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TDI H1 Chaos System

  • #161
  • Jan 8, 2014 12:25am Jan 8, 2014 12:25am
Quoting RubyTrader
Long eur yen TDI crossed Genesis changed colour Price action ... HL HL HL HL Volume was high but price did not break out but made HL. {image} took same setup for aud yen and gbp yen Audyen {image} GBP yen {image}
Best of luck to you !
Yesterday, i lost 150 pips, later i gained 100 pips back so i still had 50 pips lost. In my opinion, it is very hard to trade the market like this, bexause they are ranging, and therefore, moving nowhere seriously. I will take a careful look into the chart today
  • #162
  • Jan 8, 2014 1:47am Jan 8, 2014 1:47am
keeping an eye for this thread!!!
  • #163
  • Jan 8, 2014 6:57pm Jan 8, 2014 6:57pm
Quoting StevenNguyen
{quote} Best of luck to you ! Yesterday, i lost 150 pips, later i gained 100 pips back so i still had 50 pips lost. In my opinion, it is very hard to trade the market like this, bexause they are ranging, and therefore, moving nowhere seriously. I will take a careful look into the chart today
Yes i agree... it's whipsaw condition ... Understandable all waiting for NFP this friday.
  • #164
  • Jan 9, 2014 6:31pm Jan 9, 2014 6:31pm
Took same order eur yen yesterday... taking adv of market whipsaw recently...

same setup

TP at similar location

http://charts.mql5.com/3/533/eurjpy-...al-markets.png
  • #165
  • Jan 9, 2014 9:27pm Jan 9, 2014 9:27pm
Thanks for sharing while I was away this few days RubyTrader seems improved a lot

Trade that I took yesterday was EUR/USD long, I know the trend is bullish and the signal was this

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eulong.png Size: 83 KB


The flush down yesterday was weak, it was met with strong buyer, looking at price action we can see that EUR/USD is very well supported.

And I also observe that AUD/USD can't breach 0.900 and head towards the bearish trend.

Another indication was from Oanda Open Position which I use of course entry at TDI cross can be useful at most of e time, but sometime
we need see price action & volume, and of course general retail trader trends to go against the retail trender.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #166
  • Jan 9, 2014 9:29pm Jan 9, 2014 9:29pm
Quoting RubyTrader
Yesterday trade SHORT USD YEN Lost on this trade -30 pips I think setup was tehre .. but it just changes direction... =/ tough luck Gensis changed from 4 blue to 3 red volume wasnt there yet though TDI pointing 5 oclock Price action at the trend line. below 5ema below dragon and trend {image}

This trade was lost because you enter at #3 candle, enter at #1 or #2 will be safer. and price action at 103.8 seems UJ very well supported.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #167
  • Jan 10, 2014 2:49am Jan 10, 2014 2:49am
Will it be a bullish divergence?
I am long bias with this NZDUSD pair, the reasons are:

  1. It is finishing its spring part in the wyckoff formation
  2. It has cut off its bearish trend since the first days of the week
  3. It is setting up bullish divergence

Correct me if im wrong

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd-h4-dunboyne-investment-s.png Size: 55 KB


P/S: it may drive the price down a lil bit further before it strikes up
  • #168
  • Jan 10, 2014 10:27pm Jan 10, 2014 10:27pm
Quoting StevenNguyen
Will it be a bullish divergence? I am long bias with this NZDUSD pair, the reasons are: It is finishing its spring part in the wyckoff formation It has cut off its bearish trend since the first days of the week It is setting up bullish divergenceCorrect me if im wrong {image} P/S: it may drive the price down a lil bit further before it strikes up

You got it right
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #169
  • Jan 10, 2014 11:47pm Jan 10, 2014 11:47pm
Quoting chaosbun
{quote} You got it right
Cheers Chaosbun. This trade made more than half of the pips i has made this week.
  • #170
  • Jan 11, 2014 12:46am Jan 11, 2014 12:46am
Quoting StevenNguyen
{quote} Cheers Chaosbun. This trade made more than half of the pips i has made this week.
My EUR/USD carry over last week was close thanks to NFP, I also made back my 2 losses that occur in USD/CAD and GBP/USD by long EUR/USD at 1.3586 at 5 minutes before NFP release and close at 1.3645, the call was due to the previous support bar on a day ago which show eur/usd is heavily supported and its just nice happen that USD non farm was giving bad results.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #171
  • Edited 4:05am Jan 11, 2014 3:41am | Edited 4:05am
My weekly Trading Insights:

In this 3 weeks of trading using chaos and some other methods that I highlight below, my withdrawal is almost everyday and my deposit perhaps once in a few days when my trade is stuck yet I wanna make some trading. But the output is more than the input

Weekly Outlook for AUD on this coming week

I used to look @ many systems, indicators and try many methods.

