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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #71,561
  • Dec 14, 2013 10:03am Dec 14, 2013 10:03am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} yesterday flu struck me down - sent the nurses in Winter is the best time for climbing, because I love ice climbing most So now is the time for sharping the ice axes and the crampons
I remember thoughs days...............

Don't forget the petons and carabiners also...............

It is always good to take a Nurse with you climbing also.................hehehe
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #71,562
  • Dec 14, 2013 4:34pm Dec 14, 2013 4:34pm
daily chart..
I'll try to play this triangle..
thinking we have top..
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  • #71,563
  • Dec 14, 2013 5:53pm Dec 14, 2013 5:53pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Somebody believes in doomsday for equities. Nothing like putting one's money where one's mouth is. VIX Trader Buys $5.1 Million in Calls to Bet on 50% Increase http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-1...-50-rally.html
I'd be selling the front week otm call strikes against those all the way past April Fool's....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #71,564
  • Dec 15, 2013 4:39am Dec 15, 2013 4:39am
Welcome back to the eurozone nightmare
Talk of eurozone turmoil may have been temporarily stilled by a fanfare over 'solidarity’, but the monetary union remains as flawed as ever

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/c...nightmare.html
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,565
  • Edited 5:39am Dec 15, 2013 5:28am | Edited 5:39am
A case of the weekly Fibs... Draw your own conclusions.
Can you tell I was bored this morning?

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,566
  • Dec 15, 2013 7:36am Dec 15, 2013 7:36am
candles exhaust themselves to give light to men
  • #71,567
  • Dec 15, 2013 10:24am Dec 15, 2013 10:24am
Quoting PipTrapper
A case of the weekly Fibs... Draw your own conclusions. Can you tell I was bored this morning? {image}
Hi PT,

I tasted some juices of mother earth this weekend and come up with a few thoughts regarding taper/no-taper and its impact on further developments on majors:
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  • #71,568
  • Dec 15, 2013 11:56am Dec 15, 2013 11:56am
and if the USD/CHF` penetration of the 0.8900 is not a joke,then we should brace up for a run up to 1.40 in the EUR/USD, I think so bcos since the May 2010 high to the SNB intervention low in July 2011,we have seen that the 62% fib retracement of this move(USD/CHF) in July 2012 has only been followed by consistent and successive lower highs and lower lows, particularly in the period ranging from 22nd May 2013 till date...and maybe into the near future. we all know that EUR/USD and USD/CHF "mostly" maintain a negative correlation. And I have not forgotten how the USD/CHF violated a bullflag that held up for a month or so. Neither does it escape my memory that EUR/USD has defied all the fountain of green data pouring out from the US to not only climb up but manage to stay up in spite of all the apparent dovishness of the ECB. Either the majority of the euro buyers are privy to what is beyond us or to be fair(what eluded us), or they have strapped to their backs a ticking time bomb.
  • #71,569
  • Dec 15, 2013 2:20pm Dec 15, 2013 2:20pm
Quoting Likerty
{quote} Hi PT, I tasted some juices of mother earth this weekend and come up with a few thoughts regarding taper/no-taper and its impact on further developments on majors: {image}
Very good write up indeed.
You should start a thread.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,570
  • Dec 15, 2013 2:29pm Dec 15, 2013 2:29pm
Quoting Hotkqash
and if the USD/CHF` penetration of the 0.8900 is not a joke,then we should brace up for a run up to 1.40 in the EUR/USD, I think so bcos since the May 2010 high to the SNB intervention low in July 2011,we have seen that the 62% fib retracement of this move(USD/CHF) in July 2012 has only been followed by consistent and successive lower highs and lower lows, particularly in the period ranging from 22nd May 2013 till date...and maybe into the near future. we all know that EUR/USD and USD/CHF "mostly" maintain a negative correlation. And I have not...
It's quite simple really.

Ignore for a moment, growth, unemployment and inflation.
Focus instead on this...

Fed keeps printing
BOJ keeps printing
ECB keeps talking.

Now, where would you put your money?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,571
  • Edited 3:44pm Dec 15, 2013 3:14pm | Edited 3:44pm
wow, unfortunately i haven´t found that tread earliery.
great postings! will look more often in here! Subscribed!

