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Sonic R. System

  • #64,341
  • Jan 21, 2014 11:38am Jan 21, 2014 11:38am
Quoting traderathome
EU Comment {image}
EU Comment (Continued):

As we can see, this new week is, well......weak!

The Market Makers did hike the price above the half number again (PVSRA: using the hikes to accumulate more short orders), but with a shitload of EUR high impact releases nearing, they are running out of time to sucker in longs and stop out shorts. Still, with another head fake up to the the upper whole number (maybe further with an aggressive whipsaw), the MMs might successfully coax more longs to the slaughterhouse while decapitating more of existing shorts.

Where Else Do You Get Such Colorful Analysis,
-tah
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  • #64,342
  • Edited 12:13pm Jan 21, 2014 11:59am | Edited 12:13pm
EU Comment

The attached H4 chart shows PA is trending down. It also suggests ranging PA will hit either of the drawn TLs in 1-2 days, which coincidentally (if you believe in coincidences in this market) is when the shitload of EUR high impact releases arrives.

Anyone wanna bet that there comes a gigantic Head Fake up thru the lower TL, as the MMs create liquidity for their final accumulation of short orders?

Anyone wanna bet that the whipsaw takes price to the upper whole number area again, to the upper TL, and maybe even a Head Fake up thru it?

These are possibilities. Time will tell. Even if it does not happen, it is something you need to be prepared for if you are short this pair.

Its going to be an interesting week, Sonicers,
-tah
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  • #64,343
  • Jan 21, 2014 12:16pm Jan 21, 2014 12:16pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} EU Comment (Continued): As we can see, this new week is, well......weak! The Market Makers did hike the price above the half number again (PVSRA: using the hikes to accumulate more short orders), but with a shitload of EUR high impact releases nearing, they are running out of time to sucker in longs and stop out shorts. Still, with another head fake up to the the upper whole number (maybe further with an aggressive whipsaw), the MMs might successfully coax more longs to the slaughterhouse while decapitating more of existing shorts....
hi professor
I read post 1 and I cant find whole number or 3/4 . can you show me where is these lines in chart?
thanks a lot
  • #64,344
  • Jan 21, 2014 12:20pm Jan 21, 2014 12:20pm
GJ Comment


The MMs have returned the price to the EP zone of today's Classic short setup. This is another short entry opportunity. Note the notable volume when the MMs pushed the price up to HOD today. Keep in mind the JPY high impact releases coming in the next Asian session and the possibility of whipsawing.
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  • #64,345
  • Jan 21, 2014 12:22pm Jan 21, 2014 12:22pm
Quoting ramin1234
{quote} hi professor I read post 1 and I cant find whole number or 3/4 . can you show me where is these lines in chart? thanks a lot
Follow all the instructions in the post releasing the TAH indicators and templates.
  • #64,346
  • Jan 21, 2014 12:38pm Jan 21, 2014 12:38pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GU Short Trade Update: Before going to bed, I set a pending short order (short entry #6) near the half number SR, per my original guesstimate as to how high the market makers might push the price in their attempt to accumulate short orders. It executed. Still no TP or SL. Will give this more time to see if downside becomes aggressive or if ranging (enhances MMs ability to accumulate orders) ensues.{image} The US MMs continue the push up. Nobody manipulates prices the way the US MMs do when they really smell profits and go after accumulating...
GU Short Trade Update:

Since the last post I have added shorts #7-8, Scouts. This last one added was a pending order that executed. If you view M5 you will see the notable volume when the MMs again pushed the price above the 3/4SR following the 50+ pips hike when the US session opened. To me, this is a clear PVSRA indication the hike was a "put up job" by the US MMs to get the PA higher to resume accumulation of short orders. I still have another, higher pending order in case the MMs push the price up even further.