But after this few weesk of trading with Chaos System ( I trade over 3 years to date ) , there some value that is quite important to trading.

1) Retail Market Sentiment

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.png Size: 10 KB


I use Oanda as my overview for such, this week I am keen to do an AUD SHORT, with the pair touching the 0.9000 strong resistance zone, its a good place for entry with SL somewhere 0.9070.

Also after 2-3 weeks of trading using chaos.

Another few indicators that prove to be useful in ranking is

1) Price Action
2) Support/Resistance
3) TDI
4) EMA
5) Bollinger Band

My view is that we have to look what the retail traders are up to, e.g for this week I know euro is heavily short still, so I went for the bias of EUR/USD long, and manage earn back my losses last week on mistake trading (usd/cad and gbp/usd) and also make some return on equity in profits

Price Action refer to


Look @ the candle stick Example for EUR/USD I did this , i long @ every retest of the candlestick support

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 49 KB


As for AUD/USD I am looking at this

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd.png Size: 47 KB


I know USD is weak after a weak NFP, but AUD seems contain on the 0.9000 resistance.


With Fundamental we know that AUD governor is targetting 0.8500 approx. and they keep complain about AUD is overvalue.

I think AUD is a good thing to short, and to consider AUD is heavily long by retail traders who think they are too "low", I think its good to go against retail and make some money.


If you are in the right trend, even you might be losing money now having unrealized loss or something, perhaps down by 50-80 pips, eventually price will still go your way. Of course I don't advise you to keep a losing trade, that what blows account



Always trade with caution.

Enjoy your weekend and see you on monday !
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #172
  • Jan 12, 2014 9:19am Jan 12, 2014 9:19am
anyone got chaos system to share ?


Show us your chart with many different system in uses together at same time

Market opening soon, lets make this week a good profitable week!
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #173
  • Jan 12, 2014 10:30am Jan 12, 2014 10:30am
heres my current h4 setup, basically same as others on here with the addition of a price channel and pipware mini charts on the right to have an at-a-glance view of what other timeframes are doing, which im finding very handy

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tdi chaos.jpg Size: 238 KB



Quoting chaosbun
anyone got chaos system to share ? Show us your chart with many different system in uses together at same time Market opening soon, lets make this week a good profitable week!
  • #174
  • Jan 12, 2014 7:06pm Jan 12, 2014 7:06pm
so u look at oanda to see what positions are the majority of the retail trader are holding and you tend to go against them ?

What is teh website to the oanda information ?

Quoting chaosbun
My weekly Trading Insights: In this 3 weeks of trading using chaos and some other methods that I highlight below, my withdrawal is almost everyday and my deposit perhaps once in a few days when my trade is stuck yet I wanna make some trading. But the output is more than the input Weekly Outlook for AUD on this coming week I used to look @ many systems, indicators and try many methods. But after this few weesk of trading with Chaos System ( I trade over 3 years to date ) , there some value that is quite important to trading. 1) Retail Market Sentiment...
  • #175
  • Jan 14, 2014 9:44pm Jan 14, 2014 9:44pm
Quoting chaosbun
My weekly Trading Insights: In this 3 weeks of trading using chaos and some other methods that I highlight below, my withdrawal is almost everyday and my deposit perhaps once in a few days when my trade is stuck yet I wanna make some trading. But the output is more than the input Weekly Outlook for AUD on this coming week I used to look @ many systems, indicators and try many methods. But after this few weesk of trading with Chaos System ( I trade over 3 years to date ) , there some value that is quite important to trading. 1) Retail Market Sentiment...

I would like to add a conclusion to my forecast for the week.

