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EURUSD

  • #873,041
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:07pm Jan 29, 2014 2:07pm
Strong sellers (high vol) are blocking the way up.

Could need a dip first
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #873,042
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:11pm Jan 29, 2014 2:11pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
{quote} All i can say that if that case turns true, it will become ugly. :nerd: But most of flows still going into jpy and chfjpy lives really strong uptrend right now and it will take time to break that. On the other hand, Euroswissy will be defended around 1.2150/1.22 so prices are at interesting levels.....not a coincidence. Tough tough...
any new observations..?
I still have 3650 as decision point for EUr, but looks, like euro is going up, gold up, aussie down.

Yen to break 103.3 - 101.95 for more up or down.. Seems more down..
69
  • #873,043
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:13pm Jan 29, 2014 2:13pm
Quoting kuroro001
Strong sellers (high vol) are blocking the way up. Could need a dip first

You really feel this is going up? I don't know where its going from here, if I had to guess my feelings are down but I wouldn't over leverage my account on that!

My stance for the time being is to let the smoke clear and then look for signs of what the market will do.
  • #873,044
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:19pm Jan 29, 2014 2:19pm
Quoting Likerty
{quote} Rumors/news mill in perfect time and place, as always.. Staying above 1.36 increases E/U bullish perspectives and I have 3575 as last barrier of defence if it wants to be bullish, if not - 470's is next area to look for longs. UCHF staying below 9070 have better chances for bearishness So these two, still maintaining healthy levels for continuation.. UJ approaching 103.9 - a decision area for 106 or 102 Pound has little willingness to proceed with uptrend without properly testing 1.6310
69
  • #873,045
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:24pm Jan 29, 2014 2:24pm
Quoting irongoose
{quote} You really feel this is going up? I don't know where its going from here, if I had to guess my feelings are down but I wouldn't over leverage my account on that! My stance for the time being is to let the smoke clear and then look for signs of what the market will do.
When i look at this PA on short term i have really no ideas to be honest.
I'm just swimming within the flow.
No trades right now, better wait for London

1,366x is the selling area but you never know what the Asians may do later, London is more clear.

On the downside we filled 1,361x....but we missed 1,3588/91 and 1,355x (very important) to me.
On the upside we have 1,3701/04 & 1,372x/3x....and if you like week end gaps we got 1,378x.....then 1,383x (very important too).

So if whenever i long or short i'll try to target these areas

GL for the rest of week
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #873,046
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:42pm Jan 29, 2014 2:42pm
Quoting Jofan
Both Cable and EURUSD are down no more than 20 pips on the day despite heavy selling for much of 40 minutes. There seems to be little or no traction to the downside so my money is on the high range being tested again both in Asia and in Europe tomorrow

How do you know there was heavy selling? Do you see volume? Do you so orders?

Please help me......thanks.

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #873,047
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:44pm Jan 29, 2014 2:44pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} When i look at this PA on short term i have really no ideas to be honest. I'm just swimming within the flow. No trades right now, better wait for London 1,366x is the selling area but you never know what the Asians may do later, London is more clear. On the downside we filled 1,361x....but we missed 1,3588/91 and 1,355x (very important) to me. On the upside we have 1,3701/04 & 1,372x/3x....and if you like week end gaps we got 1,378x.....then 1,383x (very important too). So if whenever i long or short i'll try to target these areas GL for...

Swimming is good.....drowning is not......

Keep your head above water - take a look around.....there are signs that give you warnings of dangerous and friendly waters.

Regards,

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #873,048
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:47pm Jan 29, 2014 2:47pm
I really wonder how I could survive this week with only winners and a few % up.
What a whipsaw nightmare.
  • #873,049
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:55pm Jan 29, 2014 2:55pm
Quoting Faller
{quote} How do you know there was heavy selling? Do you see volume? Do you so orders? Please help me......thanks. Faller.
See large volumes into one direction and good moves, means almost everyone but a few are trying to push to that direction. Then these moves cancelled by low volume candles in smaller increments, this is where you shall be heading (accumulation phase?). They say volumes do not matter in fx, but I noticed the above and I trade by that.
  • #873,050
  • Jan 29, 2014 2:57pm Jan 29, 2014 2:57pm
Quoting sakisf
{quote} See large volumes into one direction and good moves, means almost everyone but a few are trying to push to that direction. Then these moves cancelled by low volume candles in smaller increments, this is where you shall be heading (accumulation phase?). They say volumes do not matter in fx, but I noticed the above and I trade by that.