Tomorrow brings multiple GBP high impact releases, the contents of which the MMs are most likely well aware. So, in all probability, the price hike today was just part of the pre-release scheme to get better prices for adding shorts. Now, the possibility of whipsawing when the time comes, is the thing to be prepared for.
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  • #64,347
  • Jan 21, 2014 1:30pm Jan 21, 2014 1:30pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GJ short Trade Update: Added shorts #12-15 (#15 just made), Scouts, some via pending orders that executed while I slept. And now it appears that the MMs are definitely bears, trying to extricate themselves from their long positions. This might take some time (Wyckoff Distribution Phase) as the MMs work the price up and down for days trying to trick longs into the market so they can hand off their longs and go short. Remember, it is all about liquidity. Even the Market Makers need traders to take the opposite side of the side the trades the...
Wasn't this a classic long?
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  • #64,348
  • Jan 21, 2014 2:17pm Jan 21, 2014 2:17pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GJ short Trade Update: Added shorts #7-11, Scouts. This push up turned out to be more than I suspected it might become. As it turned out, it was a good pre-LS Classic long, which I should have taken. Anyway, to me this still looks like a "put up job" by the MMs to get liquidity for adding shorts. If this is correct, there is a nice bear run for profits coming. {image}
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GJ short Trade Update: Added shorts #12-15 (#15 just made), Scouts, some via pending orders that executed while I slept. And now it appears that the MMs are definitely bears, trying to extricate themselves from their long positions. This might take some time (Wyckoff Distribution Phase) as the MMs work the price up and down for days trying to trick longs into the market so they can hand off their longs and go short. Remember, it is all about liquidity. Even the Market Makers need traders to take the opposite side of the side the trades the Market Makers wish to make. Hence, the MMs swing the price up and down, trying to trick "wrong side" traders to make that leap of faith. {image}
Quoting salas2
{quote} Wasn't this a classic long? {image}
Was it? What did my precedent post state? You didn't read well enough, did you (a statement, not a question).
  • #64,349
  • Edited 3:10pm Jan 21, 2014 2:36pm | Edited 3:10pm
Quoting traderathome
YEN Pairs Comment Using my NJ trade chart as an example, just look how the Market Makers have been whipsawing the price; up, down, up, down..... This is the technique the MMs use to either change positions, or to accumulate positions. The up/down PA (on whatever scale it might exist) is simply a good way to encourage "wrong side" traders to come to the slaughterhouse, and to decapitate the existing "right side" traders. In this case, it is easy to see that the Market Makers could care less what the real relative values involved are. They...
YEN Pairs Comment (Continued):

Again, using NJ as an example, see how the MMs, in the "easier to price manipulate" after-hours, ran the price upwards to above the 3/4SR and then what happened? Whamo! Suddenly, high activity! Gee, should we be surprised by this anymore? Bears! PVSRA says so!
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And,.......ta da!.....if the MMs are bears after the "superlative" NJ high impact release that "caused" () the market to hike the price earlier, then must not the MMs be also bears on all the other YEN pairs that have not recently had "superlative" releases for the non-YEN counterpart?

So lets look at GJ, too. Look at the high activity once the US MMs hiked the price today,....highest activity of the entire day. At the highs, not lows! Then price dropped to form a Sonic R. Classic short setup. But, the bastard MMs tricked, and reversed the price. Look at it now. This is consolidating (position building) at higher prices again, above the 3/4SR here too. Clearly, PVSRA is indicating the MMs are bears on GJ also. My, my, what a surprise.
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  • #64,350
  • Jan 21, 2014 3:43pm Jan 21, 2014 3:43pm
Quoting salas2
{quote} Wasn't this a classic long? {image}
Yes it was! You got a point!

Btw, it was a perfect classic wave
Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #64,351
  • Jan 21, 2014 4:21pm Jan 21, 2014 4:21pm
Good Morning Sonikers.. Today we have action filled news coming out in AUD.JPY.GBP & CAD.. pretty big moves expected.. as a head up USDCAD & GBPJPY seems reversal in D1 TF..

Sonic
  • #64,352
  • Jan 21, 2014 5:16pm Jan 21, 2014 5:16pm
My view on EU
There is still no high activity volume when the price at the bottom, so I will keep bearish on EU. I see only accumulation for more shorts.
Keep patience and discipline.

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  • #64,353
  • Jan 21, 2014 5:30pm Jan 21, 2014 5:30pm
AU D1
Spring? I doubt it.

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AU H1
Still boxing in yellow box.

