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Sonic R. System

  • #63,721
  • Jan 4, 2014 4:48am Jan 4, 2014 4:48am
Quoting loeil
{quote} UCHF - long closed for 1511 pips gain {image}
This is one deep and cool trades..


Sonic
  • #63,722
  • Jan 4, 2014 4:54am Jan 4, 2014 4:54am
qFish, you may have had a "down" week, but you still have
the best profile icon and screen name ever!

  • #63,723
  • Jan 4, 2014 4:59am Jan 4, 2014 4:59am
Inserted Video



Something ..to think abt..


Sonic
  • #63,724
  • Jan 4, 2014 7:19am Jan 4, 2014 7:19am
sonic

audusd is the start of a sell down?
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  • #63,725
  • Jan 4, 2014 9:00am Jan 4, 2014 9:00am
Quoting traderathome
AJ Comment Earlier today, the price was taken above the whole number and since then the bear bars have been predominate. So, it looks like the trip above the whole number was a push by the market makers to hit stops on shorts and to trigger pending long orders ("wrong side" orders) to get liquidity so they could accumulate more short orders themselves. Come the US open and the price reverses back up. This does not appear a bullish move up, but a retrace move (about 50% so far), again by the market makers who are looking to stop out shorts and suck...

i highly doubt it
  • #63,726
  • Jan 4, 2014 9:22am Jan 4, 2014 9:22am
Quoting traderathome
AJ Comment Earlier today, the price was taken above the whole number and since then the bear bars have been predominate. So, it looks like the trip above the whole number was a push by the market makers to hit stops on shorts and to trigger pending long orders ("wrong side" orders) to get liquidity so they could accumulate more short orders themselves. Come the US open and the price reverses back up. This does not appear a bullish move up, but a retrace move (about 50% so far), again by the market makers who are looking to stop out shorts and suck in "wrong side" longs, to create more liquidity for themselves to accumulate additional short orders. Just look how the volume increased once the MMs started the price retracing upwards. Traders saw what the MMs were doing and started to trade more heavily themselves as the price went higher; buy low, sell high. Might this be the beginning of a reversal of the larger TF trend from up to down? Could AJ be signalling the potential for reversal of other YEN pairs? Time will tell. Happy New Year! -tah {image}
Quoting Ajoe1
{quote} i highly doubt it
Doubting Thomas "Ajoe1"

Doubts are part of this venture. Now, however, after seeing the gobs of trading on Friday at the highs the MMs pushed the price up to, followed by a selloff before the market closed, I have even more reasons to support my conjecture that the market makers are bears that are loading up on short orders. Time will tell.
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  • #63,727
  • Jan 4, 2014 10:53am Jan 4, 2014 10:53am
PVSRA Results for 1st Forty Weeks
The following are the results of my trading the Sonic R. System using PVSRA to determine if it is a bull or bear market, and then trading the price action I see.

