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  • #865,001
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:11am Dec 19, 2013 10:11am
Quoting BoredToLoose
Let's see if we will see 1.3600 today or tomorrow. If nothing weird will happen (Forex is not weird, LOL) we will see 1.3520 soon. But do not start open shorts like there is no tomorrow. Wait nice up moves to short and set all SL above 1.3844 (Only for medium term traders) If you have no trades open, so I advice to short now (1.3667 and set SL above 1.3688) 50% change to win TP 1.3622 all the best
Sir,

So you are calling a 50/50 here?

Awesomeness.

Regards
  • #865,002
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:13am Dec 19, 2013 10:13am
Quoting hathor
{quote} I used to be a patient guy, but one day before the end of this year for me, and now I'm not. Seems it doesn't want to go higher, but neither lower..it doesn't want to do anything. But right now I am the one, who doesn't want to do anything, so EurUsd shut the f**k up, and head down...(please)

In sometime you may see this

Note next significant support is 1.35 which is what I'll target IF it breaks 1.36480 (stop 1.37)
but anything can happen, momentum appears South

G/L
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #865,003
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:14am Dec 19, 2013 10:14am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Turkish enemy, what make you think 1.38 isn't the top?
Daily chart man, it is still up to me as long as it is above 1.3600... The down move feels like it is gaining strength to move above 1.3832, how much higher I don't know...
  • #865,004
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:17am Dec 19, 2013 10:17am
Quoting Avir
{quote} hang on i got sommin for you BRB
Sorry bro, i wast going to post a squawk recording regarding the Top on EU - i heard earlier but forgot to record

Basically Some big bank were saying that the top is in and the DT's neck line near 1.32**
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #865,005
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:20am Dec 19, 2013 10:20am
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} In sometime you may see this Note next significant support is 1.35 which is what I'll target IF it breaks 1.36480 (stop 1.37) but anything can happen, momentum appears South G/L {image}

thanks the support, I need it cause I'm tired... I am with you till 1.36, because I want only the meat, and let the bones for the rest
but if it's falls like a rock, I'm with you till 1.35

good time killing with strategy (luck is what I don't want to depend to )
f(z)=z2+c
  • #865,006
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:20am Dec 19, 2013 10:20am
Quoting hathor
look like we have a bear without balls
in a tick chart it can be seen clearer that it is consolidating as a bear flag, for potential shooting down to 3600.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro_080.png Size: 44 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,007
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:30am Dec 19, 2013 10:30am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Daily chart man, it is still up to me as long as it is above 1.3600... The down move feels like it is gaining strength to move above 1.3832, how much higher I don't know...
There was alarming sings of an over bought positioning near 1.38 according to CFTC - i really thought it might push a 100 pips through and go for the kill 1.40 .. But it was too late & sentiment shifted fast to adjust with tapering news. There is still a chance though of the thing happening between January & Feburary 2014 - but its too late now.

Don't be a party spoiler & let the bears have their days ...

* Needles to say, i can't think of one bloody reason for someone to buy the Euro now in a long positioning.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #865,008
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:32am Dec 19, 2013 10:32am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} There was alarming sings of an over bought positioning near 1.38 according to CFTC - i really thought it might push a 100 pips through and go for the kill 1.40 .. But it was too late & sentiment shifted fast to adjust with tapering news. There is still a chance though of the thing happening between January & Feburary 2014 - but its too late now. Don't be a party spoiler & let the bears have their days ... * Needles to say, i can't think of one bloody reason for someone to buy the Euro now in a long positioning.

OK OK, I zip it... Have a good one mate...!
  • #865,009
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:32am Dec 19, 2013 10:32am
5m
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Pecuniae obediunt omnia
  • #865,010
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:34am Dec 19, 2013 10:34am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} There was alarming sings of an over bought positioning near 1.38 according to CFTC - i really thought it might push a 100 pips through and go for the kill 1.40 .. But it was too late & sentiment shifted fast to adjust with tapering news. There is still a chance though of the thing happening between January & Feburary 2014 - but its too late now. Don't be a party spoiler & let the bears have their days ... * Needles to say, i can't think of one bloody reason for someone to buy the Euro now in a long positioning.
I'm doing that. You are obviously short biased. Long term - you may be correct. Short term - it all goes.

Regards
  • #865,011
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:42am Dec 19, 2013 10:42am
Quoting TauTrader
{quote} I'm doing that. You are obviously short biased. Long term - you may be correct. Short term - it all goes. Regards
I can't think of any good reason would tell me: Hold the Euro for the next month of two ...

BTW: The short term view is more dangerous on Euro Long positioning then the longer term. If the Flash CPI print under 0.7 as monthly fluctuation & markets will sell for 500 pips plunge. Also, Short term EONIA & LIBOR are out of Sync lately with the current Euro Appreciation.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #865,012
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:47am Dec 19, 2013 10:47am
this is a price pattern formed of fractals, the pattern in circles 1, 2 and 3 look similar. anyone have an idea where the price is heading to?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #865,013
  • Dec 19, 2013 10:57am Dec 19, 2013 10:57am
FX RAT BACK AND REPORTING FOR DUTY

The swing shorts from the 138 regions from the past few days in my other account
I've cashed in for some nice profits. All the experts across the interweb that
know far more than me see this is off down towards the 135 some 131.
Now I've opened longs here with the stops at 13635

FX RAT has a hunch this is off to 140-142-145 in the coming months.
If this fails around here during this consolidation faze and breaks through
13630 it will probably rest at 13590 for a quick 40 points.

keep your eyes peeled and bets affordable.

