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  • #854,081
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:33am Nov 19, 2013 2:33am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} You again , ... Even if , the German data comes out bloody red - Euro will keep on rising. Do you think banks believe in a December taper ? Yeah right, like Feds are going to surprise the market and ruin the Christmas.
sounds like tapering is the only thing to drive the market
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #854,082
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:34am Nov 19, 2013 2:34am
Quoting BlueGas
{quote} Stubbornness at its best
this is not stubborness. confidence in your trading.
  • #854,083
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:34am Nov 19, 2013 2:34am
Quoting Vachus
Now, someone will come to scream shooting star forming on the h1 , minutes is over bought .... good, you took A+ in technical anaylsis exam, keep on buying


piiiinbaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar!!!!!!! omgeeee!!111111


bearish
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #854,084
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:39am Nov 19, 2013 2:39am
Finally the thing is happening for what I was waiting.
-milkeyway
  • #854,085
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:41am Nov 19, 2013 2:41am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} piiiinbaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaar!!!!!!! omgeeee!!111111 bearish

LOL.

The November 6 candle highs are really significant. I'm about 6 pips away from triggering my hedge trade. So closeeeee. Yesterday also made me nervous.
Pinbar ^_^
Go bears! ^_^
  • #854,086
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:42am Nov 19, 2013 2:42am
range day ?
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #854,087
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:42am Nov 19, 2013 2:42am
Quoting davidsayli
EVEYR DROPS BRING MORE BULLS. Today's target : 1.3615-1.3638 area GL

Bulls get in 1.3501 to make a spike to the 1.3615 today.

GL
  • #854,088
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:43am Nov 19, 2013 2:43am
stupid spike. loss bigtime.
  • #854,089
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:44am Nov 19, 2013 2:44am
Quoting John Gray
{quote} Why would the Euro get stronger though?
Three reasons:

1- The feds will not taper in December, its too early to wind it down. Yellen is practically on the same agenda as uncle Ben! So, if she wants to wind it down it will be as data follows. Not to mention the risk of a second governmental shut down near Feb. ( But the last thing is still far away)

2- When the ECB decided to cut rates , we were already 300 pips down - and as i quoted Goldman sachs pricing a rate cut is 500 +/- move. Not to mention that many banks were looking at 1.34 / 1.33 as apoint for buying Euros at discount.

3- The European market will not improve by just a 0.25 rate cut , if you want more- Dragni has to do more.

Don't get confuse i'm looking at EURO 1.25 at least in the next 6 months and still consider the trend reversed from the top... but markets are for what ever reason are buying. Look at the last time we were at 1.35 - there was buyers there.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #854,090
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:44am Nov 19, 2013 2:44am
Quoting John Gray
{quote} Ill buy every Aussie dip, have 1 at 0.938, not the greatest place but it's in profit..
i sell aussie on rallies. i do not worry it goes up. spx will drag it down.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #854,091
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:46am Nov 19, 2013 2:46am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Three reasons: 1- The feds will not taper in December, its too early to wind it down. Yellen is practically on the same agenda as uncle Ben! So, if she wants to wind it down it will be as data follows. Not to mention the risk of a second governmental shut down near Feb. ( But the last thing is still far away) 2- When the ECB decided to cut rates , we were already 300 pips down - and as i quoted Goldman sachs pricing a rate cut is 500 +/- move. Not to mention that many banks were looking at 1.34 / 1.33 as apoint for buying Euros at discount....
Weren't you looking at 1.2800 for Christmas ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #854,092
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:46am Nov 19, 2013 2:46am
Quoting davidsayli
{quote} Bulls get in 1.3501 to make a spike to the 1.3615 today. GL
boy your comment makes me laugh.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #854,093
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:49am Nov 19, 2013 2:49am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Three reasons: 1- The feds will not taper in December, its too early to wind it down. Yellen is practically on the same agenda as uncle Ben! So, if she wants to wind it down it will be as data follows. Not to mention the risk of a second governmental shut down near Feb. ( But the last thing is still far away) 2- When the ECB decided to cut rates , we were already 300 pips down - and as i quoted Goldman sachs pricing a rate cut is 500 +/- move. Not to mention that many banks were looking at 1.34 / 1.33 as apoint for buying Euros at discount....
have a look at gold, silver, copper, and oil. they all are going down.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #854,094
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:49am Nov 19, 2013 2:49am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Three reasons: 1- The feds will not taper in December, its too early to wind it down. Yellen is practically on the same agenda as uncle Ben! So, if she wants to wind it down it will be as data follows. Not to mention the risk of a second governmental shut down near Feb. ( But the last thing is still far away) 2- When the ECB decided to cut rates , we were already 300 pips down - and as i quoted Goldman sachs pricing a rate cut is 500 +/- move. Not to mention that many banks were looking at 1.34 / 1.33 as apoint for buying Euros at discount....

then you don't understand the markets. you did not listen to draghozi and his gang in the ecb press conference. the euro was brought down for a specific reason which is deflation and slow GDP. until that data turns ecb will go on becoming more and more dovish
  • #854,095
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:50am Nov 19, 2013 2:50am
Today will be "wiping out accounts day" or preliminary before FOMC.

It has been hard buying lately, slow and accurate timing to be successful unless one wants to keep positions exposed to sudden drops or spikes.

Now it looks like some did front run buying before ZEW whatever it's worth. Then sold it back fast not letting too much intraday buyers in yet. It will be empty air to go back up to 50 BUT it may be that there will be small spike up before ZEW which means it will be sold down through 00 to 1.3485 first.

It just depends how YEN pairs are positioned before news and of course eurgbp meaning if its at intraday high at time being, it will be pushed up getting euro shorts squeezed.

If it were about news considering GBP it would be another story.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #854,096
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:53am Nov 19, 2013 2:53am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} boy your comment makes me laugh.

We will laugh together when we see 1.3615-1.3638 area end of day
  • #854,097
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:54am Nov 19, 2013 2:54am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Weren't you looking at 1.2800 for Christmas ?
You are referring to this post, the answer is yes ...

Quoting Vachus
{quote} Lower Kuroro, much lower ... I'm thinking 1.28 near December ! I will elaborate on the reasons later and why i hold this view
There is one reason for 1.28 /1.30 before December with one condition: EU CPI: 0.5 or lower ! ( This one can invalid everything else, including the feds) But i don't see it happening with Crude oil rallying 3 dollars..
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #854,098
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:58am Nov 19, 2013 2:58am
Quoting davidsayli
{quote} We will laugh together when we see 1.3615-1.3638 area end of day
you seem very sure…….I am worried about that.
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #854,099
  • Nov 19, 2013 2:59am Nov 19, 2013 2:59am
a turtle soup (long) EA on the hourly, in @ 4336 risking 13 pips
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #854,100
  • Nov 19, 2013 3:00am Nov 19, 2013 3:00am
Quoting davidsayli
{quote} We will laugh together when we see 1.3615-1.3638 area end of day
i have 3675 in mind
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