what if out of 10 people only 1 traded at this time. is it large volume?
"HEY! Whats all this chocolate on yo face?" - "It's doodoo, babby!"
  • #873,051
  • Jan 29, 2014 3:03pm Jan 29, 2014 3:03pm
Quoting 110101
{quote} what if out of 10 people only 1 traded at this time. is it large volume?
It counts ticks - up and down - not the money. But a hefty 1 person trade amount would surely push it more than 9 smaller amounts. Project them into 1mil ppl vs 9mil ppl and you get a view. I know it is not always working as volume is decentralized but sometimes it can show what's going on.
  • #873,052
  • Jan 29, 2014 3:06pm Jan 29, 2014 3:06pm
Quoting sakisf
{quote} It counts ticks - up and down - not the money. But a hefty 1 person trade amount would surely push it more than 9 smaller amounts. Project them into 1mil ppl vs 9mil ppl and you get a view. I know it is not always working as volume is decentralized but sometimes it can show what's going on.

What faller was getting at is that there is no way to measure volume in FX. you don't know how many orders were placed, ammount etc.
"HEY! Whats all this chocolate on yo face?" - "It's doodoo, babby!"
  • #873,053
  • Jan 29, 2014 3:22pm Jan 29, 2014 3:22pm
i took long, will let overnight...
curious about those trades
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fokyou forexfactory
  • #873,054
  • Jan 29, 2014 3:26pm Jan 29, 2014 3:26pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
{quote} All i can say that if that case turns true, it will become ugly. :nerd: But most of flows still going into jpy and chfjpy lives really strong uptrend right now and it will take time to break that. On the other hand, Euroswissy will be defended around 1.2150/1.22 so prices are at interesting levels.....not a coincidence. Tough tough...
I was checking CHFJPY out of curosity , strong uptrend though its almost the same case as AUDJPY .. EURCHF is really biased upside , so with the recent selling off , its almost taken for guaranteed it will be short lived. USDCHF is also at an interesting zone, i'm considering 0.87500 for a long swing position and looking for gains as high as 0.9X area. There just one problem with the Yen , is the stock market correcting the 2013's rally.

Interesting times, indeed.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #873,055
  • Jan 29, 2014 3:56pm Jan 29, 2014 3:56pm
Where from here? up ,down or nowhere?

Where is Chicky? I have not heard from him…this thread without him is a no no..
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #873,056
  • Jan 29, 2014 4:21pm Jan 29, 2014 4:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} looking for a reason to s after 3700. or a little higher, to target 3625ish. or L after 3625ish +, if i get a reason.
finished with Sunday's plan. looking to S after 3757. if 3742 allows and if we do go higher. if we break 3677 soon w/o a LL first then, i will try to long 3643 down till the low. i closed my longs at 3661.. and will wait now to see if we break the high or low. or enter some scalps if i see one.
end of the month soon.. sometimes that will put 3742 in play. 3757 is the one i will try to see whats happens near it. its not that its not bearish atm, i just want a better price with less draw-down. 3757 is the same as 3622 was to me or 3684. a hh will target above 3742.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #873,057
  • Jan 29, 2014 4:29pm Jan 29, 2014 4:29pm
Quoting milam
Where from here? up ,down or nowhere? Where is Chicky? I have not heard from him…this thread without him is a no no..
Hard to say. Though German unemployment numbers should give euro some gains until the middle of the day then its anyone game with that slew of data since lower CPI will mean that market whine about deflation again, then again I expect all CPI data being lower than excepted across the globe . In the end the US GDP and jobless claim should set the tone for friday.
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #873,058
  • Jan 29, 2014 5:14pm Jan 29, 2014 5:14pm
Hi to everyone, i don't know weare should i ask this question, but i have strange situation on EUR/JPY daily chart, 3223 pips pin, do anyone have the same picture?
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  • #873,059
  • Jan 29, 2014 5:18pm Jan 29, 2014 5:18pm
Hereee snakey, snakey
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #873,060
  • Jan 29, 2014 5:19pm Jan 29, 2014 5:19pm
Quoting Yegor
Hi to everyone, i don't know weare should i ask this question, but i have strange situation on EUR/JPY daily chart, 3223 pips pin, do anyone have the same picture? {image}

Demo accounts get this sometimes, no one else has it, definitely not a live feed.
All posts are my personal opinion
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