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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #40,261
  • Dec 8, 2013 5:16pm Dec 8, 2013 5:16pm
I just closed all my xxxJpy positions for profit. The gap-up at open helped somewhat, and now I am contemplating what happens next.
Screen back to vertical.... ( @ Mima )
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #40,262
  • Dec 8, 2013 5:26pm Dec 8, 2013 5:26pm
Quoting Exodus
I just closed all my xxxJpy positions for profit. The gap-up at open helped somewhat, and now I am contemplating what happens next. Screen back to vertical.... ( @ Mima )
I think at Tokyo, and European open you'll see some strong movement to the upside.

I'm waiting for the opportunity to short eurusd.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #40,263
  • Dec 8, 2013 6:18pm Dec 8, 2013 6:18pm
Quoting Tibi991
Bikov What is your prediction about the usd/jpy?

I wasn't active at FF, so here's my (late) answer: expecting 120 in 2014, but usually I don't like to target specific numbers because nobody knows for sure what's going to happen. I don't like predictions like " tomorrow will hit 104" or "next Monday 98" etc.. It's like guessing the result of the World cup final 2014. Overall trend is bullish and until the crisis in Chinese sea exists, no worry for bulls here. Sometimes crisis and catastrophes provide very good opportunity for quick profit, sad but true.
My bullish arguments are already posted at FF (no need to repeat them) so here's my concern or the other side of the coin: reducing of the USD from the Chinese and Russian fx reserves.
Well, that's the proof that there isn't a 100% bullish/bearish scenario...but I'll be satisfied with 95%
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #40,264
  • Dec 9, 2013 1:09am Dec 9, 2013 1:09am
EUR/JPY - it is posible to go to 143,00 and then correction (maybe)
  • #40,265
  • Dec 9, 2013 1:10am Dec 9, 2013 1:10am
Quoting Jgcole83
{quote} I think at Tokyo, and European open you'll see some strong movement to the upside. I'm waiting for the opportunity to short eurusd.
I am thinking @ 7:45am GMT
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #40,266
  • Dec 9, 2013 3:43am Dec 9, 2013 3:43am
If anyone noticed Nikkei ended with +2.29%
Not bad, not bad..
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #40,267
  • Dec 9, 2013 3:56am Dec 9, 2013 3:56am
Very good size USD/JPY option expiries for the NY cut 103.00 (600m), 103.10 (500m) ,103.20 (600m) ,103.25 (800m), 103.50 (600m). There are also several hundred at 102.50, 65, 75 below
  • #40,268
  • Dec 9, 2013 4:13am Dec 9, 2013 4:13am
Next option barrier at 103.50
  • #40,269
  • Dec 9, 2013 4:15am Dec 9, 2013 4:15am
Quoting giveachance
Very good size USD/JPY option expiries for the NY cut 103.00 (600m), 103.10 (500m) ,103.20 (600m) ,103.25 (800m), 103.50 (600m). There are also several hundred at 102.50, 65, 75 below
nevertheless we still don't know if hese are buy or sell orders.
  • #40,270
  • Dec 9, 2013 4:30am Dec 9, 2013 4:30am
Plain options will attract hedging related buying below/selling above. Larger vanilla options above 103.0 will help keep the pair supported today.
  • #40,271
  • Dec 9, 2013 5:59am Dec 9, 2013 5:59am
sell high, buy low or identifing the top
not the best entry for sure.

any other outlooks for today?
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just do it
  • #40,272
  • Dec 9, 2013 7:08am Dec 9, 2013 7:08am
though price is still respecting last weeks tl, i think the ranging around the daily Resistance ( and @ the highest high of the last half of the year) proves a little about its preparation for a turn around. Waiting for a tl break, even though enuf negative divergences in diff tf are a good go ahead for me. looking @ 102.62 , then 102.26
Z
  • #40,273
  • Dec 9, 2013 8:33am Dec 9, 2013 8:33am
Last week i post USD/JPY is up trend.I also in long this pair.From the moving average in weekly chandehlistics I see it is yet up trend.
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Reduan
  • #40,274
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:33am Dec 9, 2013 10:33am
boring day for me. little movement
  • #40,275
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:43am Dec 9, 2013 10:43am
Quoting kweiss10
boring day for me. little movement
It's Monday
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #40,276
  • Dec 9, 2013 10:49am Dec 9, 2013 10:49am
Quoting bikov
{quote} It's Monday

yup, maybe tomorrow more action
  • #40,277
  • Dec 9, 2013 11:13am Dec 9, 2013 11:13am
Quoting kweiss10
{quote} nevertheless we still don't know if hese are buy or sell orders.


Its open interest (OI) – every options trade has a buyer and seller. The question you could ask, that has no possible way to verify is if the seller is naked or holding the position. This usually matters if the number (strike) is breached and/or settles ITM.
  • #40,278
  • Dec 9, 2013 12:02pm Dec 9, 2013 12:02pm
103 may have been cleared for the week. I've got a bullish 4hr candle with low 103.04. Bulls should keep this above 103.15 for the next 4 hours until daily close. Eventually 104, without going back to 103.
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #40,279
  • Edited 8:04pm Dec 9, 2013 7:01pm | Edited 8:04pm
Pretty strong rejection at 103.37, last week's high. This next hour to close up my 4hr candle is pretty important for setting short term direction.

Edit: 4hr closed unchanged. Have to give slight edge to bears for next 4 hours.
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #40,280
  • Dec 9, 2013 9:00pm Dec 9, 2013 9:00pm
Just went short. Looks like a double top.
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