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  • #879,701
  • Feb 27, 2014 2:21pm Feb 27, 2014 2:21pm
Well, Ive been short for every remotely significant move down in EURUSD since September, and It bounces stopping me out for chump change gains every single time. Guess I shouldnt be surprised now. I never had the tendency for range and trend trading, I hope those that trade those styles have had a great 6 months.


Thank god for USDCAD, its been the fundamental position/trend traders only friend.

Watching for break below 1.3680
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #879,702
  • Feb 27, 2014 2:32pm Feb 27, 2014 2:32pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} My plan is 138.50 {quote} {image}
if EURUSD see 1.3595

EURJPY is the same level @ 138.213 +/- 5 Pips
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  • #879,703
  • Feb 27, 2014 3:55pm Feb 27, 2014 3:55pm
EUR USD bullish. 1325, then 13755
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  • #879,704
  • Feb 27, 2014 4:05pm Feb 27, 2014 4:05pm
Quoting BlueGas
{quote} though i dont like EAs, but nicely written. Humm, Usdx suggests we could go much higher, means eu down {image}
What is USDX ?? is it a simple average of any USD pair you have available or how do you get it?
K.I.S.S.
  • #879,705
  • Feb 27, 2014 4:29pm Feb 27, 2014 4:29pm
Quoting Esssex
Still the same play, long scalps with tight stop loss below 3658 targeting 3720 with overall short positions on long term since 3764 targeting 1.3526. Home sales figure shouldn't be enough fundamental juice to break the range, the key fundamental driver that will break the range should come tomorrow with unemployment claims and durable goods order. Not to mention Yellen tomorrow but I could be proven wrong, who knows?

Rather disappointed that this short term long trade got stopped out at 3651 only to touch my target a couple of hours later.


I think the mixed data from US with Yellen's cautious comments will throw us back into range play once again. Not so keen on long scalps anymore at current price levels, not sure myself if it will even have the momentum to touch the sell orders at 3764. Shall wait to identify key zones with market orders.


Shall take a position on the sidelines and let my shorts at 3764 run.
  • #879,706
  • Feb 27, 2014 4:51pm Feb 27, 2014 4:51pm
Quoting Leijenberg
{quote} What is USDX ?? is it a simple average of any USD pair you have available or how do you get it?
Dollar index

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index
So, you think you have rights? LOL
  • #879,707
  • Feb 27, 2014 5:09pm Feb 27, 2014 5:09pm
Help guys, where can I watch the live streaming of BOE Gov Carney Speaks? please share your links Thanks in advance.
Usually how many minutes this speech last?
  • #879,708
  • Feb 27, 2014 5:12pm Feb 27, 2014 5:12pm
Quoting ForexOracle
{quote} Dollar index http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index
OMG I would be careful with that while trading SPOT FX stuff. I need to investigate more about how those weights are fixed, but if they are fully static (not dynamic) they may not represent a true image of the strenght of USD, e.g., adjusting weights by the daily traded volumes of all X pairs in the basket would make more sense. Another observation is that normalization of all values would be needed before the geometric average calculation, because USDJPY (for example) pumps a lot of noise to that chart. https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/fu..._Index_FAQ.pdf
K.I.S.S.
  • #879,709
  • Feb 27, 2014 5:36pm Feb 27, 2014 5:36pm
Quoting Leijenberg
{quote} OMG I would be careful with that while trading SPOT FX stuff. I need to investigate more about how those weights are fixed, but if they are fully static (not dynamic) they may not represent a true image of the strenght of USD, e.g., adjusting weights by the daily traded volumes of all X pairs in the basket would make more sense. Another observation is that normalization of all values would be needed before the geometric average calculation, because USDJPY (for example) pumps a lot of noise to that chart. https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/fu..._Index_FAQ.pdf...
USDX is basically a upside down EUR/USD. I don't trade or even look at it. Correlations never worked for me. I tried it on the past but realise that it does not give any advantage. I study the EUR/USD charts... thats it nothing else.
So, you think you have rights? LOL
  • #879,710
  • Feb 27, 2014 5:47pm Feb 27, 2014 5:47pm
Quoting ForexOracle
{quote} USDX is basically a upside down EUR/USD. I don't trade or even look at it. Correlations never worked for me. I tried it on the past but realise that it does not give any advantage. I study the EUR/USD charts... thats it nothing else.
Yea, I wasn't talking about your trading habits. Those were my comments/observations about USDX because I wasn't aware of its existence. Tnx for sharing
K.I.S.S.
  • #879,711
  • Feb 27, 2014 6:23pm Feb 27, 2014 6:23pm
Quoting ForexOracle
{quote} USDX is basically a upside down EUR/USD. I don't trade or even look at it. Correlations never worked for me. I tried it on the past but realise that it does not give any advantage. I study the EUR/USD charts... thats it nothing else.
disagree, 2010 eu bottom was clear to the pip on the usdx as a top
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #879,712
  • Feb 27, 2014 6:47pm Feb 27, 2014 6:47pm
Hourly TF => : EURUSD 1.3706 (-4) ... GBPUSD 1.6690 (+1) ... USDJPY 102.12 (±0) ... EURJPY 139.97 (-4) ... AUDUSD 89.60 (+3) ... NZDUSD 83.73 (±0) ... GBPJPY 170.43 (-3) ... GBPAUD 1.8625 (+4) ... 00h59 CET ...


Hello Fukushima ...



;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #879,713
  • Feb 27, 2014 7:13pm Feb 27, 2014 7:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i didn't long it. the only long i can take now is near 3598 if and only if 3728 is not touched.. and my stop on that long would be below 3598.... other then that i dont have to be here trading, my entries and tp have been set since yesterday.. and weeks back on other pairs,,
ic what u meant, u have strong discipline and base on historical.

for me, my basis is on price action, i manage actively and have a predetermined closing levels, but not on a preset course....
  • #879,714
  • Feb 27, 2014 7:35pm Feb 27, 2014 7:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
on the aud that's 8974 just above the atm high of 8970...for 8792
cancel this one,, 9007 or 08 is better..for 8792,, but the risk is 9080..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #879,715
  • Feb 27, 2014 7:42pm Feb 27, 2014 7:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} disagree, 2010 eu bottom was clear to the pip on the usdx as a top
yea once in a while they could be clear to the pip
K.I.S.S.
  • #879,716
  • Feb 27, 2014 7:50pm Feb 27, 2014 7:50pm
Never heard of USDX hm....... that's fine to fishing around without hidden agenda
  • #879,717
  • Feb 27, 2014 8:03pm Feb 27, 2014 8:03pm
Just reporting, SMA(200) at 1H TF is now behaving as a resistance, tested once already.
K.I.S.S.
  • #879,718
  • Feb 27, 2014 8:15pm Feb 27, 2014 8:15pm
Quoting Leijenberg
Just reporting, SMA(200) at 1H TF is now behaving as a resistance, tested once already.
Fibs levels my friend... not SMA
  • #879,719
  • Feb 27, 2014 8:34pm Feb 27, 2014 8:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} disagree, 2010 eu bottom was clear to the pip on the usdx as a top
I'm not saying that correlations do not exist. What I'm saying is that it does not work for me. When EUR/USD reaches a certain point and USD/CHF is down to a certain point does it means anything? In terms of when one reaches one point the other will do something. I got burned countless times with the swissie on extremes and the euro climbing higher. Correlations look good after the fact, as most of the classic indicators do.
So, you think you have rights? LOL
  • #879,720
  • Feb 27, 2014 9:01pm Feb 27, 2014 9:01pm
im saying flat do not exist
any objection?
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