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AUD/USD

  • #69,661
  • Nov 14, 2013 11:17pm Nov 14, 2013 11:17pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} He means there's been heavy selling of the Eur/Aud cross (selling Eur, buying Aud). If that continues (buying Aud) it could push Aud/Usd higher. Aud/Usd has way more volume than Eur/Aud but heavy flow in that cross *could affect Aud/Usd as well.
Thank you. I have been trying to understand how crosses give you clues. I read about it in "Beat the Forex Dealer", but I am still fuzzy about the interpretation.
  • #69,662
  • Nov 15, 2013 12:24am Nov 15, 2013 12:24am
Failing to rally past .9350-55, am all short to .9290
  • #69,663
  • Nov 15, 2013 12:39am Nov 15, 2013 12:39am
Looks bullish to me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #69,664
  • Nov 15, 2013 1:22am Nov 15, 2013 1:22am
Quoting bogus
Looks bullish to me. {image}
Yes, today, my magic number .9330 seems to be supported.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #69,665
  • Nov 15, 2013 1:44am Nov 15, 2013 1:44am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Yes, today, my magic number .9330 seems to be supported.
Well come to bullish clan.

Risk still there, AUD might drop to 0.9250 area again. Based on the new FED's attitude to QE, I think 0.9200- 0.9300 is a bottom area. To reach 0.97 above, AUD needs very good news from China.
  • #69,666
  • Nov 15, 2013 1:58am Nov 15, 2013 1:58am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Do you mean when stocks rise, AUD will rise and vice versa when stocks falls?

Pretty much yeah, but that's too generalized. If i had to choose that type of cross asset correlation i would at least compare AUD to MSCI index.
  • #69,667
  • Nov 15, 2013 2:20am Nov 15, 2013 2:20am
Aussie always get attack in London session

  • #69,668
  • Nov 15, 2013 2:21am Nov 15, 2013 2:21am
damm aussie got hit again. I think there is dump and load.
  • #69,669
  • Nov 15, 2013 2:23am Nov 15, 2013 2:23am
Quoting zew
{quote} Well come to bullish clan. Risk still there, AUD might drop to 0.9250 area again. Based on the new FED's attitude to QE, I think 0.9200- 0.9300 is a bottom area. To reach 0.97 above, AUD needs very good news from China.

0.9250 is a durable bottom for long term. it could have dropped yesterday when rba officials came out talking abt high aussie. i haven't seen a currency as sold off as aussie.
  • #69,670
  • Nov 15, 2013 2:56am Nov 15, 2013 2:56am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Yes, today, my magic number .9330 seems to be supported.
Darmed! this number broken thru again. Lets see till the close of H4 candle.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #69,671
  • Nov 15, 2013 3:00am Nov 15, 2013 3:00am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} 0.9250 is a durable bottom for long term. it could have dropped yesterday when rba officials came out talking abt high aussie. i haven't seen a currency as sold off as aussie.

Where do you get .9250 from?
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #69,672
  • Nov 15, 2013 3:44am Nov 15, 2013 3:44am
I know people here are mostly chartists. But can anyone explain the USD bullishness across the board given yesterday bad job numbers and bad trade balance and Yellen sounding dovish?
  • #69,673
  • Nov 15, 2013 4:09am Nov 15, 2013 4:09am
Quoting trendpal
I know people here are mostly chartists. But can anyone explain the USD bullishness across the board given yesterday bad job numbers and bad trade balance and Yellen sounding dovish?
That the trend.. Strong bounce after Nfp.. Yellen did mention any new item.. Just same as the testi. after the testi released, usd is below 81.. Now they continue the trend
  • #69,674
  • Nov 15, 2013 5:02am Nov 15, 2013 5:02am
Thanks buddy for your viewpoint. I was thinking about what are the driving force of the market. In this case, it looks more like selling the facts after Yellen's testimony (although there is a bit of delay allowing the MMs to load up more shorts ).


Quoting k3nshinz3139
{quote} That the trend.. Strong bounce after Nfp.. Yellen did mention any new item.. Just same as the testi. after the testi released, usd is below 81.. Now they continue the trend
  • #69,675
  • Nov 15, 2013 5:18am Nov 15, 2013 5:18am
Good news from China coming. AUD bull
  • #69,676
  • Nov 15, 2013 5:21am Nov 15, 2013 5:21am
Quoting zew
Good news from China coming. AUD bull
Apparently some of the reforms are being released.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #69,677
  • Nov 15, 2013 5:31am Nov 15, 2013 5:31am
ie looking to break bearish trendline, maybe start of us session? Major confluence trendline on all timeframes. Im short the UJ although AU seems a lot more volatile right now. Kicking myself because I waste so much time. Money comes just making most efficient use of time is key.
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #69,678
  • Nov 15, 2013 3:19pm Nov 15, 2013 3:19pm
In a nutshell.

1. Australia, a large (area mass) country with 20 million people sitting on a huge stock pile of rocks that 2 billion people want. Resources boom and China Growth far from over.

2. AUD is better yielding than US & EUROPE whilst
  • #69,679
  • Nov 16, 2013 11:31am Nov 16, 2013 11:31am
on the face of it I see bullish ,but I don't believe without w1 confirmation poss w1 won't break ,d1 tl hold ,stay on short side on w1 view ,i think
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,680
  • Nov 16, 2013 3:03pm Nov 16, 2013 3:03pm
Quoting Bones
on the face of it I see bullish ,but I don't believe without w1 confirmation poss w1 won't break ,d1 tl hold ,stay on short side on w1 view ,i think {image} {image}
This is my first trade of the week and this one is easy, it is a 0.9330-45 buy limit , either wih a gap down or a quick push down followed by a rally above 0.9375 !
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