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TDI H1 Chaos System

  • #141
  • Jan 5, 2014 7:53pm Jan 5, 2014 7:53pm
I got 2 charts to share

AU seems too hard to break 0.9000 and a entry to short just appear.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aushort.png Size: 82 KB


UJ shorter be careful as the 66.0 fibo seems to appear lots of buyer.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ujlong.png Size: 87 KB
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #142
  • Edited 1:48am Jan 6, 2014 12:10am | Edited 1:48am
One question,
How can we avoid fake out ?
Look at this chart,
if we primarily based on TDI, green crossed the red initially and pointing 1 oclock however the 2nd bar had a long wick. this totally changes the TDI direction..



http://charts.mql5.com/3/493/nzdusd-...al-markets.png
  • #143
  • Jan 6, 2014 1:48am Jan 6, 2014 1:48am
Quoting RubyTrader
One question, How can we avoid fake out ? Look at this chart, if we primarily based on TDI, green crossed the red initially and pointing 1 oclock however the 2nd bar had a long wick. this totally changes the TDI direction.. http://www.mql5.com/en/charts/125582...apital-markets
According to Dean (creator of Synergy Pro), the blue bar with long upper wick and no lower wick indicates strong up trend. So if i look at your chart now associating with your TDI, i will say that the price will go up. However, this must have been a scout order, if i took this trade. Therefore, the risk is high, fake out is possible > the stop-loss has to be set.
By the way, there is not such a certain thing to avoid fake-out, because if there is, i guess that everyone can be a winner, the market will collapse. It all depends on your analysis, your personality and experience.


(Source: http://www.synergyprotrader.com/index_1022012.html)
  • #144
  • Edited 7:51am Jan 6, 2014 6:54am | Edited 7:51am
Quoting chaosbun
I got 2 charts to share AU seems too hard to break 0.9000 and a entry to short just appear. {image} UJ shorter be careful as the 66.0 fibo seems to appear lots of buyer. {image}
UJ close in profit + 30 pips . Good Day AU still running.

Added 3 new positions

USD/CHF short, EUR/CHF short, Re-Entry AUD/USD short.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aushort2.png Size: 86 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurchfshort.png Size: 63 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchfshort.png Size: 57 KB
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #145
  • Edited 7:52am Jan 6, 2014 7:07am | Edited 7:52am
Quoting RubyTrader
One question, How can we avoid fake out ? Look at this chart, if we primarily based on TDI, green crossed the red initially and pointing 1 oclock however the 2nd bar had a long wick. this totally changes the TDI direction.. {image}
RubyTrader, if you look at the bigger trend, the previous high is higher than this new high, so its not a good long, my case will to look for short.

Look at the price action of the Candle #2, the 2nd blue one, you realize the wick is quite long. It show that there is seller at that level, not a good level to long.


My First Loss:
1 of my trade GBP/USD hit sl on today market open at a few hours ago. ( 2% drop on equity )

But the GBP/USD loss is covered by my UJ long today

My Current Running Trades:


EU Long(Got 4 positions, closed 2 in profits, 2 more in unrealize loss)
EUR/CHF Short( added new entry after carry over weekend last week mistake short)

USD/CHF short(added today)
AUD/USD short(added today)
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #146
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:58pm Jan 6, 2014 5:58pm
YEsterday Nzdusd , it went up 40 pips eventually.

http://charts.mql5.com/3/501/nzdusd-...-markets-2.png



Quoting chaosbun
{quote} RubyTrader, if you look at the bigger trend, the previous high is higher than this new high, so its not a good long, my case will to look for short. Look at the price action of the Candle #2, the 2nd blue one, you realize the wick is quite long. It show that there is seller at that level, not a good level to long. My First Loss: 1 of my trade GBP/USD hit sl on today market open at a few hours ago. ( 2% drop on equity ) But the GBP/USD loss is covered by my UJ long today My Current Running Trades: EU Long(Got 4 positions, closed 2 in profits,...

Quote
According to Dean (creator of Synergy Pro), the blue bar with long upper wick and no lower wick indicates strong up trend. So if i look at your chart now associating with your TDI, i will say that the price will go up. However, this must have been a scout order, if i took this trade. Therefore, the risk is high, fake out is possible > the stop-loss has to be set.
By the way, there is not such a certain thing to avoid fake-out, because if there is, i guess that everyone can be a winner, the market will collapse. It all depends on your analysis,...
  • #147
  • Edited 6:24pm Jan 6, 2014 6:09pm | Edited 6:24pm
Yesterday trade LONG EURAUD

Tdi crossed
Low high high and low high created
genesis changed colour
volume wasnt high at my entry but eventually the volume was high at the next burst.

+50 pips

http://charts.mql5.com/3/502/euraud-...al-markets.png
  • #148
  • Jan 6, 2014 6:59pm Jan 6, 2014 6:59pm
My personal weekly technical analysis:
I did not do this one yesterday because it was the first day of the week and the day when every work person really resumes theirs daily routine, so i think the market needs to build some bias for the whole week or month.
NZD/USD:
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price staying firmly above its bearish trendline, is supported by increasing bullish volume. So i assume that NZD/USD is starting its bullish trend (?)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd-d1-dunboyne-investment-s.png Size: 67 KB


AUD/USD:
The chart shows me that AUD/USD had finished its Elliot Wave and is in correction phase for its fresh bullish trend. The price has also broken its bearish trendline. This fresh bullish trend is supported by previous daily candle with high bullish volume
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd-d1-dunboyne-investment-s.png Size: 69 KB


