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Sonic R. System

  • #60,861
  • Oct 11, 2013 12:48pm Oct 11, 2013 12:48pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} UJ Long Trade Update: Added long Scout #5 Friday as the price was pushed below whole number on increased volume (PVSRA). {image}
UJ Long Trade Update: Closed trade for 634 pips gain.
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  • #60,862
  • Oct 11, 2013 12:58pm Oct 11, 2013 12:58pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} UCad Short Trade Update: Entered short Scouts #2-3 today as the price was pushed higher on increasing volume, particularly when price was pushed above the whole number. {image}
UCad Short Trade Update: Closed for 59 pips gain.
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  • #60,863
  • Oct 11, 2013 1:00pm Oct 11, 2013 1:00pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} UJ Long Trade Update: Closed trade for 634 pips gain. {image}
At least someone got profit today, nice
Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #60,864
  • Oct 11, 2013 1:03pm Oct 11, 2013 1:03pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} EJ Long Trade Update: Added long Scout #16 as the price dropped on increasing volume today. Adjusted TP. {image}
EJ Long Trade Update: Closed for 1787 pips gain.
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  • #60,865
  • Oct 11, 2013 1:23pm Oct 11, 2013 1:23pm
Quoting loeil
{quote} Msis125125, I just changed bar colors like they are in a old template. Green - 0,170,85.. red - 222,18,80 Old template colors are more brighter.

I meant this!
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There is no spoon....
  • #60,866
  • Oct 11, 2013 1:27pm Oct 11, 2013 1:27pm
Quoting traderathome
EG Long Trade: Entered long Scout #1 as the price dropped on increasing volume to previous lows. Looking at EJ, it is bullish. GU had some nice stopping volume yesterday, but is that for a trend reversal, or just stopping the drop so the MMs can raise the price to prepare for more downside? On lower TF charts it appears the higher activity is near the top of pushes up and then coming back down off of the pushes, which indicates bearishness. Taking these two things into consideration, EG long looks like a reasonable trade to make. TP is just below...
EG Long Trade: Closed trade for 31 pips gain. Subsequent to initial posting I added another Scout.
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  • #60,867
  • Oct 11, 2013 4:40pm Oct 11, 2013 4:40pm
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} Loeil could you please share your indi for red and green bars please.
Msis..... Good to Have you Back Man. With your knowledge you have lots to offer this thread. I will subscribe to your posts.
  • #60,868
  • Oct 12, 2013 12:07am Oct 12, 2013 12:07am
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} I meant this! {image}
is this my chart ? =P
  • #60,869
  • Oct 12, 2013 4:21am Oct 12, 2013 4:21am
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} I meant this! {image}
This is SupDem indi. Post #60130 and post #60115. There is many of them in the thread attachments too.
Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #60,870
  • Oct 12, 2013 4:23am Oct 12, 2013 4:23am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} EJ Long Trade Update: Closed for 1787 pips gain. {image}
Nice pips
Whatever is obvious is obviously wrong!"
  • #60,871
  • Oct 12, 2013 6:03am Oct 12, 2013 6:03am
Quoting loeil
{quote} This is SupDem indi. Post #60130 and post #60115. There is many of them in the thread attachments too.
Thanx Loeil, I will not trade for a while, I have lost great amount of money with GU, so a bit scared to trade now, maybe in a few months!
There is no spoon....
  • #60,872
  • Oct 12, 2013 7:42am Oct 12, 2013 7:42am
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} Thanx Loeil, I will not trade for a while, I have lost great amount of money with GU, so a bit scared to trade now, maybe in a few months!
Hey, with what % of your account did you enter those trades and how many trades did you open by what distance from one another?
  • #60,873
  • Oct 12, 2013 12:50pm Oct 12, 2013 12:50pm
PVSRA Results for 1st Twenty Eight Weeks
The following are the results of my trading the Sonic R. System using PVSRA to determine if it is a bull or bear market, and then trading the price action I see.

Week ending 04/05
1289 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 19 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/12
1891 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 28 parts (all parts winners), averaging 67+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/19
2160 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 31 parts (29 parts winners), averaging 69+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 04/26
2640 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 34 parts (all parts winners), averaging 77+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/03
2530 pips gained, 6 trades totaling 24 parts (23 parts winners), averaging 105+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/10
3050 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 92+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/17
1590 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 16 parts (all parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/24
3980 pips gained, 7 trades totaling 40 parts (33 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 05/31
4003 pips gained, 5 trades totaling 37 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts.

