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  • #873,081
  • Jan 29, 2014 8:28pm Jan 29, 2014 8:28pm
Quoting Citiboy
Any fundamental reason why the calls for 1.40+ ? Anyone paying attention to fundamentals have a view?
I was wondering that same thing..............
But do yer own thing, I guess.
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #873,082
  • Jan 29, 2014 8:40pm Jan 29, 2014 8:40pm
Quoting cdndollar
Nice transformation from your previous "1.40 Moron" shouts..
Not really that i care much for anyone's opinion but myself , 1.40 moronic trade was not valid on the previous setup .. which is well documented by my posts at the time , its not about the numbers game - its about what's possible with a current move and what is not!

I remember In late November 2012 i called for an out burst in Euro towards 1.38 at the time and later not far away i called for even a higher number 1.48 ... the result was a margin call , since i underestimated a downward pressure that called my margin nearly the bottom! 1.27 So, you can call numbers as much as you want or can , the question is : How much far down it will go before reaching the target ?!


Nov 11, 2012 9:26

Quoting Vachus
{quote} Long way to go doesn't mean that Euro will keep plunging , people now are selling first and asking question later - So, they assume the worst and move their money to heaven currencies. But, and this the nature of any markets once they realize that a greater opportunity is maybe on the other side of trade , the magic will happen... Besides, why buying Euros at 1.31 on presumed scenario that it can reach 1.36, when you can take it from low levels as 1.26/1.25/1.24/1.20 - these is almost 80% return - and a guaranteed push up will secure at least 10% return ?! So, buyers are there but they are waiting for a good harmony combined of good opportunity, less risk and high return .. When will be that ?! ( not tomorrow for sure ) Edit : Notably , i start sensing positive attitude and solidarity among European media towards indebted countries. There seems to be compassion instead of accusations , solidarity even. The trend in perception is changing from " These lazy people , towards they are really trying ".
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #873,083
  • Jan 29, 2014 8:50pm Jan 29, 2014 8:50pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Not really that i care much for anyone's opinion but myself , 1.40 moronic trade was not valid on the previous setup .. which is well documented by my posts at the time , its not about the numbers game - its about what's possible with a current move and what is not! I remember In late November 2012 i called for an out burst in Euro towards 1.38 at the time and later not far away i called for even a higher number 1.48 ... the result was a margin call , since i underestimated a downward pressure that called my margin nearly the bottom! 1.27...

If anyone responds to Vachus's post other then thanks for your honesty - go look in your own mirror and ask yourself if you could be as honest.

Cheers Vachus.

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #873,084
  • Jan 29, 2014 9:00pm Jan 29, 2014 9:00pm
Quoting 110101
{quote} .40-.50 will not happen. Ever. EU will fall and fall and fall and fall

you may be right..
but looks like the Euro Boomerang from last July is not coming back..
Inserted Video


Quoting Vachus
{quote} Not really that i care much for anyone's opinion but myself , 1.40 moronic trade was not valid on the previous setup .. which is well documented by my posts at the time , its not about the numbers game - its about what's possible with a current move and what is not! I remember In late November 2012 i called for an out burst in Euro towards 1.38 at the time and later not far away i called for even a higher number 1.48 ... the result was a margin call , since i underestimated a downward pressure that called my margin nearly the bottom! 1.27...
Aight.. you can't mix M/T analytics with S/T intraday risks.. 2 different ball of wax..
Looks like you need more work on your patience & exposure to compliment your long distance views.. good luck..
  • #873,085
  • Jan 29, 2014 10:19pm Jan 29, 2014 10:19pm
Hello Traders,
following up on previous post, today I share today my daily review for the EUR/USD forex pair.

EUR/USD
The Euro is still showing a fierce battle between bulls and bear on several timeframes.
Particularly:

  1. on the daily, bears are located in the area starting at 1.3700 and bulls located in the area starting from 1.3620
  2. on the 240min, bears are guarding the area starting at 1.3670 and bulls are located in the 1.3620 area
  3. on the 15min, bears are guarding the area starting at 1.3670 and bulls are in area starting at 1.3640

All this information can be inferred by studying the effects of Program Trading on the different timeframes.

