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  • #862,301
  • Dec 10, 2013 7:59am Dec 10, 2013 7:59am
EU shot up.. cool..
  • #862,302
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:02am Dec 10, 2013 8:02am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} but from probability point of view we might see another pop up in the 3780-3790 region. So if one wants to trade that now (I mean short right now), I would adapt my money management to the above mentioned levels
I wouldn't mind copying you saying to look out for the same region.
  • #862,303
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:06am Dec 10, 2013 8:06am
Quoting hoom
{quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {image}
This is a business, and if you are going to succeed at it, you must be serious and stay focused. It's fun to joke, but you do it all the time, we can't tell if you are the little boy that cries wolf.....................You will not get any more replies from me.....................the teacher is out...........
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #862,304
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:08am Dec 10, 2013 8:08am
Quoting swing 123
{quote} you have done lot of studies on this, may I ask how profitable are you using EW?

simply put:

a) do never relay on a single method (if you do, the most important thing is your MM)

b) use EW as a map, to get an idea for direction and possible targets

c) look for confirmation with other methods (S/R, volume analysis, momentum, sentiment (if available)) or vice versa


I have made very good money on early EW calls, like the one with UJ at the very bottom. I have lost good money by trading EW based in complex corrections.

Many Elliotticans gain money in clear impulses, but lose it in corrective phases.

Sometimes it is hard to stay objective when you have build an long term EW count. It is hard to not be biased toward your (main) count.


When you know my threads, you know that EW is only one part of my story
  • #862,305
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:08am Dec 10, 2013 8:08am
Quoting jackychan167
EU shot up.. cool..
sell stops triggered in usd/chf. that is behind the move. nothing logical
  • #862,306
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:08am Dec 10, 2013 8:08am
Quoting TauTrader
{quote} Outch.
Good day Sir T.. nice trading lately..
best..
  • #862,307
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:08am Dec 10, 2013 8:08am
of course after 61.8 break zigzag elongated should retrace till...
from 3625, u put 3720 it will hit
even after u see clear break 3662 it invalidate something and clear break 200 extention
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,308
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:14am Dec 10, 2013 8:14am
infinitus I know you since long time and i admit excellent work by you, but your long replies give me headache
  • #862,309
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:14am Dec 10, 2013 8:14am
expecting euro to fall to 1.37 pretty fast if 1.3780 is not breached
  • #862,310
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:14am Dec 10, 2013 8:14am
Does anyone have the price goes against you the moment you make a trade? I have seen in nearly 90% of my trades, the price will take the opposite side and then either I will book a loss or wait for price to come to book profit (small ones) Mostly the potential loss will linger for a long time.

Am I alone? Or is my trading method wrong.
  • #862,311
  • Edited 8:31am Dec 10, 2013 8:17am | Edited 8:31am
Quoting LarryDarrell
Man, sorry to hear that. Didn't you just switch brokers?
Well I switched on Summer (because I wanted cash to be insured) and since I am looking for a month that I have chosen wrong, planned to leave this idiot after we finish correction we didnt have...
edit: And thx for concerns man.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #862,312
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:21am Dec 10, 2013 8:21am
Quoting swing 123
infinitus I know you since long time and i admit excellent work by you, but your long replies give me headache

that is, because you are reading to often here in the Mickey Mouse thread
  • #862,313
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:23am Dec 10, 2013 8:23am
Well, theres two things possibly happening here...


1. The market 'thinks' tapering is already priced in

2. The market thinks tapering isnt occuring any time soon. (After January)

Both are probably incorrect, but this "who cares about the taper" price action has persisted for a couple of days now since the NFP. Its ironic how markets convince them selves they are right, months ago the taper was for sure in September... now its 'for sure' not going to happen until March... and even if it happens sooner its 'already priced in". Both cases seems hard to believe given where interest rates are trading at the moment.

Im not suicidal so Im not shorting the EUR anymore since the NFP move, best trades are probably sticking to whats going in the USDs favor. Buying USDCAD near 1.06, Selling AUD at 0.9150 or .9200 and buying U/J but I'd wait for U/J to drop near 102 before loading more longs.

If anything EUR bears should be rejoicing in that the pair is going higher, giving better levels to sell from and more of a fundamental case for increased ECB easing. Technically I think 1.39 is a good area to start the shorts, big multi year downtrendline comes in around that area.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #862,314
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:24am Dec 10, 2013 8:24am
Quoting giveachance
expecting euro to fall to 1.37 pretty fast if 1.3780 is not breached

3785 3815 3850 1.6 pick one
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #862,315
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:26am Dec 10, 2013 8:26am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} 3785 3815 3850 1.6 pick one
yeah.
  • #862,316
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:26am Dec 10, 2013 8:26am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} 3785 3815 3850 1.6 pick one
none. i am expecting 1.37
  • #862,317
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:29am Dec 10, 2013 8:29am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} none. i am expecting 1.37

1.3580 if we can stay below the 1.378x
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #862,318
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:30am Dec 10, 2013 8:30am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} that is, because you are reading to often here in the Mickey Mouse thread
true a thread where trading live/demo is done mostly based on feelings, thinkings and believes not seeing but im very serious putting you on ignore list due to these headaches
  • #862,319
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:36am Dec 10, 2013 8:36am
Quoting swing 123
{quote} true a thread where trading live/demo is done mostly based on feelings, thinkings and believes not seeing but im very serious putting you on ignore list due to these headaches
Oh no, infin

This will screw up your life!

Repent! Quickly!
  • #862,320
  • Dec 10, 2013 8:39am Dec 10, 2013 8:39am
Quoting davidsayli
EUR/USD WEEKLY CHART It touched the trend-line a few minutes ago. Big bears can take the control for 1.2750-1.3115 area. {image}
What is your Entry and what is your SL?

Thanx
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