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  • #867,321
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:05am Jan 2, 2014 8:05am
Quoting forexvegan
{quote} Can you show us where you got this information. I looked around and couldn't find it, or do you have a screen shot of it? Do you know when the options expire?
It was from me:

OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's NY cut 1000ET. Large(L), Very Large(VL),
* Euro-dollar; $1.3700(L)
* Dollar-yen; Y104.00
* Aussie; $0.8800, $0.8950, $0.9000
* Kiwi; $0.8180, $0.8170, $0.8165(VL), $0.8160
  • #867,322
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:05am Jan 2, 2014 8:05am
Quoting rattyo
{quote} Look here this thing could be destroyed ok. I'm worried, your telling me you don't give a jot? what are Ze Germans going to do?
I don't really mind seeing a Euro at 1.2 or 1.4 to be honest.

Germans are happy today, they are not alone...and France is not pleased about it

It will be another ping pong year
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #867,323
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:07am Jan 2, 2014 8:07am
Quoting rattyo
{quote} Vegans Rule
Yes they do, I love it!!! Thanks rattyo!!!
Faith ends where worry begins, and worry ends where faith begins.
  • #867,324
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:08am Jan 2, 2014 8:08am
Quoting 4xmaker
My question is why the USD suddenly became so strong all of a sudden? I started using international fisher effect to see if the currency pair will appreciate or depreciate based on the changes of the gov bond yields. So far, it has been pretty accurate on predicting without crazy forward guidance speeches from BOE or ECB. Euro bond yields are dropping while US Treasuries are holding still.
Here is some thoughts for you on your question. The USD becomes stronger usually when you have Risk Off as what happens is that as markets sell off the cash changes into US Dollars and then the US Dollars are used to buy US Bonds. You should follow the Yields on the 2 Year US Bonds and the 10 Year US Bonds as they are now selling off and the Yields are going up. If the Dow were to go down to say 15000 during January 2014 then as CASH goes to US Dollars they would use the funds to PARK the CASH in US Bonds and that would cause the US Bonds to go up in value and the Yields then would go down. That would give strength to the USD and since the US Dollar Index is made up of 57.2% Euro the EUR/USD pair would most likely go down. I hope my thoughts help you understand and answered your question.
  • #867,325
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:09am Jan 2, 2014 8:09am
Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} It was from me: OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's NY cut 1000ET. Large(L), Very Large(VL), * Euro-dollar; $1.3700(L) * Dollar-yen; Y104.00 * Aussie; $0.8800, $0.8950, $0.9000 * Kiwi; $0.8180, $0.8170, $0.8165(VL), $0.8160
Got it thanks. Do you know the size amount? If not its okay, just wondering. Thanks.
Faith ends where worry begins, and worry ends where faith begins.
  • #867,326
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:10am Jan 2, 2014 8:10am
Quoting forexvegan
{quote} Got it thanks. Do you know the size amount? If not its okay, just wondering. Thanks.
It says LARGE, so I assume it is significant for market players to take note. Nothing to defend because it isn't Very LARGE.

I say the chances are 50/50 to get there by that time.

The exact number I dont have, and I dont think anyone does.
  • #867,327
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:13am Jan 2, 2014 8:13am
Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} It says LARGE, so I assume it is significant for market players to take note. Nothing to defend because it isn't Very LARGE. I say the chances are 50/50 to get there by that time. The exact number I dont have, and I dont think anyone does.
Yup your right the exact amount doesn't matter. Well for sure dollar yen won't get there by that time. Last question. Where did you get the info? Only so I can see the next time they post this info so I don't have to bug you. Thanks again and many green pips.
Faith ends where worry begins, and worry ends where faith begins.
  • #867,328
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:15am Jan 2, 2014 8:15am
Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} It says LARGE, so I assume it is significant for market players to take note. Nothing to defend because it isn't Very LARGE. I say the chances are 50/50 to get there by that time. The exact number I dont have, and I dont think anyone does.
Pardon my ignorant, its EURO @1.3700, meaning the owner has to sell @ that rate, at the same time buying at spot rate? Or the other way around? Forgive my ignorant. Thanks.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #867,329
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:15am Jan 2, 2014 8:15am
Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} It was from me: OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's NY cut 1000ET. Large(L), Very Large(VL), * Euro-dollar; $1.3700(L) * Dollar-yen; Y104.00 * Aussie; $0.8800, $0.8950, $0.9000 * Kiwi; $0.8180, $0.8170, $0.8165(VL), $0.8160

ask, who has written the options, and who bought it
  • #867,330
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:16am Jan 2, 2014 8:16am
Quoting forexvegan
{quote} Yup your right the exact amount doesn't matter. Well for sure dollar yen won't get there by that time. Last question. Where did you get the info? Only so I can see the next time they post this info so I don't have to bug you. Thanks again and many green pips.

It is a paid service called MNI, it is essential news source to trade fx in my very honest opinion.

Hell, if I had a pick between a Bloomberg terminal or MNI, I would pick MNI every time.
  • #867,331
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:17am Jan 2, 2014 8:17am
Quoting 4xmaker
My question is why the USD suddenly became so strong all of a sudden? I started using international fisher effect to see if the currency pair will appreciate or depreciate based on the changes of the gov bond yields. So far, it has been pretty accurate on predicting without crazy forward guidance speeches from BOE or ECB. Euro bond yields are dropping while US Treasuries are holding still.
sorry but this is not the wright question ------the wright one is how the rubbish currencies like euro and sterling are reached to those very high levels which not reflect their fair values

their fair values are 1.20 and 1.50 respectivly
  • #867,332
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:19am Jan 2, 2014 8:19am
Quoting samooh
{quote} sorry but this is not the wright question ------the wright one is how the rubbish currencies like euro and sterling are reached to those very high levels which not reflect their fair values their fair values are 1.20 and 1.50 respectivly

Its called QE, and operation Twist.

They distort market valuation, and cause FX to just go stupid against conventional wisdom.

They try to play god and manipulate market borrowing cost to stimulate growth in an economy that has overleveraged.
  • #867,333
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:19am Jan 2, 2014 8:19am
so where is your guru attila??? lol.
  • #867,334
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:19am Jan 2, 2014 8:19am
Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} Will need a super crappy ISM I think.... I highly doubt you will get to 1.37... I think 1.35 zone has a higher chance than 1.37
agree with you but im expecting 1.3325
  • #867,335
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:20am Jan 2, 2014 8:20am

Quoting 4xmaker
{quote} Its called QE, and operation Twist. They distort market valuation, and cause FX to just go stupid against conventional wisdom. They try to play god and manipulate market borrowing cost to stimulate growth in an economy that has overleveraged.
  • #867,336
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:22am Jan 2, 2014 8:22am
Quoting giveachance
so where is your guru attila??? lol.
Be nice now Kermie LoL
rat
  • #867,337
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:22am Jan 2, 2014 8:22am
Quoting giveachance
so where is your guru attila??? lol.
i'm long muppet. better said, I'm long the muppets.
  • #867,338
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:23am Jan 2, 2014 8:23am
multiple trades open hmmmmmm
MMMYYYKKK
  • #867,339
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:24am Jan 2, 2014 8:24am
Quoting attila
{quote} i'm long muppet.
good don't try to mess with me again muppet and stop fooling people by giving stupid calls like 1.3900 and other blah blah
  • #867,340
  • Jan 2, 2014 8:27am Jan 2, 2014 8:27am
Quoting attila
{quote} i'm long muppet. better said, I'm long the muppets.
Haha! Got an ASS level around here ;-)
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