AUD/USD went as high as 0.9086 from the point I entry although I set SL at 0.9090, I did close the trade manually as the strength is unknown.

But AUD/USD went down 150 pips in the next 2 days which show that actually bearish trend will still resume, monday was a low liquidty day and I would rather say its easy for market to add the position they want at the price they set.

I make a loss of 30% on my equity for early entry of AUD.

I went on to continue trade USD/JPY, EUR/USD and make back my 30% with extra 5% on my next 3 trades and now just withdrawn my profit and equity is back to the original amount

My observation is price action ( esp candle stick ) is very important to predict the next price movement.

The pair that make me the most out of my 3 trade is

EUR/USD short

Entry is base on this

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eushort.png Size: 76 KB



In summary of events that happen, its better not to add position base on just Oanda Position, its true the trend is set, but only add when price action & tdi give a clear signal.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #176
  • Jan 16, 2014 1:03am Jan 16, 2014 1:03am
Quoting chaosbun
My weekly Trading Insights: In this 3 weeks of trading using chaos and some other methods that I highlight below, my withdrawal is almost everyday and my deposit perhaps once in a few days when my trade is stuck yet I wanna make some trading. But the output is more than the input Weekly Outlook for AUD on this coming week I used to look @ many systems, indicators and try many methods. But after this few weesk of trading with Chaos System ( I trade over 3 years to date ) , there some value that is quite important to trading. 1) Retail Market Sentiment...

If anyone actually read the post, the AUD had fallen far more than 280 pips this week.
For rally roughly near 100 pips and drop 300 after. Its a pump and drop situation. Whereby to hunt retail trader and get back on the actual "trend" of bearish.

1 could easily determine the right trend by looking at Oanda Open Position and then look @ price action.

The market is not going easy, but still possible to make money as long you on the trend.


The only fault I got with the trade on that AUD is to enter too early without price action confirmation, although my trade was manually close at that time. Should anyone maintain a SELL on RALLY mindset for aud, this week should be your winner.

As of now I prefer not to touch AUD as its a falling knife.


## Have fun trading.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #177
  • Jan 16, 2014 12:46pm Jan 16, 2014 12:46pm
A New way to present price action

My pick for the day E/U long

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eulong.png Size: 80 KB
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #178
  • Jan 16, 2014 12:59pm Jan 16, 2014 12:59pm
hey chaos

do you say that because of the high volume at the lows? as in the big boys are loading up accumulation to go long?

blam


Quoting chaosbun
A New way to present price action My pick for the day E/U long {image}
  • #179
  • Edited 1:24pm Jan 16, 2014 1:11pm | Edited 1:24pm
Quoting blamshakk
hey chaos do you say that because of the high volume at the lows? as in the big boys are loading up accumulation to go long? blam {quote}
I don't really care if the big boy is loading up long or short, for the past few days and observation, I been looking @ price action, mainly on big reversal bar and previous strong strong & resistance.

Then the chance is upon heavy buying or selling at a certain price, the chance to make more than 20 pips out of the trade to join the trend is quite high tendency.

Moreover, E/U is more of a long than short to me now, anyway for all trades I do, I had place my S/L intact.

----------

The answer to trading is to trade with price action, also known as follow the Trend.

Issue is that trend is difficult to be seen, you change your chart to another Time Frame , example H1 & D1 might say different thing.
Sometime you can look @ previous strong support/resistance ( also known as accumulation for some of you)

Such as the picture I post above. I also look @ Oanda Open position to get roughly the market bias, such as pairs like EU, GU , AU, UJ etc.


Always trade with SL, and not extend your SL when you did mistake, its a expensive price to pay.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #180
  • Jan 16, 2014 1:23pm Jan 16, 2014 1:23pm
Some common mistake that traders did is to enter at weak support & resistance

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.png Size: 68 KB


Take a look at AUD/USD, its not wise to enter a long or short at this period of time as there no strong movement at a certain price.
Entering is like gambling with 50% chance either you win or you lose.

The candlestick is very short.

Another example is a good price action chart

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GUlong.png Size: 77 KB


If you notice the candle stick are long, take reference from the previous long support zone, I highlighted it.

GBP/USD looks like a BULL more than a BEAR to me now.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
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