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AUD/USD

  • #67,301
  • Oct 9, 2013 9:56pm Oct 9, 2013 9:56pm
how deep aud will fall ? 0.91 ?
  • #67,302
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:04pm Oct 9, 2013 10:04pm
Quoting alam88009
how deep aud will fall ? 0.91 ?
.93810 then pull back to get short

Edit: I think we are going to get into the .9370 area
  • #67,303
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:04pm Oct 9, 2013 10:04pm
yaaaay our long waited volatility is here, yaaaaay
deeper is better, we'll trade this pair like crazy

building my buy, 1 cent at a time
  • #67,304
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:25pm Oct 9, 2013 10:25pm
Quoting Gwan
yaaaay our long waited volatility is here, yaaaaay deeper is better, we'll trade this pair like crazy building my buy, 1 cent at a time

Buy? No man, sell. Lol
  • #67,305
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:37pm Oct 9, 2013 10:37pm
Quoting tony95
{quote} Buy? No man, sell. Lol
weekly pivot hold for 2nd time..
another attempt to 95?
  • #67,306
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:39pm Oct 9, 2013 10:39pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} weekly pivot hold for 2nd time.. another attempt to 95?
I think the long trade is over. It is possible, but not likely. IMHO
  • #67,307
  • Oct 9, 2013 10:42pm Oct 9, 2013 10:42pm
Quoting tony95
{quote} I think the long trade is over. It is possible, but not likely. IMHO
0.9395 is strong support.. weekly pivot and also structure horizontal support...
if we close below this week.. next week will be nasty...
  • #67,308
  • Oct 9, 2013 11:07pm Oct 9, 2013 11:07pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-10-10_0004.png Size: 134 KB


The rectangle is the biggest obstacle on the chart. Once we break through that... it is all over but the crying. All the pivots yield downsloping forks. Good chance we will go down. I think we test CashFX .9440 will be a good place to try to get short. Wish me luck.
  • #67,309
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:08am Oct 10, 2013 12:08am
i see idiots everywhere....

why do you think unemployment rates dropping is good news?? when its actually bad...
when you guys look at unemployment rates you also got to see whether if participation rates have dropped or not...
if unemployment rate does drop on unchanged participation rate then thats good news...

sadly that is not the case...
unemployment rate dropped because of a drop in participation rate.. the Labour force in Australia is shirking...

no sign to be optimistic.

Quote

  1. Australia September Employment change: +9.1k (vs. expected +15.0k)
  2. Australia September Unemployment rate: 5.6% (vs. expected 5.8%)
  3. Full-time Employment change: +5.0k (prior -2.6k)
  4. Part-time employment change: +4.1k (prior -8.2k)
  5. Participation rate: 64.9% (prior 65.0%, expected 65.0%)

Unemployment drops – attributed to the fall in the participation rate (low since November 2006)

Employment growth is positive, but not impressive – comes in lower than expected

AUD has jumped a little, 65/67 as I type. Some stops taken out above 0.9460 but an uninspiring sort of move on an uninspiring bunch of results.
-From the Australian Bureau of Statistics:


It baffles me how people in forexfactory doesnt know how to interpret these fundamental data... thinking a drop in unemployment rate is always a good thing is just amateur thinking... Need to look at participation rate....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #67,310
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:11am Oct 10, 2013 12:11am
Quoting fxtyrant
i see idiots everywhere.... why do you think unemployment rates dropping is good news?? when its actually bad... when you guys look at unemployment rates you also got to see whether if participation rates have dropped or not... if unemployment rate does drop on unchanged participation rate then thats good news... sadly that is not hte case... unemployment rate dropped because of a drop in participation rate.. the Labour force in Australia is shirking... no sign to be optimistic. {quote}
Isn't the problem that this is bad data anyway? Just study the chart and manage the money. Fundamentals are dead?
  • #67,311
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:15am Oct 10, 2013 12:15am
Quoting tony95
{quote} Isn't the problem that this is bad data anyway? Just study the chart and manage the money. Fundamentals are dead?
Well Fundamentals can reverse markets, but the market isnt in reversal up to being bullish when it has already corrected up to 0.95 and that we are near that top at 0.9450
but we can see fundamentals just isnt there for the Australian Dollar to be this high against the dollar... so for me its a sign of bear continuation and a lot of bulls are getting trapped

and yes i do trade on the technicals and technicals has been Sell Sell Sell for me infact i racked up 2 recent sell contracts up close to 0.9450
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #67,312
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:22am Oct 10, 2013 12:22am
Attached Image
  • #67,313
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:39am Oct 10, 2013 12:39am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
{image}
  • #67,314
  • Oct 10, 2013 12:47am Oct 10, 2013 12:47am
Quoting tony95
{quote}
still bearish aud ?
  • #67,315
  • Oct 10, 2013 1:37am Oct 10, 2013 1:37am
Quoting fxtyrant
i see idiots everywhere.... why do you think unemployment rates dropping is good news?? when its actually bad... when you guys look at unemployment rates you also got to see whether if participation rates have dropped or not... if unemployment rate does drop on unchanged participation rate then thats good news... sadly that is not the case... unemployment rate dropped because of a drop in participation rate.. the Labour force in Australia is shirking... no sign to be optimistic. {quote} It baffles me how people in forexfactory doesnt know how to...
sometimes.. idiots make more money..
  • #67,316
  • Oct 10, 2013 3:59am Oct 10, 2013 3:59am
Quoting tony95
{quote} Buy? No man, sell. Lol

ah, it bounced, near opening price, mmm, sell
  • #67,317
  • Oct 10, 2013 4:20am Oct 10, 2013 4:20am
Good Morning !
Today's S/R Levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE
AUDUSD
EURJPY
S&P500
GOLD
And Euro template from 04-02-13 euro

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post7017186
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #67,318
  • Oct 10, 2013 5:42am Oct 10, 2013 5:42am
I am not buying any Aussies until 9210. Selling from here is the obvious play if you want to trade the roo today eh?
  • #67,319
  • Oct 10, 2013 5:43am Oct 10, 2013 5:43am
Really I am looking for spot to get long on EA and target 146-147, so that agrees with looking for a spot to short AU
  • #67,320
  • Oct 10, 2013 5:55am Oct 10, 2013 5:55am
This is what i think the AUDUSD is going to do.... a nice M Shaped pattern forming....

This is could actually play out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 20131010.1054.gmt.audusd.h4.png Size: 40 KB
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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