Week ending 06/07
9813 pips gained, 9 trades totaling 61 parts (53 parts winners), averaging 160+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/14
3900 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 15 parts (all parts winners), averaging 260+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/21
4620 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 33 parts (all parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 06/28
12,120 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 86 parts (82 parts winners), averaging 140+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/05
3,440 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 22 parts (18 parts winners), averaging 156+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/12
14,143 pips gained, 11 trades totaling 125 parts (115 parts winners), averaging 113+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/19
215 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 7 parts (all parts winners), averaging 30+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 07/26
1,170 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 25 parts (16 parts winners), averaging 46+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/02
10,850 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 102 parts (87 parts winners), averaging 106+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/09
7,784 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 72 parts (50 parts winners), averaging 108+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/16
(-250) pips gained, 1 trades totaling 3 parts (0 parts winners), averaging -83+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/23
6,750 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 49 parts (42 parts winners), averaging 137+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 08/30
6,785 pips gained, 8 trades totaling 68 parts (64 parts winners), averaging 99+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/06
178 pips gained, 2 trades totaling 6 parts (all parts winners), averaging 29+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/13
2,330 pips gained, 3 trades totaling 40 parts (34 parts winners), averaging 58+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/20
64,268 pips lost, 8 trades totaling 107 parts (6 parts winners), averaging -600 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 09/27
364 pips gained, 4 trades totaling 16 parts (8 parts winners), averaging 22+ pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/04
6,710 pips lost, 7 trades totaling 27 parts (11 parts winners), averaging -419 pips per each of all parts

Week ending 10/11
586 pips lost, 8 trades affected, 42 parts involved (34 parts gain, 7 parts lose), averaging -14 pips per each of all parts

All of these trades, all of the trade parts thereof, were posted real-time right here on the Sonic R. System thread, using crystal clear easy to understand charts and explanations regarding PVSRA reasons for entries, whether Classic or Scout trades.

Summary Week Twenty Eight
34,781 pips banked.
20,303 pips current draw down (net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
14,478 pips net gain (pips banked plus net loss of all open PVSRA trades).
517 pips weekly average net profit (weekly average net profit if all open PVSRA trades instantly closed).

Additional Remarks
I have one open non-PVSRA trade (first entered many months prior to PVSRA) that is down 20,303 pips (EJ short).

Final Remarks
I had 5 new trades this week, comprised of 34 components (all profitable), closed for 2,831 pips gain. Meanwhile, 7 components of 3 older running trades hit margin call causing a loss of 3,417 pips. This was another week of lost ground, but the net loss was little, so the tide is turning. The 8 older trades running still have a significant number of components with a good potential for profits once this "market topping" comes to an end. I say "topping" because the xxxUSD and the xxxJPY pairs have been showing weakness, but the USD pairs cannot be considered for a reversal until the USofA resolves its debt ceiling issue, and because the JPY pairs have also not yet reversed.

-tah
  • #60,874
  • Edited 7:39pm Oct 12, 2013 7:02pm | Edited 7:39pm
My observation on EU

During the last few hours of Friday the highest volume was after London close. I see this as very significant given that the US MM's were the only ones trading and it was Friday afternoon when volume is usually a bit less. I see this one as bearish early in the week ahead.

Any Sonisers see it this way?

Edit: Same is showing on other timeframes H1 & M5
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  • #60,875
  • Oct 12, 2013 7:48pm Oct 12, 2013 7:48pm
Quoting FXDrJ
My observation on EU During the last few hours of Friday the highest volume was after London close. I see this as very significant given that the US MM's were the only ones trading and it was Friday afternoon when volume is usually a bit less. I see this one as bearish early in the week ahead. Any Sonisers see it this way? {image}
Have You Also Observed Instructions to Read Indicator User Notes?

Bullish, because right at/after the London close the US MMs tanked the price on lower volume but with that volume at it's highest where the lows were reached.

FXDrJ,

You make the case that everyone should heed the instructions in the releasing post of the TAH indicators. Your market vLines are not where they should be. And, if you took this picture of yours (below) on the weekend without a live data feed, it is understandable that the vLines are not where they should be. Had you read the User Notes, you'd have known this and what to do about it. Your vLines should be where mine are. And they will be if you do what I do on the weekends,....what the instructions in the User Notes say to do.

