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Sonic R. System

  • #63,581
  • Dec 27, 2013 9:41am Dec 27, 2013 9:41am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} fex, By "It isn't bear AND bull market at same time..." you refer to the fact that for every "buy" there must be a "sell", which is true. That does not mean the market is both bullish and bearish at the same time because when we speak of bulls or bears, we are referring to MMs that are and will be driving price. We are not referring to those uniformed and mistaken traders that are taking the wrong side of transactions. Can we know which are the right and wrong side of transactions? Not nearly so well as the MMs can! Take UChf for an example....
I refer to: same pair and same TF, only ONE MM market backgound.

imo UCh:

Stoping volumes on bull candles at SR levels with great volumes: MM are bulls.

Now the problem is: How i could manage some parts SL and TP of the same trade and not DIE trying? And the response is: Next releas TAH templates. Thanks master
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Newbie trader
  • #63,582
  • Dec 27, 2013 9:55am Dec 27, 2013 9:55am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} {quote} UCad Long Trade Update: Added long Scouts #3-5. Indeed, the MMs whipped the price back down to further their accumulation of long orders! {image}
UCad Long Trade Closed:

TP reached and trade closed for 5x80.3= 401.5 pips gain.
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  • #63,583
  • Dec 27, 2013 10:04am Dec 27, 2013 10:04am
USDCHF - long.
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Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #63,584
  • Dec 27, 2013 10:12am Dec 27, 2013 10:12am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} NJ Short Trade Update: Added short #2, Scout. The US MMs just hiked the price with highest volumes at the highs, a strong PVSRA indication the MMs are bears accumulating short orders. If they push this sufficiently higher (above half number?) I will add if I am at the computer at the time. My intent is not to hold this for a long time thru the holidays, but to exit with modest pips profit. Maybe later today, but that is looking less likely. {image} {image}
NJ Short Trade Update: Added shorts #3-5, Scouts, with the last two just recently added and based on what I see as the MMs forcing price higher in order to accumulate short orders at better prices. Time will tell. TP now set, but tentative.
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  • #63,585
  • Dec 27, 2013 10:23am Dec 27, 2013 10:23am
GJ - short.
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Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #63,586
  • Dec 27, 2013 10:24am Dec 27, 2013 10:24am
AJ Short Trade Opened:

Entered short #1, Classic. Looks to me like the MMs have been having a field day above the 1/4SR accumulating short orders. It might even be that there is so much shorting going on that even the MMs have been unable to keep the price above the 1/2SR for very long. If they do manage another drive up to and above the 1/2 SR, I intend to add to this short trade if I am at the computer to see exactly how things look at that time.
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  • #63,587
  • Dec 28, 2013 9:39am Dec 28, 2013 9:39am
anybody single here, this trading ruined my life
i lost my girl yesterday ..
btw, happy new year
  • #63,588
  • Dec 28, 2013 1:05pm Dec 28, 2013 1:05pm
hello guys where can I download this indicator?
counts pips
thanks and happy new year
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  • #63,589
  • Dec 29, 2013 2:05am Dec 29, 2013 2:05am
Pay More attention to 15:00 onward..The way he explains hit the nail...

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Sonic
  • #63,590
  • Dec 29, 2013 5:42am Dec 29, 2013 5:42am
Quoting sonicdeejay
GBP/JPY Week 52 Analysis Weekly Candle : Bullish Engulfing Bias : Short (Mild) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7eVjWtjOQY Note: I explained why I am still Short (Mild) even though we had a Bullish weekly bar. We are also in holiday week.. So. pls take that into account... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUQsqBqxoR4 Happy Holiday... Sonic

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GBP/JPY Week 53 Analysis

Weekly Candle : Bullish Engulfing

Bias : Long (Mild)


Note:: Engulfing bar are strong bar.. it is safer and better bet to long than short..

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Sonic
  • #63,591
  • Dec 29, 2013 6:50am Dec 29, 2013 6:50am
GJ Comment

Indeed the WEEK chart has some strong bull candles of late, however if you drill down thru the TFs a different picture forms.

The DAY chart shows the price gapped up last Thursday by over 50 pips, and this was followed by much higher volume on Friday than on Thursday, as the price reached a new high. Look at the H1 chart for Friday and you can see the tell-tale bull candle that put in the new high. This is a candle that closed down considerably from it's high, denoting a sell-off, or that the MMs were selling into the upside momentum they had created. This is confirmed by the fact that for the rest of the day the price continued to drop.

