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  • #865,641
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:23am Dec 24, 2013 12:23am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} What is the probability of me regaining my account? if it goes to -99%, can come back to 0%, or even +99% .................. does this fall under probability study? If not, where it falls?
Of course you can regain your account.The probability is relate to your win rate and money management.and I know you do well.
For the -99.99%,I think you did something wrong about the related things I said, but you will do better from now on.so you will regain your account.
And we all need luck,surely.

Cai
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #865,642
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:23am Dec 24, 2013 12:23am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} since when? who set this rule? who follows this rule? Inquiring minds want to know........ There are many ways to skin a cat....

Based upon books I read on Technical analyses.
There is no rule since I feel its up to a person however if one is trading PA and trading specifically on close candles 30min-monthly then its logical to reflect TL on close price.
Sorry if my post threw anyone off the chair.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #865,643
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:25am Dec 24, 2013 12:25am
Quoting milam
{quote} Why are you so convinced on the way down my friend… Myself I do not mind which way she goes….

No longer short and I prefer it goes higher to be honest. I am pretty convinced the next big move is down though, yes.


It's fundamental + technical.
  • #865,644
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:29am Dec 24, 2013 12:29am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} No longer short and I prefer it goes higher to be honest. I am pretty convinced the next big move is down though, yes. It's fundamental + technical.
I see...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #865,645
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:30am Dec 24, 2013 12:30am
Quoting Davit
{quote} Based upon books I read on Technical analyses. There is no rule since I feel its up to a person however if one is trading PA and trading specifically on close candles 30min-monthly then its logical to reflect TL on close price. Sorry if my post threw anyone off the chair.
actually I think trendlines should draw through the tip of wicks, because most often there are large trading volume on the wicks. According to my experience, trendlines drawn on tick charts fit better to the tip of wicks than time charts.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,646
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:33am Dec 24, 2013 12:33am
Quoting geniusztc
{quote} Of course you can regain your account.The probability is relate to your win rate and money management.and I know you do well. For the -99.99%,I think you did something wrong about the related things I said, but you will do better from now on.so you will regain your account. And we all need luck,surely. Cai
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GongXiFaCai.jpg Size: 297 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,647
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:34am Dec 24, 2013 12:34am
Quoting milam
{quote} The image is more than an idea. It is a vortex or cluster of fused ideas and is endowed with energy. Ezra Pound. {image}

  • #865,648
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:35am Dec 24, 2013 12:35am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Skinning a cat is serious violation of human rights in America.

  • #865,649
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:35am Dec 24, 2013 12:35am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} {image}
thank you(xie xie),Buddy.

good luck to you ,too.
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #865,650
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:37am Dec 24, 2013 12:37am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} actually I think trendlines should draw through the tip of wicks, because most often there are large trading volume on the wicks. According to my experience, trendlines drawn on tick charts fit better to the tip of wicks than time charts.

exactly my observation
  • #865,651
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:37am Dec 24, 2013 12:37am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} actually I think trendlines should draw through the tip of wicks, because most often there are large trading volume on the wicks. According to my experience, trendlines drawn on tick charts fit better to the tip of wicks than time charts.

I realize trading is an artform and I'll say whatever works but please for the sake of discussion look at this chart.
Orange boxes are extreme spikes that most likely was a result of news however close price is much different (50pips difference on larger spike)hence reflect a "solid foundation"
I would not base my trading decisions on spikes.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #865,652
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:43am Dec 24, 2013 12:43am
Quoting geniusztc
{quote} Of course you can regain your account.The probability is relate to your win rate and money management.and I know you do well. For the -99.99%,I think you did something wrong about the related things I said, but you will do better from now on.so you will regain your account. And we all need luck,surely. Cai
If it goes to 1.4444, I will regain enough to re-gain all in few months.................
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #865,653
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:50am Dec 24, 2013 12:50am
Quoting infinitus
{quote}
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #865,654
  • Dec 24, 2013 12:51am Dec 24, 2013 12:51am
Hello my short term observation says to me to mee we will touch the 1.37 again this morning
and after that... who knows..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Online Prop Firms are not the solution
  • #865,655
  • Dec 24, 2013 1:05am Dec 24, 2013 1:05am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #865,656
  • Dec 24, 2013 1:14am Dec 24, 2013 1:14am
Quoting milam
{quote} Target reached.
long this time @ 63431, same TP and SL.
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #865,657
  • Dec 24, 2013 1:19am Dec 24, 2013 1:19am
Quoting Ken A
What are you going to do close the fresh shorts at the top or the left-over 10% from scalping long ? E/A has potential to go higher if A/U dips below .88. E/A Daily {image}
short a portfolio of the following and hold

  1. Euro (EUR), 25% weight
  2. British Pound sterling (GBP), 25% weight
  3. Japanese Yen (JPY), 25% weight
  4. Australian Dollar (AUD), 25% weight


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,658
  • Dec 24, 2013 1:47am Dec 24, 2013 1:47am
Quoting milam
{quote} long this time @ 63431, same TP and SL.
took 9.2 risked 5 (2%).

Made just under 4% in two trades….just luck I guess…Not trading anymore for me till Friday
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #865,659
  • Dec 24, 2013 1:49am Dec 24, 2013 1:49am
3670 will tell the story,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro_005.png Size: 16 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,660
  • Dec 24, 2013 2:46am Dec 24, 2013 2:46am
Quoting ffleo
3670 will tell the story, {image}
rat
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