Ciao
rat
  • #865,014
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:03am Dec 19, 2013 11:03am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I can't think of any good reason would tell me: Hold the Euro for the next month of two ... BTW: The short term view is more dangerous on Euro Long positioning then the longer term. If the Flash CPI print under 0.7 as monthly fluctuation & markets will sell for 500 pips plunge. Also, Short term EONIA & LIBOR are out of Sync lately with the current Euro Appreciation.
Sir,

What you are saying means absolutely nothing to me. Really. It does not.

I scalp the sh*t out of the short term movements. Trust me - I'll be short with you also.

As said, I'm stupid. Just trading what I see.

No one indicated holding the Euro. Just chipping away at it as it presents itself.

I'm currently attempting a gain to the long side. What is wrong with that? Short term view is more profitable.

Whatever
  • #865,015
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:08am Dec 19, 2013 11:08am
Quoting TauTrader
{quote} Sir, What you are saying means absolutely nothing to me. Really. It does not. I scalp the sh*t out of the short term movements. Trust me - I'll be short with you also. As said, I'm stupid. Just trading what I see. No one indicated holding the Euro. Just chipping away at it as it presents itself. I'm currently attempting a gain to the long side. What is wrong with that? Short term view is more profitable. Whatever
I was talking about " Euro long positioning " not scalping in my original post u replied to.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #865,016
  • Edited 12:07pm Dec 19, 2013 11:26am | Edited 12:07pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I can bet you lots of people are inside 1.3750/1.3800 area looking for their precious 1.4000 before year end. Hope for them we'll go there, else bye bye
Quoting ffleo
{quote} Today is December 19th. How many days left for the dream of 1400? bye bye 1400.
...good stuff guys and with forex anything can happen... -)
But anyway, i do longs and shorts daily and my up trend is still intact, so if it's right the 1.4 will come exactly with 2014 ! ...so let's see !? ..and went you have a trend it dosen't mean you trade only in one direction... -)


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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OTHERWISE, IF NOT GOING UP IT CAN GO DOWN LIKE THIS !?
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  • #865,017
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:29am Dec 19, 2013 11:29am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Shite! For a moment I tought it was Ken A talking to me Scared the shite out of me mate. All good mate, taking it easy and slow as could be expected these days. I just don't think 1.3832 is the top, still playing on the bull side but am careful as well... Have to be. In between, I know you like exotic pairs: Stay away from USDTRY, massive political unrest and no one knows what is going to happen. Billion dollars worth of fraud & corruption by ministers' and their relatives. Stay safe mate...!
Sorry about that, he provided me with the avatar months ago and now he also uses it from time to time. Also taking is easy (reduced exposure -both capital & time- as christmas time approaching). My TRY affaire is been reduced to the mínimum, from a macro view I don't expect any + changes until mid 2014 elections. Just keeping a very small position from Q3 highs (well below 3% of my portfolio) with 1 yr. + time horizon (a matter of interest rate / risk and political expectations)and decently hedged (hedged, not neutralised). Thanks for the advice, can't agree more.
PS: Couple of weeks ago I enjoyed a bottle of chablis with some friends guess who came to my mind.
  • #865,018
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:45am Dec 19, 2013 11:45am
Good day.

Force-feeding is also known as gavage, from a French word meaning "to gorge". This term specifically refers to force-feeding of ducks or geese ( or EU) in order to fatten their livers or drop the price in the production of foie gras and stop hunts.. In modern Egypt, the practice of fattening geese and male Muscovy ducks ( and the EU currency) by force-feeding them a short position whilst aiming a last leg long - was deeply discussed in the last Fed meeting. It is not widespread on commercial farms or retail platforms however. The term used for such a practice is called "Tazgheet" تزغيط from the verb "Zaghghat" زغَط. Meaning you are f*cked - in common English.Force-feeding of birds and some currency pairs is practiced mostly on geese or male Moulard ducks, a Muscovy/Pekin hybrid - and then the EU pair.

Wikipedia.

Go figure..

Regards
  • #865,019
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:46am Dec 19, 2013 11:46am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} Today is December 19th. How many days left for the dream of 1400? bye bye 1400.
A 400 pips rally within 10 days ? Everything's possible, but i doubt it indeed.

I'll stick to the downside play, but 1,3700/10 is a possible short if it goes there, otherwise down to 1,358x/9x and 1,354x/5x quickly after it.

What i wonder is "will there be a bounce at 1,362x for 1,3700 ? Time will tell is all i can say!
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #865,020
  • Dec 19, 2013 11:53am Dec 19, 2013 11:53am
Quite likely we'll have our final break down to 56/54 followed by a long-arse consolidation the next two weeks before any further 'real' moves.

we'll see.
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