Keep in mind that the month of December has "year closing" attributes as various firms decide to take profits for accounting purposes, and/or decide to take on new positions should prices be driven to extremes as the market makers take advantage of lower trading levels to increase their manipulation of prices in the attempt to accumulate buy or sell orders they know they will make a profit on later. Generally speaking, it can be a month of lower trading activity, but wide swings and gaps caused by the market makers anyway.

So, here is a different take on GJ. The YEN pairs have been pushed up for a very long time as Japan has continued attempts to devalue the currency. This is now bordering on a currency war. It might be good to keep that in mind. No single nation can unilaterally devalue it's currency continuously without other nations eventually responding. Oh, yes, we have been hearing how the USD could soon be strengthening. This on top of the YEN continuing to get weaker sets the stage to sell the bull bias to traders. And that, my dear Sonicers, is the playground of the big players,.....disseminating information to create the wrong bias in traders! Maybe that sell-off candle, so clearly visible on the H1 chart last Friday, is the more accurate signal to keep in mind.

It might be best to not have a bias on this pair, but just trade setups long after retraces to the down side and setups short after retraces to the upside. That way it does not make any difference what the "Master Plan" of the market is, whether more trending up, whether a reversal to trending down, or whether haphazard ranging for a while.
  • #63,592
  • Edited 9:54am Dec 29, 2013 9:40am | Edited 9:54am
PVSRA Results for 1st Thirty Nine Weeks
The following are the results of my trading the Sonic R. System using PVSRA to determine if it is a bull or bear market, and then trading the price action I see.

Week ending 04/05
1289 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 19 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/12
1891 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 28 parts (all parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/19
2160 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 31 parts (29 parts winners), averaging 69+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/26
2640 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 34 parts (all parts winners), averaging 77+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/03
2530 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 24 parts (23 parts winners), averaging 105+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/10
3050 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 92+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/17
1590 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 16 parts (all parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/24
3980 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 40 parts (33 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/31
4003 pips gained, 5 trades totaling 37 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 06/07
9813 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 61 parts (53 parts winners), averaging 160+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/14
3900 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 15 parts (all parts winners), averaging 260+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/21
4620 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/28
12,120 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 86 parts (82 parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/05
3,440 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 22 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 156+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/12
14,143 pips gained, 11 trades totaling 125 parts (115 parts winners), averaging 113+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/19
215 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 7 parts (all parts winners), averaging 30+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/26
1,170 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 25 parts (16 parts winners), averaging 46+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/02
10,850 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 102 parts (87 parts winners), averaging 106+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/09
7,784 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 72 parts (50 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/16
(-250) pips gained, 1 trades totaling 3 parts (0 parts winners), averaging -83+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/23
6,750 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 49 parts (42 parts winners), averaging 137+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/30
6,785 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 68 parts (64 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/06
178 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 6 parts (all parts winners), averaging 29+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/13
2,330 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 40 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 58+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/20
64,268 pips lost, 8 trades totaling 107 parts (6 parts winners), averaging -600 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/27
364 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 16 parts (8 parts winners), averaging 22+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/04
6,710 pips lost, 7 trades totaling 27 parts (11 parts winners), averaging -419 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/11
586 pips lost, 8 trades affected, 42 parts involved (34 parts gain, 7 parts lose), averaging -14 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/18
19,611 pips lost, 6 trades affected, 76 parts involved (14 parts gain, 62 parts lose), averaging -213 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/25
14,401 pips lost, 8 trades affected, 77 parts involved (0 parts gain, 77 parts lose), averaging -66 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/01
8,320 pips gained, 4 trades affected, 105 parts involved (101 parts gain, 4 parts lose), averaging +79 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/08
7,527 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 78 parts involved (78 parts gain, 0 parts lose), averaging 96+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/15
2,504 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 8 parts involved (5 parts gain, 3 parts lose), averaging 313+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/22
9,875 pips gained, 25 trades affected, 176 parts involved (157 parts gain, 19 parts lose), averaging 56+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 11/29
4,833 pips lost, 11 trades affected, 230 parts involved (138 parts gain, 95 parts lose), averaging -21 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/06
4,335 pips lost, 7 trades affected, 27 parts involved (17 parts gain, 10 parts lose), averaging -160 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/13
3,033 pips lost, 3 trades affected, 12 parts involved (7 parts gain, 5 parts lose), averaging -253 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/20
620 pips gained, 3 trades affected, 6 parts involved (4 parts gain, 2 parts lose), averaging +103 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 12/27
2,097 pips lost, 4 trades affected, 11 parts involved (5 parts gain, 6 parts lose), averaging -190 pips per each of all parts

