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  • #9,401
  • Jan 6, 2014 4:19am Jan 6, 2014 4:19am
Quoting Forex Magic
{quote} Luis, I do not know if You realise how much the Americans spend on BMW's, Audi's and Mercedes but if You think that is A then many would not be able to afford anything from the Eurozone in the event of a wave C of that magnitude. The 5 waves of A as that supposes is 8000 pips, that would assume (with a 1.200 B and A=C ) that C would terminate no sooner that 2 Euro's to the Dollar, and possibly go to 2.500 at 1.61%. It would also invalidate practically all the US Dollar Long Term Counts I have ever seen. Just a consideration for truly who...

10 years ago people would have probably never thought eurusd would have reached 1.60... market doesn't follow EW... with all the bad rep euro has and has had for years now its just not dropping... that to me say euro has another agenda... i used to be a super bear on euro.. looks like thats not the case anymore..

in the same sense i guess many did not expect GU to go to 2.12 but it did not lasting very long... i wouldn't rule out a major strong bull on EU

on the contrary i would love to see this pair at parity so i can go to europe for less
  • #9,402
  • Jan 6, 2014 4:38am Jan 6, 2014 4:38am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} here we go source: Dukascopy monthly {image} monthly more compressed {image} weekly {image}

thanks a lot
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  • #9,403
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:29am Jan 6, 2014 5:29am
Quoting Luis Carlos
Why change the main count. B is still there. http://scrawlingcharts.blogspot.com/...l#comment-form

oh to create big B upward, would visit 1.29658 first?
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  • #9,404
  • Jan 6, 2014 6:37am Jan 6, 2014 6:37am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Problem with that long term count is, that it does not look far enough to the right side and concludes, that the very top is the end of a wave A But there was Euro history before the earliest date on that chart. Before the Euro came, we had something called ECU, and now there are charts that have recalculated data which goes back in the early 80's or late 70's years. My Dukascopy chart shows the deepest point arount 0,56 in the year 1985, and since then to the top in 2008 EUR has traced out most likely a zigzag so far. So for me at the very...
i think you don't remember we discuss that 1 year ago
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #9,405
  • Jan 6, 2014 6:40am Jan 6, 2014 6:40am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Problem with that long term count is, that it does not look far enough to the right side and concludes, that the very top is the end of a wave A But there was Euro history before the earliest date on that chart. Before the Euro came, we had something called ECU, and now there are charts that have recalculated data which goes back in the early 80's or late 70's years. My Dukascopy chart shows the deepest point arount 0,56 in the year 1985, and since then to the top in 2008 EUR has traced out most likely a zigzag so far. So for me at the very...
those will be invalidated. My usdx says down
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #9,406
  • Jan 6, 2014 7:49am Jan 6, 2014 7:49am
Here is: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...al#post6262370
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #9,407
  • Jan 6, 2014 8:06am Jan 6, 2014 8:06am
Quoting Luis Carlos
{quote} i think you don't remember we discuss that 1 year ago

so you think, that we will see an ABC-flat, now in wave B down, which you think will terminate around the 1,12 line

Swannell found, that the B-wave of a flat is never shorter that 60% retracement of the whole A-wave

that would give most probably targets of roughly 0,96 and below
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_Monthly_snapshot.png Size: 37 KB
  • #9,408
  • Jan 6, 2014 1:46pm Jan 6, 2014 1:46pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} so you think, that we will see an ABC-flat, now in wave B down, which you think will terminate around the 1,12 line Swannell found, that the B-wave of a flat is never shorter that 60% retracement of the whole A-wave that would give most probably targets of roughly 0,96 and below {image}
Yess, dont remember A is a zig zag from 0,622 to 1.600 the first move is a diagonal. Now we are corrected the cicly from 0.6220 to 1.60
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #9,409
  • Jan 6, 2014 2:00pm Jan 6, 2014 2:00pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
{quote} Yess, dont remember A is a zig zag from 0,622 to 1.600 the first move is a diagonal. Now we are corrected the cicly from 0.6220 to 1.60

flat retrace (the b move opposite trend) minimal 50 percent rite?
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  • #9,410
  • Jan 6, 2014 2:06pm Jan 6, 2014 2:06pm
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} flat retrace (the b move opposite trend) minimal 50 percent rite?

