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  • #847,721
  • Oct 28, 2013 5:44pm Oct 28, 2013 5:44pm
Showtime

Inserted Video
  • #847,722
  • Oct 28, 2013 5:48pm Oct 28, 2013 5:48pm
Quoting james2ko
anyone catch the easy 20+ on AU pairs?
Only 20 ?
  • #847,723
  • Oct 28, 2013 5:49pm Oct 28, 2013 5:49pm
Quoting james2ko
anyone catch the easy 20+ on AU pairs?
why you call it easy 20 pips? I saw it days ago.

I have a rule of toe. My toes sometime stink. But I still like my rule of toe.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #847,724
  • Oct 28, 2013 5:59pm Oct 28, 2013 5:59pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} why you call it easy 20 pips? I saw it days ago. I have a rule of toe. My toes sometime stink. But I still like my rule of toe.
my rule of toe. the rule of toe has been applied twice. this time of the chart below and last time http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post6978174

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie-daily_068.png Size: 39 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #847,725
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:01pm Oct 28, 2013 6:01pm
Quoting Miguel.N
why not momentum fly this way? {image}

you still guessing with those green and red arrows?
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #847,726
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:05pm Oct 28, 2013 6:05pm
Quoting timos
Guys,you should be buying this,there was a nice demand,i missed out but had the opprotunity to enter later when i came home See pic {image} It was in line with the weekly-monthly uptrend. Tim

pssssssssssssssst. - hey you should buy this! lol!!!

thanks - but uh....errrrrr ummmmmm....oh excuse me for a second - ahhhhh sorry about that.......ok ok....gathering myself here....

ah dam - can't gather myself -

thanks for the insightful post.

Cheers,

Faller
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #847,727
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:27pm Oct 28, 2013 6:27pm
Quoting Faller
{quote} pssssssssssssssst. - hey you should buy this! lol!!! thanks - but uh....errrrrr ummmmmm....oh excuse me for a second - ahhhhh sorry about that.......ok ok....gathering myself here.... ah dam - can't gather myself - thanks for the insightful post. Cheers, Faller
Ah,dont worry about me bro,all i lost was BE
If you see my chart,the stop was already at be
  • #847,728
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:27pm Oct 28, 2013 6:27pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} swissy has entered important (lower TF,s) resistance zone 8960 - 8965 but has big implications HTF,s
swissy and daily charts

daily present resistance plus previous support level worth an eyeball
hourly closer view of previous resistance, my calc is red box still in play as possible bottom for massive rally as long as the cluster of daily opens hold (orangelines) couple of minor tl,s white just minor fences at this stage for any rejection dips,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: swissy daily 29 10 2013.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: swissy 1hr b 28 10 2013.png Size: 51 KB
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #847,729
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:32pm Oct 28, 2013 6:32pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} swissy and daily charts daily present resistance plus previous support level worth an eyeball hourly closer view of previous resistance, my calc is red box still in play as possible bottom for massive rally as long as the cluster of daily opens hold (orangelines) couple of minor tl,s white just minor fences at this stage for any rejection dips, {image} {image}
I also see it go lower... weekly chart..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CHF Spot.png Size: 22 KB
  • #847,730
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:47pm Oct 28, 2013 6:47pm
DB Asia Spot Trading Morning Report:

EUR
Open 1.3785 Support 1.3770 1.3711 Resistance 1.3830 1.3850

Euro continues to consolidate 20 pts either side of 1.3800 with FX markets muted across the board.
The sideways holding pattern looks set to continue until we hopefully get some direction from the US data events later this week. Market is skewed towards a dovish FOMC so risk is to the upside for the USD on any less dovish than expected surprises.

AUD
Open 0.9573 Support 0.9530 Resistance 0.9630

Steven's speaks this morning at 9.30AM Syd time, we are not looking for anything major to come from this speech
AUD remains heavy in my opinion, that said we continue to close above 0.9530 and whilst that remains the case it is hard to present an overly compelling case to be short
I think we will break this level in the coming few sessions, technicals in my opinion are starting to turn and a close below 0.9530 should see some follow through
I prefer to express a short view via options, skew has flattened with this big move in AUD riskies and as such the case for being short via options now looks more compelling.

