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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #71,661
  • Dec 19, 2013 6:36pm Dec 19, 2013 6:36pm
citiboy is marketmover...the market move right after he posted
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  • #71,662
  • Dec 19, 2013 7:04pm Dec 19, 2013 7:04pm
Quoting Citiboy
Anyone trying the longs from the 1.3625 area? I wanted to try longs there if the bearish run took us straight down to there with out a significant retrace... which seems to have happened. Should be a good demand zone. Thoughts? That area is also 38.2% fib retrace and some trendline support {image}
it will crush 3625. it may bounce, but only up to 3655/60. Will add on bounce, not going to risk closing shorts too early.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #71,663
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:59pm Dec 19, 2013 10:59pm
For those already short, or looking to start building a position... Whats your level to start selling? Here is my hourly.

Looks like 1.3690-1.3720 is the zone for medium term shorts, price seems to be holding above that 1.3625-1.3600 area for now... would be nice if we bounce higher so I can get in

Also anyone have other high conviction trades that aren't direct play on tapering/USD strength? Any relative value stuff? EURCHF testing 1.2280 looks interesting if the trend down can continue after testing that level. Just making sure I have not missed any possible set ups elsewhere.
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Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #71,664
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:30pm Dec 19, 2013 11:30pm
woked up, closed my shorts manually as for me the 60min TF looks pretty much as a falling wedge, Price is now on the ascending TL back to Nov. 7 / 21
its not that good visible because of the long candles after FOMC...

have smaller short pendings on every demandzone thats visible on the way up until 1.3730

Also one short pending @ 1.3600 not sure if it gets hit.

green pips
just do it
  • #71,665
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:37pm Dec 19, 2013 11:37pm
Quoting Citiboy
For those already short, or looking to start building a position... Whats your level to start selling? Here is my hourly. Looks like 1.3690-1.3720 is the zone for medium term shorts, price seems to be holding above that 1.3625-1.3600 area for now... would be nice if we bounce higher so I can get in Also anyone have other high conviction trades that aren't direct play on tapering/USD strength? Any relative value stuff? EURCHF testing 1.2280 looks interesting if the trend down can continue after testing that level. Just making sure I have...
ill be a player again for possible shorts in the 1.3700 area.....in the meantime still hldng sm shorts from the 1.38 area...
  • #71,666
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:56pm Dec 19, 2013 11:56pm
Quoting Citiboy
For those already short, or looking to start building a position... Whats your level to start selling? Here is my hourly. Looks like 1.3690-1.3720 is the zone for medium term shorts, price seems to be holding above that 1.3625-1.3600 area for now... would be nice if we bounce higher so I can get in Also anyone have other high conviction trades that aren't direct play on tapering/USD strength? Any relative value stuff? EURCHF testing 1.2280 looks interesting if the trend down can continue after testing that level. Just making sure...
underline: i dont understand the english meaning.

will looking for potential 5-3-5-3-5 at 38212 when 3610 hold. since third wave never the shortest..
rite now stick to 5-3-5 deep b wave
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,667
  • Dec 20, 2013 12:16am Dec 20, 2013 12:16am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} underline: i dont understand the english meaning. will looking for potential 5-3-5-3-5 at 38212 when 3610 hold. since third wave never the shortest.. rite now stick to 5-3-5 deep b wave

the buyers should buy at this level with very good reward risk ratios. i would personnally recommends the buy trades rite now
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,668
  • Dec 20, 2013 3:28am Dec 20, 2013 3:28am
I think we can say goodbye to 1,38xx or more for the next months. S&P just cut the rate of Eu to AA+.
Per aspera ad astra
  • #71,669
  • Dec 20, 2013 3:34am Dec 20, 2013 3:34am
Quoting thodie
totally agree i´m short with TP 3624 based on fibo channels {image}
switched to long small small pos size SL 1.3590 news might trigger
just do it
  • #71,670
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:20am Dec 20, 2013 4:20am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} the buyers should buy at this level with very good reward risk ratios. i would personnally recommends the buy trades rite now
very good R / R !?
where are these stops for long and TP?
  • #71,671
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:36am Dec 20, 2013 4:36am
Quoting chess king
{quote} very good R / R !? where are these stops for long and TP?