USD/JPY:
The bullish trend of USD/JPY is very strong and was tested by more than 10 times but has never been successful. However, this week is probably the week it will break this bullish trend and unveil the bearish trend (?). The new trend is supported by high and increasing selling activities.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy-d1-dunboyne-investment-s.png Size: 63 KB
  • #149
  • Jan 6, 2014 7:36pm Jan 6, 2014 7:36pm
Quoting StevenNguyen
My personal weekly technical analysis: I did not do this one yesterday because it was the first day of the week and the day when every work person really resumes theirs daily routine, so i think the market needs to build some bias for the whole week or month. NZD/USD: Looking at the chart, we can see that the price staying firmly above its bearish trendline, is supported by increasing bullish volume. So i assume that NZD/USD is starting its bullish trend (?) {image} AUD/USD: The chart shows me that AUD/USD had finished its Elliot Wave and is in correction phase for its fresh bullish trend. The price has also broken its bearish trendline. This fresh bullish trend is supported by previous daily candle with high bullish volume {image} USD/JPY: The bullish trend of USD/JPY is very strong and was tested by more than 10 times but has never been successful. However, this week is probably the week it will break this bullish trend and unveil the bearish trend (?). The new trend is supported by high and increasing selling activities. {image}



UJ is very strong, the fibo point 61.8% ( 103.97) and 66.0% seems difficult to breach as of now with lots of buying at that level -/+ 10 pips

Quoting RubyTrader
Yesterday trade LONG EURAUD Tdi crossed Low high high and low high created genesis changed colour volume wasnt high at my entry but eventually the volume was high at the next burst. +50 pips {image}
Congrat. Good Entry.

Current Position:


I just close my AUD position and now holding EUR/CHF short and EUR/USD long.

Monitoring several pairs waiting for next hour candle.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #150
  • Jan 6, 2014 8:17pm Jan 6, 2014 8:17pm
Quoting chaosbun
{quote} UJ is very strong, the fibo point 61.8% ( 103.97) and 66.0% seems difficult to breach as of now with lots of buying at that level -/+ 10 pips {quote} Congrat. Good Entry. Current Position: I just close my AUD position and now holding EUR/CHF short and EUR/USD long. Monitoring several pairs waiting for next hour candle.
Yeah, i completely agree that usdjpy is very strong, and its bearish trend is stll too soon to say now, probably after this week, it will be more clearer
  • #151
  • Jan 6, 2014 8:23pm Jan 6, 2014 8:23pm
Is it time to go down? Cable

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gushort.png Size: 77 KB


> TDI Crosses
> Overall is bearish trend for G/U
> Genesis turn red
> Dragon below Trend Line
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #152
  • Jan 6, 2014 10:31pm Jan 6, 2014 10:31pm
Quoting chaosbun
Is it time to go down? Cable {image} > TDI Crosses > Overall is bearish trend for G/U > Genesis turn red > Dragon below Trend Line
haha im also looking at cable. good day to trade as tehre wontb e gbp news during london session. Atleast can hold it until new york session before trade balance tonight.
  • #153
  • Jan 6, 2014 11:54pm Jan 6, 2014 11:54pm
Another good trade to keep the day going !

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdcadshort.png Size: 62 KB


USD/CAD Short
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #154
  • Jan 7, 2014 12:01am Jan 7, 2014 12:01am
Shorted eur usd.

banging on h4 trend line. it all depends on news later on eur.

HOping it will break the low will trail the profit if it does

http://charts.mql5.com/3/503/eurusd-...-markets-2.png
  • #155
  • Jan 7, 2014 12:06am Jan 7, 2014 12:06am
Quoting chaosbun
Another good trade to keep the day going ! {image} USD/CAD Short
agree with you but i only aim for 18-20 pips as this could just be a retracement after so many bull candles in h1.

http://charts.mql5.com/3/503/usdcad-...al-markets.png
  • #156
  • Jan 7, 2014 4:59am Jan 7, 2014 4:59am
hey man

can i ask if there were additional factors in this trade? as from what i can see only TDI cross and candle colour change, but its an uptrend and genesis matrix is all coded blue

does the blue volume bar play any role in your decision in that pic.... ie do you think the big boys were loading up shorts at that juncture?

blam



Quoting chaosbun
Another good trade to keep the day going ! {image} USD/CAD Short
  • #157
  • Jan 7, 2014 6:46am Jan 7, 2014 6:46am
Quoting RubyTrader
{quote} agree with you but i only aim for 18-20 pips as this could just be a retracement after so many bull candles in h1. {image}
You are correct. I am wrong I think this the 2nd time I made a mistake using this system to short on a retracement.
Learn to Trade is Important. Keep your bias & ego aside.
  • #158
  • Jan 7, 2014 5:48pm Jan 7, 2014 5:48pm
Quoting chaosbun
{quote} You are correct. I am wrong I think this the 2nd time I made a mistake using this system to short on a retracement.
hmm this system should be used to follow trend ? :S i think my trades are mostly retracement though lol..
  • #159
  • Jan 7, 2014 8:03pm Jan 7, 2014 8:03pm
Yesterday trade SHORT USD YEN

Lost on this trade

-30 pips

I think setup was tehre .. but it just changes direction... =/ tough luck
Gensis changed from 4 blue to 3 red
volume wasnt there yet though
TDI pointing 5 oclock
Price action at the trend line.
below 5ema
below dragon and trend

http://charts.mql5.com/3/512/usdjpy-...-markets-2.png
  • #160
  • Edited 8:23pm Jan 7, 2014 8:07pm | Edited 8:23pm
Long eur yen

TDI crossed
Genesis changed colour
Price action ... HL HL HL HL
Volume was high but price did not break out but made HL.

http://charts.mql5.com/3/512/eurjpy-...al-markets.png

took same setup for aud yen and gbp yen
Audyen
http://charts.mql5.com/3/512/audjpy-...al-markets.png
GBP yen
http://charts.mql5.com/3/512/gbpjpy-...al-markets.png
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