The related video can be found here: http://elitefive.wordpress.com/2014/...ary-29th-2014/

Let me know your thoughts
Cheers
~FibStalker

"markets traded by programs/HFT offer a significant trading edge..."
  • #873,086
  • Jan 29, 2014 10:45pm Jan 29, 2014 10:45pm
This is the most boring post FOMC day in recent memory.

Long, stop at 1.36440.
  • #873,087
  • Jan 29, 2014 10:53pm Jan 29, 2014 10:53pm
Quoting DasPips
This is the most boring post FOMC day in recent memory. Long, stop at 1.36440.
it may get snatched 3632 is pivot for some bull action
  • #873,088
  • Jan 29, 2014 10:59pm Jan 29, 2014 10:59pm
The Euro (1.3651) is mirroring the identical indifference to global events as the Dollar index after testing the foremost trend decider level of 1.3750. It should shatter overhead 1.3750 to continue the rally or additional the bears may arrive down heavily one time again. foremost move is anticipated only after the broader variety of 1.3500-1.3750.
  • #873,089
  • Jan 29, 2014 11:06pm Jan 29, 2014 11:06pm
I'm not so bullish on this pair anymore.

Fed showed quite a bit of resolve on continuing with the taper.

If we get back above 3680, it's bullish. If we stay below, we could be setting up for a bit of a nosedive, perhaps as far down as 3400.

For me it's a 50/50 call. Sitting this one out on the sidelines.
  • #873,090
  • Jan 29, 2014 11:15pm Jan 29, 2014 11:15pm
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} it may get snatched 3632 is pivot for some bull action
My chart shows me the next major resistance is around 1.3618, if it clips my stop (missed by 0.2 of a pip there!), and it looks like it probably will, I'll try there.
  • #873,091
  • Jan 29, 2014 11:33pm Jan 29, 2014 11:33pm
Down and out. I should've left my PC after that pathetic move earlier.
  • #873,092
  • Jan 29, 2014 11:53pm Jan 29, 2014 11:53pm
Quoting DasPips
This is the most boring post FOMC day in recent memory. Long, stop at 1.36440.
Bro. Post FOMC support at 1.3638
  • #873,093
  • Jan 30, 2014 12:08am Jan 30, 2014 12:08am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Bro. Post FOMC support at 1.3638

like a hot knife through butter
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #873,094
  • Jan 30, 2014 12:30am Jan 30, 2014 12:30am
my bias is on short side, US looks bullish after yesterdays obamas speech.
  • #873,095
  • Jan 30, 2014 1:25am Jan 30, 2014 1:25am
from what i see, EuroUsd will test 1.3600 and then will go north after the news.
  • #873,096
  • Jan 30, 2014 1:29am Jan 30, 2014 1:29am
IMHO, the best strategy is buy on weakness.
  • #873,097
  • Jan 30, 2014 1:55am Jan 30, 2014 1:55am
Quoting arinforex
from what i see, EuroUsd will test 1.3600 and then will go north after the news.
so u are looking for an entry around 1.36 or higher?
  • #873,098
  • Jan 30, 2014 1:56am Jan 30, 2014 1:56am
Quoting DasPips
{quote} My chart shows me the next major resistance is around 1.3618, if it clips my stop (missed by 0.2 of a pip there!), and it looks like it probably will, I'll try there.
so have you gone long now it reached your 3618?
  • #873,099
  • Jan 30, 2014 2:02am Jan 30, 2014 2:02am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} so have you gone long now it reached your 3618?
Nope. Since it occurred just before the spanish news I decided to wait for that to be safe.

edit: I am still waiting incase signs of rejection do materialize, but I'm probably just going to hit the hay soon and end up doing nothing. I take it you're short max?
  • #873,100
  • Jan 30, 2014 2:11am Jan 30, 2014 2:11am
Quoting DasPips
{quote} Nope. Since it occurred just before the spanish news I decided to wait for that to be safe. edit: I am still waiting incase signs of rejection to materialize, but I'm probably just going to hit the hay soon and end up doing nothing. I take it you're short max?
yes I am,
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