To bring some input here
http://pigbonds.info/
overview euro and non euro bonds rates
just do it
  • #71,572
  • Dec 15, 2013 4:06pm Dec 15, 2013 4:06pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} It's quite simple really. Ignore for a moment, growth, unemployment and inflation. Focus instead on this... Fed keeps printing BOJ keeps printing ECB keeps talking. Now, where would you put your money?
that will mean to play along...which is to turn a blind eye and buy the euro(not a very easy task for me,considering all talk but no walking-the-talk in the euro zone,or ECB so to say)
  • #71,573
  • Dec 15, 2013 4:16pm Dec 15, 2013 4:16pm
Quoting Hotkqash
{quote} that will mean to play along...which is to turn a blind eye and buy the euro(not a very easy task for me,considering all talk but no walking-the-talk in the euro zone,or ECB so to say)
When I wrote "Where would you put your money?", I didn't mean you as a retail trader playing with your own cash. I meant you as a greedy pig in your never ending hunt for yield so that you can make a profit for your clients (with their money) and keep your job as a Wall Street trader... and make a better commission for yourself to buy all those expensive designer clothes/shoes/jewellery/perfumes/sunglasses your wife/girlfriend/f**kbuddy wants.

We retail traders have to see what these pigs want to do and try to not be outsmarted by them... ride their coat tails and pick up as many breadcrumbs as we can along the way... maybe even a whole slice once in a while.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,574
  • Dec 15, 2013 4:19pm Dec 15, 2013 4:19pm
Quoting thodie
wow, unfortunately i haven´t found that tread earliery. great postings! will look more often in here! Subscribed! To bring some input here http://pigbonds.info/ overview euro and non euro bonds rates
Hi thodie. Welcome aboard. Look forward to seeing some posts from you.
Thanks for the "Pig bond" link. Nice and organized all in one place.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,575
  • Dec 15, 2013 4:27pm Dec 15, 2013 4:27pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} When I wrote "Where would you put your money?", I didn't mean you as a retail trader playing with your own cash. I meant you as a greedy pig in your never ending hunt for yield so that you can make a profit for your clients (with their money) and keep your job as a Wall Street trader... and make a better commission for yourself to buy all those expensive designer clothes/shoes/jewellery/perfumes/sunglasses your wife/girlfriend/f**kbuddy wants. We retail traders have to see what these pigs want to do and try to not be outsmarted by them......
yeah bro,ya on point...itz imperative to look beyond the surface lest they prey on us
  • #71,576
  • Dec 15, 2013 5:11pm Dec 15, 2013 5:11pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Hi thodie. Welcome aboard. Look forward to seeing some posts from you. Thanks for the "Pig bond" link. Nice and organized all in one place.
thank you, my last view on €/$ was this one and it is still valid for me
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just do it
  • #71,577
  • Dec 15, 2013 5:26pm Dec 15, 2013 5:26pm
Quoting thodie
{quote} thank you, my last view on €/$ was this one and it is still valid for me {image}
Interesting. Similar thoughts here...

E/U Daily Chart

For the upside, my final target is the 161.8% fibo extension of the A wave (1.3859)
However 141% extension (1.3800) has held price so far so we may already have a top even though it may also be retested.

On the downside I have significant support/demand zone starting at 1.3666 as long as today's 1.3710 support gives way.
Below there I have two more support levels of 1.3605 and the final one at 1.3520.

If 1.3520 fails to hold price and then provides strong resistance, it confirms that I have a top at 1.3800 and downside pressure should accelerate.

However, the most likely scenario right now is that 1.3666 will hold along with rising trendline for a continuation to the 161.8 FE at 1.3859 before a deeper correction to 1.3520 and then followed by a new rally to 1.4x

We watch and see from here and things can change overnight.


E/U Daily
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #71,578
  • Dec 15, 2013 5:48pm Dec 15, 2013 5:48pm
very similar indeed, my TP is 1.3682

and i agree, possible that the top is in for a while - look how priceaction and candlepatterns has turned since we hit 1.3810
remarkable in my opinion easy going and smoth upwards, and now with pressure down, price behavior like day and night, so probably a
change in trend.
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just do it
  • #71,579
  • Dec 15, 2013 6:01pm Dec 15, 2013 6:01pm
Though I'm still short half...

The only position I will be in is flat before FOMC

Gotta be smart.

  • #71,580
  • Dec 15, 2013 6:34pm Dec 15, 2013 6:34pm
Quoting Orientxpress
Though I'm still short half... The only position I will be in is flat before FOMC Gotta be smart.
Smart is getting in position well before FOMC and seeing if you get lucky.
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