Week ending 04/05
1289 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 19 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/12
1891 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 28 parts (all parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/19
2160 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 31 parts (29 parts winners), averaging 69+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/26
2640 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 34 parts (all parts winners), averaging 77+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/03
2530 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 24 parts (23 parts winners), averaging 105+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/10
3050 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 92+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/17
1590 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 16 parts (all parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/24
3980 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 40 parts (33 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/31
4003 pips gained, 5 trades totaling 37 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 06/07
9813 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 61 parts (53 parts winners), averaging 160+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/14
3900 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 15 parts (all parts winners), averaging 260+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/21
4620 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/28
12,120 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 86 parts (82 parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/05
3,440 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 22 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 156+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/12
14,143 pips gained, 11 trades totaling 125 parts (115 parts winners), averaging 113+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/19
215 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 7 parts (all parts winners), averaging 30+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/26
1,170 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 25 parts (16 parts winners), averaging 46+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/02
10,850 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 102 parts (87 parts winners), averaging 106+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/09
7,784 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 72 parts (50 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/16
(-250) pips gained, 1 trades totaling 3 parts (0 parts winners), averaging -83+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/23
6,750 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 49 parts (42 parts winners), averaging 137+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/30
6,785 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 68 parts (64 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/06
178 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 6 parts (all parts winners), averaging 29+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/13
2,330 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 40 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 58+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/20
64,268 pips lost, 8 trades totaling 107 parts (6 parts winners), averaging -600 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/27
364 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 16 parts (8 parts winners), averaging 22+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/04
6,710 pips lost, 7 trades totaling 27 parts (11 parts winners), averaging -419 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/11
586 pips lost, 8 trades affected, 42 parts involved (34 parts gain, 7 parts lose), averaging -14 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/18
19,611 pips lost, 6 trades affected, 76 parts involved (14 parts gain, 62 parts lose), averaging -213 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/25
14,401 pips lost, 8 trades affected, 77 parts involved (0 parts gain, 77 parts lose), averaging -66 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/01
8,320 pips gained, 4 trades affected, 105 parts involved (101 parts gain, 4 parts lose), averaging +79 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/08
7,527 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 78 parts involved (78 parts gain, 0 parts lose), averaging 96+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/15
2,504 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 8 parts involved (5 parts gain, 3 parts lose), averaging 313+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/22
9,875 pips gained, 25 trades affected, 176 parts involved (157 parts gain, 19 parts lose), averaging 56+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/29
4,833 pips lost, 11 trades affected, 230 parts involved (138 parts gain, 95 parts lose), averaging -21 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/06
4,335 pips lost, 7 trades affected, 27 parts involved (17 parts gain, 10 parts lose), averaging -160 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/13
3,033 pips lost, 3 trades affected, 12 parts involved (7 parts gain, 5 parts lose), averaging -253 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/20
620 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 6 parts involved (4 parts gain, 2 parts lose), averaging +103 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/27
2,097 pips lost, 4 trades affected, 11 parts involved (5 parts gain, 6 parts lose), averaging -190 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 01/03
702 pips gained, 6 trades affected, 53 parts involved (38 parts gain, 15 parts lose), averaging -13 pips per each of all parts

All of these trades, all of the trade parts thereof, were posted real-time right here on the Sonic R. System thread, using crystal clear easy to understand charts and explanations regarding PVSRA reasons for entries, whether Classic or Scout trades.

Summary Week Forty
16,019 pips banked.
16,370 pips current draw down (net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
351 pips net loss (pips banked plus net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
9 pips weekly average net loss (weekly average net loss if all open PVSRA trades instantly closed).

Summary Remarks
This was the last week of trading for 2013, with nothing monumental happening one way or the other. Some have doubted how good can PVSRA be if after so many weeks there is a loss. I remind that PVSRA has been a work in-progress, with experiments that have turned both good and bad, with resultant learning of how to better apply, and that the year experiment is not yet over.


-tah
  • #63,728
  • Jan 4, 2014 3:55pm Jan 4, 2014 3:55pm
Quoting trexy123
sonic audusd is the start of a sell down? {image}
Some1 post AU4H here..

AU is uptrend.. but if u talk about m15.. price may up n down as u mentioned in ur chart..


Sonic
  • #63,729
  • Jan 4, 2014 6:17pm Jan 4, 2014 6:17pm
Quoting sonicdeejay
{quote} Some1 post AU4H here.. AU is uptrend.. but if u talk about m15.. price may up n down as u mentioned in ur chart.. Sonic
in this case we long? what is the TP?
  • #63,730
  • Edited 10:26pm Jan 4, 2014 9:54pm | Edited 10:26pm
Quoting trexy123
sonic audusd is the start of a sell down? {image}
Quoting sonicdeejay
{quote} Some1 post AU4H here.. AU is uptrend.. but if u talk about m15.. price may up n down as u mentioned in ur chart.. Sonic
Quoting trexy123
{quote} in this case we long? what is the TP?
Predicting is Folly. Possibility Thinking is Profitable.

Regarding AU:
Can we really conclude that AU is in a uptrend? Maybe it is just ranging. Maybe the ranging is for the accumulation of longs, but maybe the ranging is for the accumulation of shorts.

Personally, from doing PVSRA on lower TFs, I conclude the price has been ranging for the purpose of accumulation of longs, but that an uptrend has not yet taken hold. If and when an uptrend starts, with the prospects of USD strengthening, the uptrend might be short lived. Thinking this way, the start of a new uptrend might turn out to be nothing more than the start of a somewhat major pullback in the overall down trend that looks to have gotten started on the MONTH chart. In other words, an uptrend might be for the larger purpose of the market makers and the banks to load up with short orders for a resumption of the new down trend on the MONTH chart.