sl 3610 tp1 pivot daily 1/2 position, tp 2 pivot weekly 1/4 position tp3 pivot monthly 1/8 position tp4 pivot yearly 1/8 position
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,672
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:42am Dec 20, 2013 4:42am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} sl 3610 tp1 pivot daily 1/2 position, tp 2 pivot weekly 1/4 position tp3 pivot monthly 1/8 position tp4 pivot yearly 1/8 position
okay .. thanks you...
  • #71,673
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:44am Dec 20, 2013 4:44am
Quoting chess king
{quote} okay .. thanks you...

eh, i wanna ask.
yearly pivot counted from last 12 months from now or per yearly basis (2013)?
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,674
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:53am Dec 20, 2013 4:53am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} eh, i wanna ask. yearly pivot counted from last 12 months from now or per yearly basis (2013)?
I consider the starting point of January and end in December ... ..
I use the standart way ... HH, LL, CP
  • #71,675
  • Dec 20, 2013 4:57am Dec 20, 2013 4:57am
Quoting chess king
{quote} I consider the starting point of January and end in December ... .. I use the standart way ... HH, LL, CP

hmm, i just calculate it...seems like in wrong sequence for long trading...
both monthly pivot and yearly pivot are below...maybe need to wait weekly closing...
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,676
  • Dec 20, 2013 5:09am Dec 20, 2013 5:09am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} hmm, i just calculate it...seems like in wrong sequence for long trading... both monthly pivot and yearly pivot are below...maybe need to wait weekly closing...

  • #71,677
  • Dec 20, 2013 9:25am Dec 20, 2013 9:25am
Well it's Friday folks and it's also the last weekend before Christmas day.

So for those of you who are of Christian faith like myself, I wish you a very Merry Christmas filled with love, peace, joy and good health.

For those of you who are of non-Christian faith or of no faith at all, I wish you the happiest of year end holidays also filled with love, peace, joy and good health.

And for all of you who read this message, I wish you a very happy, healthy and wealthy 2014

Cheers
PT

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,678
  • Dec 20, 2013 9:28am Dec 20, 2013 9:28am
Quoting PipTrapper
Well it's Friday folks and it's also the last weekend before Christmas day. So for those of you who are of Christian faith like myself, I wish you a very Merry Christmas filled with love, peace, joy and good health. For those of you who are of non-Christian faith or of no faith at all, I wish you the happiest of year end holidays also filled with love, peace, joy and good health. And for all of you who read this message, I wish you a very happy, healthy and wealthy 2014 Cheers PT {image}
bold,is there still exist?

btw, trading holiday till when?
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #71,679
  • Dec 20, 2013 9:35am Dec 20, 2013 9:35am
Quoting PipTrapper
Well it's Friday folks and it's also the last weekend before Christmas day. So for those of you who are of Christian faith like myself, I wish you a very Merry Christmas filled with love, peace, joy and good health. For those of you who are of non-Christian faith or of no faith at all, I wish you the happiest of year end holidays also filled with love, peace, joy and good health. And for all of you who read this message, I wish you a very happy, healthy and wealthy 2014 Cheers PT {image}

Merry Christmas to all and happy holidays ! I'm celebrating on January 7 (orthodox christian) but that's not a problem to wish to everyone love & happiness right now. I know,we are always late (our New Year on January 13th), but what can you do .
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #71,680
  • Dec 20, 2013 9:36am Dec 20, 2013 9:36am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} bold,is there still exist? btw, trading holiday till when?
I know about 10 people who do not believe in anything but themselves and their friends/family. To me they are still people and deserve all the same respect as everyone else... including me.

Anyway, yes I am now on holidays until the new year. Trading will be very thin next week and I think that today we will get consolidation to where price wants to enter the new year. I think 2014 will be very bullish for risk assets. With today's blowout US Q3 GDP revision to 4.1% coupled with low market volume, the US Dollar should take a bit of a beating as capital flows into equities. It looks like we get a Santa Claus rally this year after all. After that, I think we see a nice correction before risk assets head to the far north. As for the Euro, that all depends on Draghi and his merry jokers, but if they do not start easing, the Euro is heading for 1.4x in January.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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