JPY
Open 97.70 Support 97.40(200 DMA) 96.05 Resistance 99.30(TL)
Open 134.70 Support 132.70 Resistance 135.50 138.00

JPY was range bound yesterday, the move was very gradual even Nikkei cash was up by over 2 %.
Book-wise; Balanced down to low 97s, then long-liquidation int below high 96s. Light offers on upside.
FOMC tomorrow night, RBNZ and BoJ Thursday. No local relevant release otherwise.
Coupled with stable overnight market, I feel like re-attempting to go long cross JPYs. Spot settlement date is month end, so there might be corporate interest to go through although I have no clue which side its bias will be.

NZD
Open 0.8300 Support 0.8270 Resistance 0.8340

Ranges are contracting ahead of Thursday's RBNZ rate decision and I expect interest and liquidity to be subdued until then
Sentiment is still favouring NZD underperformance so selling rallies for the moment is the preferred strategy

CAD
Open 1.0445 Support 1.0410 Resistance 1.0460

USDCAD has stalled for the moment and the risk in my view is for a small retracement lower in AUDCAD and NZDCAD
Buyers will look to take advantage of this little move lower closer to 1.04 in USDCAD

GBP
Open 1.6140 Support 1.6100/1.6100 Resistance 1.6225/1.6260

A quiet weekend for sterling as the mkt prepares for a fairly data intensive week with the FOMC meeting/ ADP on Wednesday. EURGBP continues to consolidate with a close below .8500 negating the upside bias. This morning we had the CBI reported sales that was the lowest reading since June @ 2 vs 32 expected….so I have cut back my EURGBP short at this time. Awaiting confirmation of a move lower.
Flow-wise cable has been sidelined as the range has been well-defined with a fair bit of pain in this 1% range. We have seen RM putting on renewed shorts while PWM/reserve names have been fairly quick to buy the dip.
We still like GBPAUD higher given the poor price action in AUD after some stronger data prints out of China/AU that should have taken it higher. And we will remain buyers of sterling down towards 1.6120/30 reducing under 1.6080..

CHF
Open 1.2340 Support 1.2280/1.2280 Resistance 1.2375/1.2400
Open 0.8957 Support 0.8880/.8920 Resistance 0.8970/.9010

USDCHF opens on the highs this morning as the technical picture looks to be showing signs of upside bias for USDCHF as positioning is fairly saturated long CHF and EURCHF longs were cleared out last week when the fears over Shibor ruffled the mkt. Very little Swiss specific data wise but we will have the PMI on Friday which may draw some attention.
  • #847,731
  • Oct 28, 2013 6:56pm Oct 28, 2013 6:56pm
Quoting chazzle
AU M5 go Aussie, don't be shy {image}

i think its going to .8306... i just figured it would happen after 1.0218
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #847,732
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:07pm Oct 28, 2013 7:07pm
lets light this candle... 3747 or and 3716
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 29 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #847,733
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:10pm Oct 28, 2013 7:10pm
seems like 3820-30 is where it's heading..
  • #847,734
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:17pm Oct 28, 2013 7:17pm
i am in love with next month pivot ~ 3695. it may go higher from here, but it will fall back to next month pivot.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #847,735
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:26pm Oct 28, 2013 7:26pm
waiting for 3780..
  • #847,736
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:29pm Oct 28, 2013 7:29pm
euro keeps making higher high the last few days, but cable is capped at 6260. when euro drops, cable bleeds.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #847,737
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm
Quoting attila
waiting for 3780..
hmm... tight L.
  • #847,738
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm
Quoting chazzle
{quote} reversed - see if I'm chasing my tail ...
and flat on EU - took ages
  • #847,739
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm Oct 28, 2013 7:31pm
Quoting Miguel.N
is that possible or carry on lower !? {image}

what do you think? maybe could be this? or maybe this? or maybe down or maybe up? gee I don't know what the heck is going on...I just keep drawing green red arrows and ask people what they think........

good luck to ya!

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #847,740
  • Oct 28, 2013 7:33pm Oct 28, 2013 7:33pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} my rule of toe. the rule of toe has been applied twice. this time of the chart below and last time http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post6978174 {image}
guys, i recommend my rule of toe. you can make money with my rule of toe with a reasonable stoploss.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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