We cannot know how price will move next, nor when trends will reverse. So, we might as well give up thinking that way. Market pricing is a day-to-day affair, perhaps prompted by larger orders placed by banks thinking in longer term swings, but navigated under the control of the market makers that are going to manipulate prices on a daily basis so they can be sure to be loaded up at the right prices ahead of letting the swings take off.

Yes, this does look like an uptrend might get underway, once the 0.9000 level is broken to the upside. Until that happens, the 0.9000 level is the upside target area and the area between 0.8800 and 0.8850 is the downside target area. If an uptrend kicks off to a start, there are any one of eight whole number levels higher that might be a target for the end of the uptrend, should it turn out to be nothing more than a large retrace in the down trend on the MONTH chart. If an uptrend does not get off to a start, or fails early on and price drops back down thru the range, then we could be looking at a much earlier resumption of the down trend on the MONTH chart.
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  • #63,731
  • Jan 4, 2014 11:53pm Jan 4, 2014 11:53pm
Hello I wanted to share analysis on audusd, I see down after a brief retrace giulio
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  • #63,732
  • Jan 5, 2014 2:38am Jan 5, 2014 2:38am
GOLD Weekly Analysis W2/2014

Bias: Long
Expected Area: Will Love to See 126x area..




Sonic
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  • #63,733
  • Jan 5, 2014 3:43am Jan 5, 2014 3:43am
Quoting sonicdeejay
GOLD Weekly Analysis W2/2014 Bias: Long Expected Area: Will Love to See 126x area.. Sonic {image}
Why do you trade gold now?
  • #63,734
  • Jan 5, 2014 3:59am Jan 5, 2014 3:59am
Quoting trexy123
{quote} Why do you trade gold now?
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Sonic
  • #63,735
  • Jan 5, 2014 4:09am Jan 5, 2014 4:09am
Sonic is your view same as TAH?

Quoting traderathome
{quote} {quote} {quote} Predicting is Folly. Possibility Thinking is Profitable. Regarding AU: Can we really conclude that AU is in a uptrend? Maybe it is just ranging. Maybe the ranging is for the accumulation of longs, but maybe the ranging is for the accumulation of shorts. Personally, from doing PVSRA on lower TFs, I conclude the price has been ranging for the purpose of accumulation of longs, but that an uptrend has not yet taken hold. If and when an uptrend starts, with the prospects of USD strengthening, the uptrend might be short lived....
  • #63,736
  • Edited 4:57am Jan 5, 2014 4:43am | Edited 4:57am
AU and Gold: All that Glitters is not Gold!

These two have similar moves, however AU has the definite advantage for traders in the spread/range department. For the same range, AU has less than a fifth of the spread that gold has. For the broker shown, the spread for AU is only 16.37% of the spread for gold, based on equalized ranges. Furthermore, gold is more "viciously" manipulated and the margins for trading gold can suddenly and be changed to intentionally force traders into liquidating positions at the worst possible time. While there might be at times reasons to buy and hold actual gold metal, I do not see these as advantages to trading gold.
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  • #63,737
  • Jan 5, 2014 4:49am Jan 5, 2014 4:49am
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  • #63,738
  • Jan 5, 2014 4:58am Jan 5, 2014 4:58am
Almost forgot...


Happy new Year.. My Dear Sonikers... Thank you for your kind supports for the last year..


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May we have more pips this year...



Sonic
  • #63,739
  • Jan 5, 2014 6:10am Jan 5, 2014 6:10am
GBP/JPY Week 01/2014 Analysis

Weekly Candle : Bearish

Bias : Short (mid)


Note:: Last week was 4 days trading week.. so it is not 5 days weeks (100%) and should be considered 80% of full W1 candle...I notice pretty serious sell down on last Thursday... More to come I suppose


Sonic
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  • #63,740
  • Jan 5, 2014 6:26am Jan 5, 2014 6:26am
Hi Sonic,

thanks for for all your analysis. Just a question: what do you think about usdchf for tomorrow? I am in short from 0.9030.
I wish you a happy new year and good trades for 2014.
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