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AUD/USD

  • #70,401
  • Dec 8, 2013 8:54pm Dec 8, 2013 8:54pm
Morning All,

Its very quite around here today?

Cheers

Markup
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #70,402
  • Dec 9, 2013 2:10am Dec 9, 2013 2:10am
Quoting Mark up
Morning All, Its very quite around here today? Cheers Markup
Even markets looks so dull today. Expecting some movement during NY session
  • #70,403
  • Dec 9, 2013 12:44pm Dec 9, 2013 12:44pm
Quoting robertrfx
{quote} Even markets looks so dull today. Expecting some movement during NY session
Quoting Mark up
Morning All, Its very quite around here today? Cheers Markup
It has been slow. No surprise though. We might not get good action until Wednesday.
  • #70,404
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:09pm Dec 9, 2013 8:09pm
I'm not biased on direction: Buy stop @ .92, Sell stop @.8965
  • #70,405
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:27pm Dec 9, 2013 8:27pm
I am short here. .9108
  • #70,406
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:40pm Dec 9, 2013 8:40pm
Remember now, analysts say Australia is growing..
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #70,407
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:48pm Dec 9, 2013 8:48pm
Quoting Pip Anon
Remember now, analysts say Australia is growing..
  • #70,408
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:48pm Dec 9, 2013 8:48pm
Quoting tony95
I am short here. .9108

I'm out
  • #70,409
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:51pm Dec 9, 2013 8:51pm
Going to try a short here. Trend is down on daily and setup is nice on small charts (see attached chart).

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdm5.png Size: 34 KB
  • #70,410
  • Dec 9, 2013 9:17pm Dec 9, 2013 9:17pm
Quoting Pip Anon
Remember now, analysts say Australia is growing..
who said australia is growing. first take his degree back from him. look at their home sales number today. horrible. GDP is horrible. Unemployment is higher in relative terms compared to US.
  • #70,411
  • Dec 9, 2013 9:51pm Dec 9, 2013 9:51pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Going to try a short here. Trend is down on daily and setup is nice on small charts (see attached chart). {image}
Good luck, I was stopped by half a pip and don't want to double down. Nothing but noise up in here, but I do see the larger trend is down. Could be a big one for you
  • #70,412
  • Dec 9, 2013 9:53pm Dec 9, 2013 9:53pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} who said australia is growing. first take his degree back from him. look at their home sales number today. horrible. GDP is horrible. Unemployment is higher in relative terms compared to US.
All of them do because they associate China with Australia. Growth by association. Economists are horrible. Even some posters here have tried to argue they are when the best thing they have is the bubble they call the housing market.

It's a joke. It is the reason it fell from 1.0597 and the reason it won't see those levels for a long, long, long, long time
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #70,413
  • Dec 9, 2013 9:58pm Dec 9, 2013 9:58pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} All of them do because they associate China with Australia. Growth by association. Economists are horrible. Even some posters here have tried to argue they are when the best thing they have is the bubble they call the housing market. It's a joke. It is the reason it fell from 1.0597 and the reason it won't see those levels for a long, long, long, long time
I don't see it reaching 0.9200 also for this year. it may still make a new low. if chinese data is horrible it may fall hard
  • #70,414
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:01pm Dec 9, 2013 10:01pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} All of them do because they associate China with Australia. Growth by association. Economists are horrible. Even some posters here have tried to argue they are when the best thing they have is the bubble they call the housing market. It's a joke. It is the reason it fell from 1.0597 and the reason it won't see those levels for a long, long, long, long time

The major mining companies are cutting investment, investment in new ventures is down. The car industry is in an mess. All leads to more unemployment.
We are an export driven economy, not good in the short term.
But who knows, after the drop down and then race back up on Friday anything is possible.

cheers

Markup
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #70,415
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:38pm Dec 9, 2013 10:38pm
Quoting Mark up
{quote} The major mining companies are cutting investment, investment in new ventures is down. The car industry is in an mess. All leads to more unemployment. We are an export driven economy, not good in the short term. But who knows, after the drop down and then race back up on Friday anything is possible. cheers Markup
I agree. The divergence in the Aussie and the economy is why I shorted at the high in April. The signs were there and they haven't improved. The sad thing is they rely so much on China, so there are two things to think about:

1) Australia cannot even growth while its largest trade partner grows, thus it's organic growth it lacks
2) China is fudging numbers again

I think more of the first with a little of the latter.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #70,416
  • Dec 9, 2013 11:13pm Dec 9, 2013 11:13pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I agree. The divergence in the Aussie and the economy is why I shorted at the high in April. The signs were there and they haven't improved. The sad thing is they rely so much on China, so there are two things to think about: 1) Australia cannot even growth while its largest trade partner grows, thus it's organic growth it lacks 2) China is fudging numbers again I think more of the first with a little of the latter.
I agree 100%
With the way AU contorts the unemployment numbers, Its a tall ask to think an immigrant lead resurgence will save us.
Make sure that the light at the end of the tunnel is not an on coming train
  • #70,417
  • Dec 9, 2013 11:25pm Dec 9, 2013 11:25pm
Quoting Mark up
{quote} I agree 100% With the way AU contorts the unemployment numbers, Its a tall ask to think an immigrant lead resurgence will save us.
Well I think the growth should have been spread around while the growth boom was undergone. Benefit from the mining investment and spread the proceeds, then again no one thinks of bad stuff until bad stuff happens
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #70,418
  • Dec 9, 2013 11:30pm Dec 9, 2013 11:30pm
AUD/USD couldnt brake 0.9100 level, so I am bullish for next 2 weeks

open buy position at 0.9104 now

good luck, will update results after 2 weeks
  • #70,419
  • Dec 10, 2013 5:02am Dec 10, 2013 5:02am
With the multiple support touch, a reversal seems likely possible to the upside. Convincing chart patterns above 0.9150 could provide excellent opportunities for some long trade setups.
Neutral at the moment.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD H4.JPG Size: 115 KB


Keeping fingers crossed here
  • #70,420
  • Dec 10, 2013 5:27am Dec 10, 2013 5:27am
Hi, all..

Long @0.9099, will add more if break 0.9165 (last week high)
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