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  • #869,281
  • Jan 10, 2014 4:26am Jan 10, 2014 4:26am
Quoting DNTme
My view for Euro medium term If someone disagree please do comment with your technical point of view; Thx. {image} {image}
I agree with it

Historically when Draghi dragged the Euro down but bounced back during the session, it showed NFP did the same, before breaking higher than Draghi's high.

We could see 1,372x (untest high vol area) if yesterday's high can be broken. Maybe 1,378x (week end gap).

On the downside 1.355x/6x strong volume area.....1,352x (Hadox area)....but will then closely monitor 1,350x (from the 25/11/13)
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #869,282
  • Edited 4:40am Jan 10, 2014 4:27am | Edited 4:40am
Quoting DNTme
My view for Euro medium term If someone disagree please do comment with your technical point of view; Thx. {image} {image}
Not technical, but filing, today NFP will be so huge that EU will go down directly….
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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OldSchool
  • #869,283
  • Jan 10, 2014 4:28am Jan 10, 2014 4:28am
Right now, it seems buyers are trying to stop the move down...not much to do before NFP
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #869,284
  • Jan 10, 2014 4:35am Jan 10, 2014 4:35am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I agree with it Historically when Draghi dragged the Euro down but bounced back during the session, it showed NFP did the same, before breaking higher than Draghi's high. We could see 1,372x (untest high vol area) if yesterday's high can be broken. Maybe 1,378x (week end gap). On the downside 1.355x/6x strong volume area.....1,352x (Hadox area)....but will then closely monitor 1,350x (from the 25/11/13)
Yep, ok. I look to sell it hard anyway if price reaches in tops...and intend to hold some for long term...

Quoting Mtav
{quote} Not technical, but filing, today NFP will be so huge that EU will go down directly….

we'll see


GL all!
fokyou forexfactory
  • #869,285
  • Jan 10, 2014 4:37am Jan 10, 2014 4:37am
Not just E/U, G/U slide due to negative data also limited to 1.640 so far probably to prevent triggering sell stops below
  • #869,286
  • Jan 10, 2014 4:42am Jan 10, 2014 4:42am
Looks like the market is trying to suck more retailers into short positions, before shooting back up to 3650+ following the NFP.
  • #869,287
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:16am Jan 10, 2014 5:16am
getting a little sick of this tbh..

Attached Image
  • #869,288
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:20am Jan 10, 2014 5:20am
USDOLLAR H1 with some EU levels:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture0001.png Size: 92 KB
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #869,289
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:20am Jan 10, 2014 5:20am
IMO. This week ends within this range coz no surprise news (NFP is norm).
  • #869,290
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:31am Jan 10, 2014 5:31am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Here's a few TL's I am watching today though the range is a little large for me atm without a definitive BO (my strat). There's a good possibility it will stay in range until news time. {image}
This pullback over the last few hours is a reaction to the TL being broken imo. From here we should head up and perhaps BO properly... news is a pain in the butt, always getting in the way of good TA.

This is the same top TL in my previous post.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd 38.png Size: 45 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #869,291
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:38am Jan 10, 2014 5:38am
my bias is still long and so I will not participate in a drop if that's what will happen... I will also not long from lower either, only on a b/o higher.. gl.
  • #869,292
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:46am Jan 10, 2014 5:46am
Not feeling today's direction, so I am out, I have done some shorts yesterday at 1.3590, 1.3603 and 1.3607, and all them are closed with a tiny lost, my SL setup to close some at 1.3616 was done.

My bias is already known, but I am getting several mixed signs that we may see another push up, if today, then Monday and probably Tuesday.

If I see some levels being cross, I may close some from my 1.3793 short, because then who knows if we will not see 1.38 level again.
  • #869,293
  • Jan 10, 2014 5:58am Jan 10, 2014 5:58am
Quoting attila
my bias is still long and so I will not participate in a drop if that's what will happen... I will also not long from lower either, only on a b/o higher.. gl.
  • #869,294
  • Jan 10, 2014 6:23am Jan 10, 2014 6:23am
Earlier i showed up a scenario for intraday with NFP (here)

This is on Daily chart, and we are in a down trend with 2 possible scenarios( I and II as showed in pic)

I closed all previous shorts i had, dont wanna give back nothing for NFP spikes ..

GL all!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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fokyou forexfactory
  • #869,295
  • Jan 10, 2014 6:31am Jan 10, 2014 6:31am
I think euro will grow at 1.3640-45 and Friday or Moday we will prepare for big fall
  • #869,296
  • Jan 10, 2014 6:32am Jan 10, 2014 6:32am
Quoting DNTme
My view for Euro medium term If someone disagree please do comment with your technical point of view; Thx. {image} {image}
agree with the first chart 100%
  • #869,297
  • Jan 10, 2014 7:09am Jan 10, 2014 7:09am
SM at work....pre-positionning getting ready
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #869,298
  • Jan 10, 2014 7:10am Jan 10, 2014 7:10am
The Non-Farm Employment Change has specially strong importance now...and because the last datas were quite good, this can be better than expected too. Even if it will be good, IN MY OPINION the price will move upside first to clear the bears and to make an absolutely spectacular (bull trap and) entry point for those who knows what's going on....so I'm waiting for some upswing, will search for turning formations and watch these levels:

1.36344
1.36795
1.36881
1.37000
1.37200
1.37610
1.37749
1.38000
1.38929

EDIT: because we reached the first target and market should respect and should do a retrace before fall(ing in love)
f(z)=z2+c
  • #869,299
  • Jan 10, 2014 7:19am Jan 10, 2014 7:19am
What do we see now?

If you see now a rocket on EURUSD - not be surprised - it's not crazy friday.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #869,300
  • Jan 10, 2014 7:22am Jan 10, 2014 7:22am
seems everybody is waiting for the news.
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