All of these trades, all of the trade parts thereof, were posted real-time right here on the Sonic R. System thread, using crystal clear easy to understand charts and explanations regarding PVSRA reasons for entries, whether Classic or Scout trades.

Summary Week Thirty Nine
15,317 pips banked.
23,452 pips current draw down (net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
8,135 pips net loss (pips banked plus net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
208 pips weekly average net loss (weekly average net loss if all open PVSRA trades instantly closed).

Summary Remarks
End-of-week large price swings closed four parts of the two remaining older PVSRA trades at a loss and increased the draw down of currently open trades.


-tah
  • #63,593
  • Edited 3:57pm Dec 29, 2013 3:45pm | Edited 3:57pm
Happy Holidays All,

Quick question; TAH posted a chart on April 22, 2012 (attached) that shows the pivots to the far right of his chart away from price and the Dragon. I am taking a look at the Sonic R. System and would appreciate info explaining how to set the chart up in this manner.

I've been reading through the thread about 80% with PDF's, charts and posts.... WOW! I have never seen a thread with such detailed explanations and excellent chart postings.

My current chart also at bottom.

Regards,
Cigarguy
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Keep It Simple
  • #63,594
  • Dec 29, 2013 4:21pm Dec 29, 2013 4:21pm
Quoting cigarguy
Happy Holidays All, Quick question; TAH posted a chart on April 22, 2012 (attached) that shows the pivots to the far right of his chart away from price and the Dragon. I am taking a look at the Sonic R. System and would appreciate info explaining how to set the chart up in this manner. I've been reading through the thread about 80% with PDF's, charts and posts.... WOW! I have never seen a thread with such detailed explanations and excellent chart postings. My current chart also at bottom. Regards, Cigarguy {image} {image}
Those "Scale" settings are chart zoom dependent necessitating extra coding and (frankly) were not as well used as the other options, and so were dropped. The "Session" settings were and are the most popular because it makes it easier to visualize everything.
  • #63,595
  • Dec 29, 2013 4:24pm Dec 29, 2013 4:24pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} Those "Scale" settings are chart zoom dependent necessitating extra coding and (frankly) were not as well used as the other options, and so were dropped.
Thank You for the immediate reply.

Regards,
Cigarguy
Keep It Simple
  • #63,596
  • Dec 29, 2013 6:18pm Dec 29, 2013 6:18pm
hello guys where can i download this indicator?
counts pips
thanks and happy new year
no answer?
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  • #63,597
  • Edited 7:02pm Dec 29, 2013 6:48pm | Edited 7:02pm
Quoting Kasley
hello guys where can i download this indicator? counts pips thanks and happy new year no answer? {image}
Not yet released.
  • #63,598
  • Edited 7:53pm Dec 29, 2013 7:13pm | Edited 7:53pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} NU Long Trade Update: Added long #5, Classic. Price just based at whole number.....for the third time. TP is tentative. I think this pair is going higher than this TP, but on the other hand I might close lower if not reached before the day is out. Next week will provide new opportunities. {image}
NU Long Trade Update:

Added longs #6-11, all Scouts except one, mostly when price was knocked down to various lows with incoming higher volumes, such as this current add, long #11 (M15 PVSRA situation indicates bulls).
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Edit: Added long #12, Scout, as MMs whisked the price lower (below 1/4 SR) with increasing activity.
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  • #63,599
  • Dec 29, 2013 8:25pm Dec 29, 2013 8:25pm
TAH, any hard stops on those NU longs?

Regards,
Cigarguy
Keep It Simple
  • #63,600
  • Dec 30, 2013 4:14am Dec 30, 2013 4:14am
Quoting loeil
GJ - short. {image}

Sent My scout short .. too..

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Would like to see 172.8x first...

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Sonic
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