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  • #873,921
  • Feb 3, 2014 12:54pm Feb 3, 2014 12:54pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} Key number to me break of 1.33 opens doors to 1.28 Notice how many times break of 1.33 send Euro below 1.30 pretty consistent.That's assuming if we will get to 1.33 which I anticipate. {image}
I guess I missunderstood your post, I was just curious how people can evaluate something as big as EZ economy to say where value should or shouldn't be.
The fair value I guess.
swing it!
  • #873,922
  • Feb 3, 2014 12:56pm Feb 3, 2014 12:56pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} I guess I missunderstood your post, I was just curious how people can evaluate something as big as EZ economy to say where value should or shouldn't be. The fair value I guess.

Factor in Feds continuing to taper that's USD strength building next 6months and meanwhile I don't see dramatic improvement on Euro Zone.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #873,923
  • Edited 1:10pm Feb 3, 2014 12:59pm | Edited 1:10pm
Here how Nial see EURUSD – Euro/dollar weakness continues following pin bar sell signal.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nils.png Size: 324 KB
Once scalper always scalper
  • #873,924
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:02pm Feb 3, 2014 1:02pm
1.4017 for bear or bull advantage..whatever...buy2 no sl...
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #873,925
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:02pm Feb 3, 2014 1:02pm
Quoting freemen
Here how Nill see EURUSD – Euro/dollar weakness continues following pin bar sell signal. {image}

I am a big fan of Nial
His article here is brilliant
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #873,926
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:35pm Feb 3, 2014 1:35pm
Quoting ud1nh0
1.4017 for bear or bull advantage..whatever...buy2 no sl...
this guy must smoking other then cigarettes.

Quoting ud1nh0
watching 1.14 closely...
  • #873,927
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:47pm Feb 3, 2014 1:47pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} I am a big fan of Nial His article here is brilliant
i like him, but sometimes he is wrong. as everyone else actually..

my view
fokyou forexfactory
  • #873,928
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:54pm Feb 3, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting DNTme
{quote} i like him, but sometimes he is wrong. as everyone else actually.. my view

My bias is Bear both fundamentally and sentiment. I will sell every rally even though I am short now my main lots are not engaged.I ease myself into a position.I am basically position trader hence small fluctuations does not bother me.
regards
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #873,929
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:55pm Feb 3, 2014 1:55pm
Fake rise up, it's all about yen move
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #873,930
  • Feb 3, 2014 1:56pm Feb 3, 2014 1:56pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} My bias is Bear both fundamentally and sentiment. I will sell every rally even though I am short now my main lots are not engaged.I ease myself into a position.I am basically position trader hence small fluctuations does not bother me. regards
same here, only that i'm positioning longs..
fokyou forexfactory
  • #873,931
  • Edited 2:15pm Feb 3, 2014 2:03pm | Edited 2:15pm
It is nice to see your TP reached while sleeping, good morning..

Risked 49 pips (1%) made 98.

I am flat now, looking for more opportunities during the day, also will trade short term from LO.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #873,932
  • Feb 3, 2014 2:09pm Feb 3, 2014 2:09pm
Quoting tomspin
{quote} I guess I missunderstood your post, I was just curious how people can evaluate something as big as EZ economy to say where value should or shouldn't be. The fair value I guess.
Fair value of Euro should be around 1 to 1 vs usd. 1.40 for North Europe, 0.60 for South.
  • #873,933
  • Feb 3, 2014 2:15pm Feb 3, 2014 2:15pm
Quoting kuroro001
Fake rise up, it's all about yen move

Not sure that's the end of the fake rise. UJ has reached its target but not the CHF. In M5 I've 8868 as target and it has not been invalidated despite these last days rise in chf.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #873,934
  • Feb 3, 2014 2:20pm Feb 3, 2014 2:20pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Not sure that's the end of the fake rise. UJ has reached its target but not the CHF. In M5 I've 8868 as target and it has not been invalidated despite these last days rise in chf.
Daily needs to at least retest 1,348x if it wants to reverse up. Don't really know about CHF as ECHF is a strong down move
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #873,935
  • Feb 3, 2014 2:24pm Feb 3, 2014 2:24pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Daily needs to at least retest 1,348x if it wants to reverse up. Don't really know about CHF as ECHF is a strong down move

Yes I agree with you. If I had to short it in intraday I'll do it under 3515 for 3480 and 3443. Only if M1 close under 3515 with strong conviction.

Edit/ EurChf is a fully mystery for me. Surely due to the peg.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #873,936
  • Feb 3, 2014 2:25pm Feb 3, 2014 2:25pm
Mixed feelings here.

H4 shows clearly to the upside (with some potential).

Daily is mixed:
One indie shows clearly to the upside, the other shows clearly down.
Both are extremely reliable, never seen this before, so I stay cautious.

No trade for me at the moment, maybe til the end of the week.
I do not intend to hedge this stuff again only because I could not wait.

If I had a gun at my head I would say short to mid time long, longer time very short.
  • #873,937
  • Feb 3, 2014 3:47pm Feb 3, 2014 3:47pm
Quoting CandleStar
Mixed feelings here. H4 shows clearly to the upside (with some potential). Daily is mixed: One indie shows clearly to the upside, the other shows clearly down. Both are extremely reliable, never seen this before, so I stay cautious. No trade for me at the moment, maybe til the end of the week. I do not intend to hedge this stuff again only because I could not wait. If I had a gun at my head I would say short to mid time long, longer time very short.
if she breaks above 3573 and stays above could be long, if not will good to short the next candle with an HH and HL (daily)
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #873,938
  • Feb 3, 2014 3:52pm Feb 3, 2014 3:52pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I really hope you are not following Zero hedge analysis ... these people are outstanding morons , that i would take their opposite trades all the time! The reason i'm saying that, is you were extremely bearish early December - price couldn't challenge even first support 1750 and then after tapering started: S&P is holding up in new yearly highs and around 20X yearly percentage. If market proves u wrong, you should move on ..
Quoting Vachus
Suddenly, i have this feeling of market crashing soon ...
Now you suddenly feel the market is going to drop after it has dropped? You call Zero Hedge morons? Now you played a fool out of yourself. Fuck, the market even dropped faster than I predicted. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...54#post7175454
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...07#post7175307

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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #873,939
  • Feb 3, 2014 3:58pm Feb 3, 2014 3:58pm
guys ..can anybody share view on NZDUSD .....?? davit ,ffleo ..anyone ??
  • #873,940
  • Feb 3, 2014 4:11pm Feb 3, 2014 4:11pm
Quoting milam
It is nice to see your TP reached while sleeping, good morning.. Risked 49 pips (1%) made 98. I am flat now, looking for more opportunities during the day, also will trade short term from LO. {image}
well done. it is much less stressful aiming for large pips with smaller position size.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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