As a result of not following instructions in the beginning, you do not fully understand the indicators you are using, and the result today is that you have made an incorrect analysis.

The London session MMs heavily bought, and the price went up. The price was manipulated back down for more buying by the time the US opened. The US MMs whipped the price down and back up, all on increasing volume indicating that entire range between the half number and the 3/4 number was their zone to load up longs. After the LS closed, in the lighter resistance to price movement, the MMs brought the price to where they wanted it, lower. And once they got the price lower, they started buying it back up. This is indicative of building a long position. If this analysis is correct (and it is just my opinion) then the market will be taking EU higher, or at least support EU, so long as the US debt ceiling issue is unresolved.

-tah
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  • #60,876
  • Oct 12, 2013 9:08pm Oct 12, 2013 9:08pm
TAH, Is V3 still the current for your indies? I ask because that is what I have downloaded from one of your post (5/25/2013, as pointed to from post #1), but I see in your above screen cap you have a vLine titled 'F', just before London Open. I am not getting where that came from. Looked at the Control Panel notes and code and do not see where that could be specified. Just want to be sure I have the right code before getting too deep. Thanks.
  • #60,877
  • Oct 12, 2013 9:19pm Oct 12, 2013 9:19pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} Have You Also Observed Instructions to Read Indicator User Notes? Bullish, because right at/after the London close the US MMs tanked the price on lower volume but with that volume at it's highest where the lows were reached. FXDrJ, You make the case that everyone should heed the instructions in the releasing post of the TAH indicators. Your market vLines are not where they should be. And, if you took this picture of yours (below) on the weekend without a live data feed, it is understandable that the vLines are not where they should be. Had...
Overlooked. Thanks Tah I will go back and make adjustments.
  • #60,878
  • Oct 12, 2013 9:27pm Oct 12, 2013 9:27pm
Quoting funwithbux
TAH, Is V3 still the current for your indies? I ask because that is what I have downloaded from one of your post (5/25/2013, as pointed to from post #1), but I see in your above screen cap you have a vLine titled 'F', just before London Open. I am not getting where that came from. Looked at the Control Panel notes and code and do not see where that could be specified. Just want to be sure I have the right code before getting too deep. Thanks.
05-25-2013 is the latest release. Upgrade coming. Just not sure when.
  • #60,879
  • Oct 12, 2013 9:40pm Oct 12, 2013 9:40pm
TAH, would you like give me some analysis about Gold. I need to sell my phisycal gold to buy a new property in my hometown, but I don't know if this is the right moment to sell my gold. I see huge volume at low, is it stopping volume for further drop or is it MM's buying? what do you think for long term period? Sorry my poor English. Oh I think the news on Saturday about bad China's trade balance maybe give big gap on Monday. Thanks.

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  • #60,880
  • Oct 13, 2013 7:36am Oct 13, 2013 7:36am
Quoting Conorado
TAH, would you like give me some analysis about Gold. I need to sell my phisycal gold to buy a new property in my hometown, but I don't know if this is the right moment to sell my gold. I see huge volume at low, is it stopping volume for further drop or is it MM's buying? what do you think for long term period? Sorry my poor English. Oh I think the news on Saturday about bad China's trade balance maybe give big gap on Monday. Thanks. {image} {image}
Grinding Teeth on Gold?

Hi Conorado,

I can't advise. Lots of folks have opinions about where gold is headed, what gold is going to do, and they all have their reasons. They don't all agree. Who is correct?

I have posted my opinions on gold, that big governments and big banks are in co-hoots to drive prices down. The big banks do this because they get reign with governments blessings, to manipulate prices so they can make money on the way down. The big governments want this so they can buy at ever reducing prices to stock pile and replace missing gold leased out,....some of which will never be recovered as countries go belly up. Gold will bolster the big governments in the case their currencies collapse.

As for right now? I see the action revealed on M15 as bearish because there was a period starting just before the Frankfurt open during which the volume increased, and kept increasing right up to the drop. To me, this looks like MMs building short before the fall they knew was coming. As for whether or not the fall was to a strong bottom, or just to a level where the banks started supporting the price again in order to close shorts, I do not know. After such a drop, the best is to stand back and see which way the wind blows, what clues PVSRA might provide.

Certainly, based on the Week chart, gold is in a down trend. The best sellers might look for now is for price to retrace a bit, maybe to the 1347.00 area. That is, again, just an opinion based only on historic PA.
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