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  • #856,501
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:05am Nov 26, 2013 3:05am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} PA has just touched top TL to bottom of daily channel, that is the pullback happening now imo (current 5 min pin bar would suggest bulls still in play). Now to see if a rechallenge and if any closed bars above previous high.
Pullback may not be complete.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #856,502
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:08am Nov 26, 2013 3:08am
dead cat bounce on 3083 and 2901
still valid on long term
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #856,503
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:10am Nov 26, 2013 3:10am
Quoting ud1nh0
{quote} is that inverted hns continuation pattern like everyone talked before?
Theoreticaly it's not because price came to it from below. As most TA books describe HnS - they appear on the bottom (inverse) or top (regular HnS). Though it definatelly looks like one and behaves like one as well. I wouldn't worry about the names, like I said I like to call it aggressive cup and handle.
The point here is to analize price behavior in context of fundamentals - Strong fundamentals agains EUR and even though we quickly came back to the tops. That tells us and shows strong demand and willingness to go higher. Probability is high that EURUSD will go up - but nothing is for sure on FX market. It will be confirmed once above 1.3580 and it's safer to trade retracement to it then anticipation of BO. To me it's worth the risk to enter longs before BO. If that view fails I'm gonna join shorts below 1.3490.
Price Action + KISS + PIE = Forex-Entourage
  • #856,504
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:13am Nov 26, 2013 3:13am
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} How thight? I still see 1.3590 target.. Just sharing. Hati-hati bro.
cuman 8 bro, udah di 0 kok sekarang, thx broo

3590 possible target but after 357 broken which hasn't happened, hehehe
In the end its just a stupid numbers game
  • #856,505
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:15am Nov 26, 2013 3:15am
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} How thight? I still see 1.3590 target.. Just sharing. Hati-hati bro.
sorry doesnt mean to spam, having bad connection
In the end its just a stupid numbers game
  • #856,506
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:16am Nov 26, 2013 3:16am
Quoting MaxDoom
My EU daily tf target bubbles valid as long as 1.3578 holds {image}

I have that 61.8% area as a downside target. 131.65/80 area that we shot out of to go to 138.30
  • #856,507
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:17am Nov 26, 2013 3:17am
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} How thight? I still see 1.3590 target.. Just sharing. Hati-hati bro.
Jsorry doesnt mean to spam, having bad connection
In the end its just a stupid numbers game
  • #856,508
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:17am Nov 26, 2013 3:17am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} I posted this yesterday for EU, it is still valid. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7111719 Current levels offer low risk entry (tight stop) based on this model. ie: take the 1.3578 add 10 for saftey you get a stop right about your number
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} I posted this yesterday for EU, it is still valid. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7111719 Current levels offer low risk entry (tight stop) based on this model.
Hello Max,

Been a while!

Hope your trading is going well.

My analysis is as follows: (Weekly, have not shown sub-targets for D1)

Triple Dive - following targets as given on chart - 1.315, with a retracement max R of 1.35, then 1.3000.

In terms of closer timeframes... I will post something later no doubt.

IN short, I am bearish.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD Triple Dive.PNG Size: 73 KB
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #856,509
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:18am Nov 26, 2013 3:18am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} of course you are, your website has paid memberships......
Actually not anymore. I'm sharing free stuff and those analysis are always gonna be free. Sorry some updates on the website are still coming.
My analysis are helping me to stay disciplined and I don't mind sharing them and hear any opinion.
Price Action + KISS + PIE = Forex-Entourage
  • #856,510
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:19am Nov 26, 2013 3:19am
usd pending home sale is increase that is a expectation so definately eruo will fall
  • #856,511
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:20am Nov 26, 2013 3:20am
This up is not complete until eurusd hits 1.35738. So, be careful with your sells.
  • #856,512
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:22am Nov 26, 2013 3:22am
Quoting pipsane
{quote} Theoreticaly it's not because price came to it from below. As most TA books describe HnS - they appear on the bottom (inverse) or top (regular HnS). Though it definatelly looks like one and behaves like one as well. I wouldn't worry about the names, like I said I like to call it aggressive cup and handle. The point here is to analize price behavior in context of fundamentals - Strong fundamentals agains EUR and even though we quickly came back to the tops. That tells us and shows strong demand and willingness to go higher. Probability is...
we are talking about H&S as a continuation pattern...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #856,513
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:23am Nov 26, 2013 3:23am
increase?
are y sure?
  • #856,514
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:23am Nov 26, 2013 3:23am
there is no basis for this rally. except for getting more longs to get trapped. what I am interested in seeing is where does this bs end
  • #856,515
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:25am Nov 26, 2013 3:25am
Quoting giveachance
there is no basis for this rally. except for getting more longs to get trapped. what I am interested in seeing is where does this bs end

EURUSD has never been any different
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #856,516
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:28am Nov 26, 2013 3:28am
Quoting milam
{quote} we are talking about H&S as a continuation pattern...
.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 89.png Size: 13 KB
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #856,517
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:30am Nov 26, 2013 3:30am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} I posted this yesterday for EU, it is still valid. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7111719 Current levels offer low risk entry (tight stop) based on this model. ie: take the 1.3578 add 10 for saftey you get a stop right about your number
I did not notice it earlier. Thanks Max
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #856,518
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:31am Nov 26, 2013 3:31am
Quoting pipsane
{quote} Theoreticaly it's not because price came to it from below. As most TA books describe HnS - they appear on the bottom (inverse) or top (regular HnS). Though it definatelly looks like one and behaves like one as well. I wouldn't worry about the names, like I said I like to call it aggressive cup and handle. The point here is to analize price behavior in context of fundamentals - Strong fundamentals agains EUR and even though we quickly came back to the tops. That tells us and shows strong demand and willingness to go higher. Probability is...

do you have formula to determine the minimum projection of aggressive cup n handle?
14QDuJtV7okxhBzC86FwawaR6tV5LvetLq
  • #856,519
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:31am Nov 26, 2013 3:31am
Quoting giveachance
there is no basis for this rally. except for getting more longs to get trapped. what I am interested in seeing is where does this bs end
Of course there's no basis for rally, it's just the Chinese covert their US T-bond into Euro bond, possibly an attempt to put some pressure on US gov, so the American can stay away in the tension between Chinese and Japanese, and the Europe guys can offer some support.

In this sense, the Chinese do not need a reason to buy Euro, they don't even have the time to wait for a low, they will just keep buying every dip.

This is totally political BS, and will probably continue like this.

The thing is, Euro wont go much higher either, because the Chinese wont be in a hurry to push it too high so the price is bad for them, and there's no follow up from western fundies either.

Maybe the time for euro to go down is when there's some resolution for the tension in Chinese eastern sea, by then they can stop their sell USD buy EUR trade so Euro can finally fall.
  • #856,520
  • Nov 26, 2013 3:34am Nov 26, 2013 3:34am
Quoting Darkforce
{quote} Of course there's no basis for rally, it's just the Chinese covert their US T-bond into Euro bond, possibly to put some pressure on US gov, so the American can stay away when the Chinese fight their war against the Japanese. In this sense, the Chinese do not need a reason to buy Euro, they don't even have the time to wait for a low, they will just keep buying every dip. This is totally political BS, and will probably continue like this.

to support your views I found this

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=459198
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