per Swannells work the B wave of a flat retraces minimum around 60%


go to this link and download the pdf with all of Swannells results


http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...35#post6952235
  • #9,411
  • Jan 6, 2014 2:17pm Jan 6, 2014 2:17pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} per Swannells work the B wave of a flat retraces minimum around 60% go to this link and download the pdf with all of Swannells results http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...35#post6952235

then this downward movement minimum 1.3180
becos i see it as -a- leg of a future flat
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #9,412
  • Jan 6, 2014 2:21pm Jan 6, 2014 2:21pm
EURUSD Elliott Wave H4 Chart

last blue (X) is maybe (i)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ew eu.png Size: 81 KB
  • #9,413
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:11pm Jan 6, 2014 5:11pm
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} then this downward movement minimum 1.3180 becos i see it as -a- leg of a future flat

my thoughts exactly without EW in mind
  • #9,414
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:22pm Jan 6, 2014 5:22pm
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} my thoughts exactly without EW in mind

hahaha
some might said
1.2858 per candle-1.2972 (per fibo)
or maybe 1.2455 (per candle and unusual fibo ratio.

but i trade on step by step. actually first i was confirmed of movement 1.26567 to 1.3710 as glenn neely theory. but now im trying back to basic. maybe one day i can label that upward movement with correct 3rd wave never the shortest and 4th should not overlap 1st.

rite now im trying to count that upward movement with the basic EWP rule by R.N Elliott
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #9,415
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:23pm Jan 6, 2014 5:23pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
{quote} You dont remember, A is a zigzag began in 0.62, we are correcting that cycle.

now you all see what happens, when you discuss EW without delivering a chart LOL


I know that we are talking about the cycle 0.62 to 1.6x

ud1nh0 asked about a flat (how much wave B has to retrace), and I said at least around 60%

when this huge A is a zigzag, one of the outcomes is a flat. So this actual big wave down should retrace at least 60% of A
  • #9,416
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:24pm Jan 6, 2014 5:24pm
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} then this downward movement minimum 1.3180 becos i see it as -a- leg of a future flat

why do you not deliver a chart, would make it much easier to know what you are talking about
  • #9,417
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:29pm Jan 6, 2014 5:29pm
Quoting Schickeria
EURUSD Elliott Wave H4 Chart last blue (X) is maybe (i) {image}

either you label impulse and either wave A or wave 1, or you find other wave count for X

x is only allowed in form of this


abc-x-abc

or

wxy
  • #9,418
  • Jan 6, 2014 5:47pm Jan 6, 2014 5:47pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} why do you not deliver a chart, would make it much easier to know what you are talking about

i already give my best count for movement between 1.6038 till 1.204x in euro thread. but few that comments and give review for the chart.
anyone reading this post feel free to review my chart on PT thread "Euro Analysis"

give me time. i will create my best count style for 1.204x till 1.389x.
if i post it (but not here in this section), i think would be few that will give review. i need more than 1 reviewers.
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #9,419
  • Jan 6, 2014 6:09pm Jan 6, 2014 6:09pm
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} i already give my best count for movement between 1.6038 till 1.204x in euro thread. but few that comments and give review for the chart. anyone reading this post feel free to review my chart on PT thread "Euro Analysis" give me time. i will create my best count style for 1.204x till 1.389x. if i post it (but not here in this section), i think would be few that will give review. i need more than 1 reviewers.

do you realy think people will start reviewing threads, if you have already published a chart there?

What is so difficult to post it again or give the link?
  • #9,420
  • Jan 6, 2014 7:39pm Jan 6, 2014 7:39pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} why do you not deliver a chart, would make it much easier to know what you are talking about

i have dechipered the upward movement 2656 to 3710, now trying to understand the downward movement from 3710 to 2744. Its very complex and difficult than the upward.
my head is spinning.
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
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