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  • #845,881
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:03pm Oct 22, 2013 12:03pm
Weekly chart.

getting close to equal legs and 61.8 fib. Should see some confluence + resistance.

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  • #845,882
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:03pm Oct 22, 2013 12:03pm
Short 1.3787
  • #845,883
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:07pm Oct 22, 2013 12:07pm
Quoting chazzle
AU D1 M15 shorting Aussie - will have a 2nd entry in mid 9700s ish if it gets there ... lower 600s looks easily achievable {image} {image}
A/U can't be too far away from E/U

Probably this could temporarily helping short

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  • #845,884
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:10pm Oct 22, 2013 12:10pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} A/U can't be too far away from E/U Probably this could temporarily helping short {image}
Hi Ken,

i'm watching 0.9806 and 0.98200
  • #845,885
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:13pm Oct 22, 2013 12:13pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Hi Ken, i'm watching 0.9806 and 0.98200
Soon.

In this situation I would buy dip with bad Aussie data.

Still carry one long from .89xx. Too bad closed too early the rest. Oh well.
  • #845,886
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:14pm Oct 22, 2013 12:14pm
Quoting Ken A
Probably this could temporarily helping short {image}
at least it'll move it
  • #845,887
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:15pm Oct 22, 2013 12:15pm
Quoting Greener
{quote} this is possibly the direction for the week. things will change as soon as they realize they are not just dumping dollars but are also buying euros in the process.
weird statement
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,888
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:16pm Oct 22, 2013 12:16pm
Quoting chazzle
{quote} at least it'll move it
Just don't hold the short too long with bad data. It usually goes for demand then bounce.
  • #845,889
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:19pm Oct 22, 2013 12:19pm
Quoting attila
S at 3780
-5

where is a good old fashioned greek crisis when you need one?
  • #845,890
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:22pm Oct 22, 2013 12:22pm
swissy looks good to start building longs
  • #845,891
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:26pm Oct 22, 2013 12:26pm
Quoting attila
{quote} -5 where is a good old fashioned greek crisis when you need one?
Or some rating agencies to downgrade a EU country.

They usually do that after such rise
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #845,892
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:27pm Oct 22, 2013 12:27pm
I missed the upward move in EURUSD but because the price moved sideways on GBPJPY I manage to jump in there. Closed half at 39 pips and half of what remained at 73 pips. Still running a free trade with 20% of the position.
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If you're not part of the solution then you're part of the problem.
  • #845,893
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:27pm Oct 22, 2013 12:27pm
Posted this on Oct. 3...

Quoting BoringIsGood
The last few days of PA has forced me to rethink my long term wave analysis. I still think it's just a matter of time before price breaks thru 1.3710, but now 1.38 isn't the ceiling it's just the 2nd floor. It's still the likeliest reversal point for a corrective wave but a flat 4 towards 1.345/1.35 is the new leading candidate for the corrective wave.

Still valid analysis but I won't be picking any tops here, too many people still trying that despite today's stop run.
  • #845,894
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:29pm Oct 22, 2013 12:29pm
Quoting attila
{quote} -5 where is a good old fashioned greek crisis when you need one?

There might be a small one at 3802 - 07...
  • #845,895
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:31pm Oct 22, 2013 12:31pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} There might be a small one at 3802 - 07...
It's possible, that's an inflection point.
  • #845,896
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm
one more at 3786
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #845,897
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm
1.3800 now high probability
  • #845,898
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm Oct 22, 2013 12:32pm
Quoting Vachus
This is the first number comes out after the debt ceiling fight that shows what exactly happened before the fight.
Thats a good point. Number was pretty bad, but I think it still may be because of overflowed aparate of government and it will soon correct up. As you pointed out, market reacts viciously to all NFP releases and FOMC meetings. Though I still think thats very silly , as it is just one stupid number. Btw, my poor UJ is getting hit again, but meal was worth it .
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #845,899
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:33pm Oct 22, 2013 12:33pm
Quoting Ken A
Just don't hold the short too long with bad data.
AU D1

I'll be fast asleep but will keep a sl handy ... I'm liking this chart ... 1700+ pip drop in 4 months (quite a move these days) - and today we see the mid of that move ... with last year low in the high 500s - I can see it being capped at June(2013) high (close of daily) 760ish
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  • #845,900
  • Oct 22, 2013 12:33pm Oct 22, 2013 12:33pm
you can look at it this way.. end the month with a bang...

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