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  • #845,341
  • Oct 19, 2013 10:36am Oct 19, 2013 10:36am
Quoting Vachus
WE are defiantly going to a new weekly high next week on Eurusd ... * I read a cross Euro analysis, the writer said that the Euro crosses are holding the currency back. ( I think the more accurate word is slowing it down). Now, the interesting part Eurjpy might be turning from there! On the H1 /H4 there is a bearish setup ( A retrace). While Euro is holding up in 8 months high, EURCHF is at a week low, EURAUD 4 months low & Gold near a week high. {image}
I agree about new weekly highs, we'll see if there is a retrace first. Higher we go, riskier it is though.

What i can see is a move to 1,3800/1,4000, maybe squeeze up higher, and then i'll start a hardcore shorting process at the first sight of a daily reversal, for 1,31xx

But you know...this EURAUD/EURUSD messed up correlation is no good!
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #845,342
  • Oct 19, 2013 10:50am Oct 19, 2013 10:50am
buy low sell high....we are high...
  • #845,343
  • Oct 19, 2013 10:56am Oct 19, 2013 10:56am
Quoting Vitez
buy low sell high....we are high...
No offense....But No Wonder people lose money if they think like that
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #845,344
  • Oct 19, 2013 11:58am Oct 19, 2013 11:58am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote}But you know...this EURAUD/EURUSD messed up correlation is no good!
This messed up correlation could be a great trade ... but i'm still thinking about it ! ( The Euro index is holding up in a two years high, so i would say the index is a believer )
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #845,345
  • Oct 19, 2013 12:21pm Oct 19, 2013 12:21pm
Usdx and Cot.
http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX
Per aspera ad astra
  • #845,346
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:06pm Oct 19, 2013 1:06pm
Quoting jpadvisor
Usdx and Cot. http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX
I checked across many websites, there is no COT data update after Sep 24. The link you provided has data up to sep 24 also. It is more than 3 weeks old now. When you need the COT data at this critical moment, they just do not update. Fuck CME group. Fuck them.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,347
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:16pm Oct 19, 2013 1:16pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} I checked across many websites, there is no COT data update after Sep 24. The link you provided has data up to sep 24 also. It is more than 3 weeks old now. When you need the COT data at this critical moment, they just do not update. Fuck CME group. Fuck them.
you right, couldn't find a Cot report.
Per aspera ad astra
  • #845,348
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:19pm Oct 19, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting jpadvisor
{quote} you right, couldn't find a Cot report.
Due to the government shutdown, the Commitment of Traders report on positioning in CME currency futures is still unavailable.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #845,349
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:19pm Oct 19, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting jpadvisor
{quote} you right, couldn't find a Cot report.
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Due to the government shutdown, the Commitment of Traders report on positioning in CME currency futures is still unavailable.

the government shut down for just one week. but the cot data is more than 3 weeks old.

The dollar is at critical support level now, and the euro is touching one of the top weekly trendline. COT data could possibly give a hit where they might be going.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,350
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:29pm Oct 19, 2013 1:29pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} {quote} the government shut down for just one week. but the cot data is more than 3 weeks old. The dollar is at critical support level now, and the euro is touching one of the top weekly trendline. COT data could possibly give a hit where they might be going.
It was shutdown for 16 days.

http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/Co...ders/index.htm

  1. Special Announcement
    The Commitments of Traders reports previously scheduled for release on October 18th will not be published this week.

The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #845,351
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:35pm Oct 19, 2013 1:35pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} It was shutdown for 16 days. http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/Co...ders/index.htm Special Announcement The Commitments of Traders reports previously scheduled for release on October 18th will not be published this week.
I bet lot of banks already know the data. Only we public do not know the data.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,352
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:40pm Oct 19, 2013 1:40pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I agree about new weekly highs, we'll see if there is a retrace first. Higher we go, riskier it is though. What i can see is a move to 1,3800/1,4000, maybe squeeze up higher, and then i'll start a hardcore shorting process at the first sight of a daily reversal, for 1,31xx But you know...this EURAUD/EURUSD messed up correlation is no good!
around 1.39 likely. it may retrace a little before attacking 1.39 however.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,353
  • Oct 19, 2013 1:41pm Oct 19, 2013 1:41pm
hello guys...im new here...hope can get guide from this thread to improve my trade..thanks
  • #845,354
  • Oct 19, 2013 2:25pm Oct 19, 2013 2:25pm
Invisible, Anis, alexk721, Meister81, rehorst, MarcinB, Pitt Bull, mxb, Itrade24h, mercy seat <- Huhu, Du Micky-Maus. Nix zu tun in deinem kleinen Puff?

Had to take the opportunity.
  • #845,355
  • Oct 19, 2013 2:30pm Oct 19, 2013 2:30pm
Hello EUR/US

Many times on these up moves
somebody pulls the chain.
GBP/US did it last week
US/JPY does it all the time

EUR/US keeps climbing,I have have opened up my longs to 138TP

I thought 137 we would see a retrace.

My mistake was not loading up for this big up move

I kept closing longs to early,thinking it will take a massive turd

US/CHF low at 90 will load more longs,97 TP

US/GBP opened up longs 163.5

Been out played again,spending to much time

gambling in the YEN pairs,which is great fun.

But would have been better to loaded EUR/US longs 130 to 137

Did the same GBP/US kept taking small trades at it climbed 15 cents

Big question will the EUR/US bust through with out a retrace.

Any ideas on this
  • #845,356
  • Oct 19, 2013 3:16pm Oct 19, 2013 3:16pm
looking at the monthly chart of euro, since 9/2003, there is a grand cycle on average of 27 months. The only one cycle that missed was the 2008/2009 financial crisis. After that the cycle got back to sync. So very likely we are near the end of this up trend, and most part of next year is a down trend to be expected barring another financial crisis.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #845,357
  • Oct 19, 2013 10:43pm Oct 19, 2013 10:43pm
Quoting ffleo
looking at the monthly chart of euro, since 9/2003, there is a grand cycle on average of 27 months. The only one cycle that missed was the 2008/2009 financial crisis. After that the cycle got back to sync. So very likely we are near the end of this up trend, and most part of next year is a down trend to be expected barring another financial crisis. {image}
Drawn Some Demand and Supply levels.
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-milkeyway
  • #845,358
  • Oct 20, 2013 2:44am Oct 20, 2013 2:44am
Why everyone is picking on mercy seat?
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #845,359
  • Oct 20, 2013 3:44am Oct 20, 2013 3:44am
Quoting milam
Why everyone is picking on mercy seat?
That is way beyond my wildest imagination... that poor fella... Cookie?
  • #845,360
  • Oct 20, 2013 4:20am Oct 20, 2013 4:20am
Quoting ffleo
looking at the monthly chart of euro, since 9/2003, there is a grand cycle on average of 27 months. The only one cycle that missed was the 2008/2009 financial crisis. After that the cycle got back to sync. So very likely we are near the end of this up trend, and most part of next year is a down trend to be expected barring another financial crisis. {image}
ffleo incredible analysis,i agree 100% with you,i think since 1,37-1.38 we are going back to 1,10...elliot wave recount told me this...thanks for sharing your ideas,you are greatĦĦĦ
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