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Need more confirmation to change my bias to long.
In an hour there is AU High Impact News. Wait and see.
  • #64,354
  • Jan 21, 2014 6:09pm Jan 21, 2014 6:09pm
Quoting traderathome
YEN Pairs Comment Using my NJ trade chart as an example, just look how the Market Makers have been whipsawing the price; up, down, up, down..... This is the technique the MMs use to either change positions, or to accumulate positions. The up/down PA (on whatever scale it might exist) is simply a good way to encourage "wrong side" traders to come to the slaughterhouse, and to decapitate the existing "right side" traders. In this case, it is easy to see that the Market Makers could care less what the real relative values involved are. They...
Love it..

Sonic
  • #64,355
  • Edited 7:40pm Jan 21, 2014 7:02pm | Edited 7:40pm
EURGBP - confirmation signal of future big move ?

Consolidation with big volumes. Intresting is that small candle with high volumes at low. I am not sure, but for me it looks like bullish signal.

1. H1 tf and consoliadion with high volumes at lows
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2. M1 Price pushed down with high volumes. After that heavy buying.
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3. M1 afterhours heavy buying. Price pumped with high volumes and dumped with low volumes.
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Now I am really tired. It's time to go sleep. I wish you great profits today, Good night.
  • #64,356
  • Jan 21, 2014 7:32pm Jan 21, 2014 7:32pm
i was stopped out on this oppptunity.....really disappointed on my mini acct...another thing to learn today. and actually i put my EP at 0.88504...dont know why it changed...
http://charts.mql5.com/3/646/audusdm...ness-ltd-3.png
  • #64,357
  • Jan 21, 2014 8:01pm Jan 21, 2014 8:01pm
Quoting traderathome
AU Comment This is bullish to the "Nth degree"! Note the wonderful volume as the MMs took the price lower. Note the MM's "final" strike to lows on high volume. Note the wonderful volume back up off the lows! The entire range has been a feast for the MMs, gorging themselves on accumulation of long orders! And now, we have a nice Sonic R. Classic long setup. Yes, late in the day, so make up your own minds about any entry now, but there is an AUD high impact release coming in the next Asian session. Another thing that makes this so attractive is that...
AU:

.....nine hours later,........Told cha!
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  • #64,358
  • Edited 8:38pm Jan 21, 2014 8:24pm | Edited 8:38pm
A PVSRA Lesson for Sonicers

Sonicers, look at the picture closely, can you see the tell-tale in the two notable volume episodes that leads to the conclusion the MMs are bears? Examine closely until you think you have the answer before reading the answer that follows.

Answer
In both of the marked episodes, after the MMs pushed up the price, either while the price was held at the highs or coming down off of the highs, the notable volume became greater than the "push up" volume. This is the key clue.

Another observation regarding the latter episode is this. You can see that following the two dramatic bear bars the MMs again pushed up the price, but with a lower volume bar doing so. After this push, the MMs supported the price while continuing to trade at the highs. Note that every one of the following bars strikes above a whole number. MMs just love to accumulate short orders above whole numbers (PVSRA), so that is an additional clue that the MMs are bears.

Also, please do note that there are two JPY high impact releases coming. MMs already know the essence of what will be released and there is no regulation against "insider trading" in the currency marketplace. MMs do not "react" to releases. MMs scheme in advance of them!

Finally, there is always the possibility that part of the MMs scheming is to put on a whipsaw at some time. Therefore, if we are trading such situations we must always trade with sufficient reservations that we can easily withstand whipsawing; that any whipsawing, even 100-200 pips of it, will not create "Margin Stress". We can always set pending orders in case the greedy bastard MMs put on a whipsaw. And we can always stand by to manually add Scouts if there is a whipsaw, in case the MMs were not as greedy as our pending order anticipated, or were even more greedy!
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  • #64,359
  • Jan 21, 2014 8:26pm Jan 21, 2014 8:26pm
UJ seems to indicate a buy. Any comments?
  • #64,360
  • Jan 21, 2014 8:32pm Jan 21, 2014 8:32pm
3 Pairs closed for total of +165.5 Pips. These are pips per position, so variable size lot is not accounted for. Was going to go long term, but changed my mind Waiting for the cycles seem to be a waste, and inefficient use of my positions (single positions).
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insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
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