF. I expect a fall to 166.26 before and in extension 162.269 before we see your level @ 180.xxx

have a good one and good luck with your trade

Schickeria!
  • #11,340
  • Mar 2, 2014 6:20pm Mar 2, 2014 6:20pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Hi my friend Sir - long term trader , how are you ???? long time not see you here @ FF. I expect a fall to 166.26 before and in extension 162.269 before we see your level @ 180.xxx have a good one and good luck with your trade Schickeria!
IŽd prefer such a deep dip but unfortunately not every shot can be a homerun.
Well, who knows
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