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AUD/USD

  • #68,621
  • Oct 28, 2013 11:30pm Oct 28, 2013 11:30pm
Aud/Usd daily chart harmonics


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  • #68,622
  • Oct 28, 2013 11:51pm Oct 28, 2013 11:51pm
Looking for a retrace to .9414 considering all things equal. A close below .9515 should do it.

The highs were just over 50% retracement of the 1.0597 high. Good retracement point IMO
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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #68,623
  • Oct 29, 2013 12:14am Oct 29, 2013 12:14am
Levels I am looking at. I'm short from .9170
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #68,624
  • Oct 29, 2013 12:25am Oct 29, 2013 12:25am
AUD/USD .9506 .. Looks to me like a clear break of .9480-90 level will see a slide to .9250
  • #68,625
  • Oct 29, 2013 12:32am Oct 29, 2013 12:32am
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD .9506 .. Looks to me like a clear break of .9480-90 level will see a slide to .9250
That's a mighty break down but a valid level.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #68,626
  • Oct 29, 2013 2:57am Oct 29, 2013 2:57am
Should .9500 go, look out below.
  • #68,627
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:15am Oct 29, 2013 3:15am
Itchy finger go for trade.. Long Aussie...
  • #68,628
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:18am Oct 29, 2013 3:18am
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Methinks, maybe this horse has bolted......... {image} {image}
I'm expecting a speed bump at 0.9460 followed by a decent bounce at 0.9345. This level should be the decider if Ozzie heads back up to parity, or carries on down to 0.80xx
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Money Makes Money
  • #68,629
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:37am Oct 29, 2013 3:37am
Quoting KiwiOz
{quote} Methinks, maybe this horse has bolted......... {image} {image}
Yep. Next stop probably 9445
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,630
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:41am Oct 29, 2013 3:41am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} just like everyone thought it bolted around the 9280 area when it dropped from 9520 (where we are now) somehow i don't think so. I would say bears use caution rather than bulls but thats just me
Not everyone. I called 9320/9280 as bottom of abc correction and was calling for a return higher to 9620. I was 120 pips off on the 9620 call, but so far I've been right on the zig zag action.
Now I am still calling for a move lower to 9445, and then we'll see.

Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Which is exactly why I have called for a resumption of the upward correction between 9320 and 9280
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,631
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:54am Oct 29, 2013 3:54am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Not everyone. I called 9320/9280 as bottom of abc correction and was calling for a return higher to 9620. I was 120 pips off on the 9620 call, but so far I've been right on the zig zag action. Now I am still calling for a move lower to 9445, and then we'll see.
You certainly did Piptrapper. Definitely can't rule out a move lower to 9445 maybe even 9400 but just another dip to buy for me.
  • #68,632
  • Oct 29, 2013 3:57am Oct 29, 2013 3:57am
Let's see how this 4h candle closes in a few minutes. Has really halted around where I expected it to find support. We'll soon see if it bounces or sinks lower
  • #68,633
  • Oct 29, 2013 4:01am Oct 29, 2013 4:01am
I'm long @ 12, expact retest of 9570 before USA data
  • #68,634
  • Oct 29, 2013 4:17am Oct 29, 2013 4:17am
RBA Governor Believes The Aussie To Weaken In The Future. so be careful to buy aud . AUD strength is not supported by the fundamentals.
  • #68,635
  • Oct 29, 2013 4:17am Oct 29, 2013 4:17am
Quoting SpartanTrade
{quote} You certainly did Piptrapper. Definitely can't rule out a move lower to 9445 maybe even 9400 but just another dip to buy for me.
I'll wait till we get to those levels before making a call on this, because if the USD gains some legs on USD profit taking (short covering) by the hedgies, it may go much lower. Then we have the FOMC event risk. If there is the slightest hint of taper before 2014, or if the masses decide that there was one, even if there wasn't, then I think we head towards finishing off that wave 5 (see chart)
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,636
  • Oct 29, 2013 4:23am Oct 29, 2013 4:23am
Quoting fxmusa
RBA Governor Believes The Aussie To Weaken In The Future. so be careful to buy aud . AUD strength is not supported by the fundamentals.
You are correct, but the market doesn't give a toss about Aussie fundamentals. They are only fixated on QE4EVA

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,637
  • Oct 29, 2013 5:06am Oct 29, 2013 5:06am
Hidden Bull Divergence on Daily?
  • #68,638
  • Oct 29, 2013 5:22am Oct 29, 2013 5:22am
Quoting Daniel1
Hidden Bull Divergence on Daily?
Yes eventually we will need to retest 9560/70, but this hidden divergence can extend quite a bit more first. Time will tell.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #68,639
  • Oct 29, 2013 5:38am Oct 29, 2013 5:38am
Quoting BobGnarly
{quote} I'm thinking of loading up on more longs here after the better than expected NZD trade balance, I will wait and see how the china PMI comes in.
Hey guys, after posting my cloud analysis the other day. I did buy a little on 4h cloud support and that brought 35 pips. But I stand corrected about my mid term view.. The dovish steven comments last night shifted fundamentals. Got short at.9550 and stop is at .9528. I was wrong about a move to.99. I amnot afraid to admit when I got it wrong but I trade what my charts tell me and it's making me some pips.


If I have any advice to a new trader. It would be, follow your strategy even when your bias has changed. I've gotten burned so many times when I had a TP in mind and kept fighting PA! Anyway look to sell dips until .9550 is taken out.
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  • #68,640
  • Oct 29, 2013 5:41am Oct 29, 2013 5:41am
Sell rallies* didnt mean dips... It's too early lol


also audnzd looks to be consolidating unless we break below 1.1444
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