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  • #839,101
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:05pm Sep 30, 2013 12:05pm
They still want the HH into ~3580.. key determination point, thus a magnet. Watching for the possible 5wave completion, depending on PA upon hitting there. In all cases, makes it there or not, 3470-90 break fully confirms ~3380 tgt (or lower).

HH rejection likely to complete the zigzag and 5-in-5 wave combo, leading to 5th wave reversal towards ~3380 target. But if the HH sustains, or market pushes through that upper zone... next station not until 3660-80.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2013-09-30_baseline_img1_scenario_clean_240min.png Size: 147 KB
Patience, persistence and probabilities.
  • #839,102
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:18pm Sep 30, 2013 12:18pm
closed L for now..
  • #839,103
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:24pm Sep 30, 2013 12:24pm
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  • #839,104
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:26pm Sep 30, 2013 12:26pm
Quoting attila
closed L for now..
didn't go high enough to warrant another short, so I'll stick with what I have..
  • #839,105
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:28pm Sep 30, 2013 12:28pm
Quoting attila
{quote} didn't go high enough to warrant another short, so I'll stick with what I have..

what´s the max. leverage you allow yourself on a position - is there a fixed rule?
  • #839,106
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:29pm Sep 30, 2013 12:29pm
Poor bull trapped very nicely in bigger TF
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #839,107
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:30pm Sep 30, 2013 12:30pm
Quoting Myo
{quote} what´s the max. leverage you allow yourself on a position - is there a fixed rule?
as I trade without SL, I underleverage.. I was once asked what's my risk of ruin... for total loss I need over 1500 consecutive losses.. and that's a near impossibility.. I increase the trade size monthly, based on what the previous made..
  • #839,108
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:31pm Sep 30, 2013 12:31pm
this week is show time BIG TIME. Lots of data.
i will stay away of all pairs.
Eur wants a test of highs 1.37
also 1.3340 1.3220 as extention
august was red. September green. who know how this will end.
  • #839,109
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:42pm Sep 30, 2013 12:42pm
Happy i'm back here and seeing the euro at the same price i left it

Still eyeing higher, no shorts yet
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #839,110
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:49pm Sep 30, 2013 12:49pm
Quoting Fx-gtg
this week is show time BIG TIME. Lots of data. i will stay away of all pairs. Eur wants a test of highs 1.37 also 1.3340 1.3220 as extention august was red. September green. who know how this will end.
Price has no memory, it has ADD..
  • #839,111
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:51pm Sep 30, 2013 12:51pm
Inserted Video

Inserted Video


eurusd uppppppppppp-----------1,36510 minim
gold upppp--------------------------1,359 minim
  • #839,112
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:54pm Sep 30, 2013 12:54pm
Direction will be decided today.
  • #839,113
  • Sep 30, 2013 12:59pm Sep 30, 2013 12:59pm
seems we're shutting down, and so no nfp Friday.
  • #839,114
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:02pm Sep 30, 2013 1:02pm
Quoting attila
seems we're shutting down, and so no nfp Friday.
But if the shut down should happen, doesn't that mean Feds will have a reason to continue QE till further notice ... ( Perhaps this may explain why equities are been sold hard while Eur is faring ).
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #839,115
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:05pm Sep 30, 2013 1:05pm
It has to break 3570 to test previous highs. One pip over and it's going up. I don't care where it goes but I need the retrace to get back to BE.
Taigen Profit This Month: na
  • #839,116
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:18pm Sep 30, 2013 1:18pm
does the shutdown=long euro?
  • #839,117
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:18pm Sep 30, 2013 1:18pm
Quoting Vachus
{quote} But if the shut down should happen, doesn't that mean Feds will have a reason to continue QE till further notice ... ( Perhaps this may explain why equities are been sold hard while Eur is faring ).
I don't think it matters what the fed does...
  • #839,118
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:19pm Sep 30, 2013 1:19pm
EurUsd...
Very possible — targets 1.3857-1.4167
http://s2.ipicture.ru/uploads/20130930/E37YL5Qc.png
  • #839,119
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:20pm Sep 30, 2013 1:20pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I don't think it matters what the fed does...
If the muppets in Congress can't get their shit together, the fed can't do much anymore..

And this is just the warm up.. waiting for the debt ceiling fight.. that's a biggie
  • #839,120
  • Sep 30, 2013 1:46pm Sep 30, 2013 1:46pm
WASHINGTON, Sept 30 (Reuters) - A senior Republican in the U.S. House of Representatives on Monday said he thought there would not be a shutdown of federal government agencies at midnight, but he did not provide details on how that might be avoided.
"I think we are not going to shut down the government. We are going to do the right thing," said Representative Pete Sessions, the chairman of the powerful House Rules Committee. "This is halftime," Sessions said.
Sessions made his remark to reporters before entering a closed meeting of House Republicans.
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