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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #37,481
  • Sep 28, 2013 9:14am Sep 28, 2013 9:14am
Quoting umair55
{quote} is that means there is no chance that it will go above 99??
It means that when your bet went the opposite direction and you are losing money you remember God and start praying that it comes back to your entry point to where you can at least exit without a loss or with a minimal loss.
  • #37,482
  • Sep 28, 2013 9:44am Sep 28, 2013 9:44am
Quoting umair55
Anyone can who tell me that how worse it will go down in worse secnario???
Before what, it comes back to 99.00? I could see this pair heading down to 92.50 area, and possibly even lower than that, before any substantial reversal. Of course, it won't go in a straight line down, and there might be some spikes upwards to relieve some bears of their positions, but there is a great risk of going all the way down to 92.50 before we see 99.00 again. 99.00 is fully tested and if price did manage to go back up there, you might want to hang on to the long at that point.

The absolute worst case scenario for a bull right now is very bleak. The rise that started a year ago at 77.00 is very steep. It is possible that USDJPY nose dives just like it exploded upwards. Who knows where it bottoms out then. The downside risk for a bull is HUGE at this point! Some of you guys need to learn to take a loss. If you keep getting stopped its because you're not good at trading yet. No stop-loss is suicide.
  • #37,483
  • Sep 28, 2013 10:32am Sep 28, 2013 10:32am
My Views,

I will keep close eye on 97.50 LVL, where the two TL are intersecting with some horizontal S/R. The price has particularly done well whenever it went on hitting the downtrend line. It wont be wrong to attempt longs at that LVL IMO. One have to watch the exposure though, I wont risk too many pips rather I would like to risk 20-30 pips to see if this LVL holds. If fails then I will attempt longs on lower levels. It all melts down to PA at that particular moment when price is trading the marked LVL's. I will wait for hourly bullish close or some sort of chart pattern at lower TF at that LVL to decide my entries. As I said its all about risk. Risk / Trade management is name of the game!

Cheers
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Risk / Trade Management is the name of the Game
  • #37,484
  • Sep 28, 2013 12:35pm Sep 28, 2013 12:35pm
Which way on monday?

slightly different tls

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  • #37,485
  • Sep 28, 2013 2:33pm Sep 28, 2013 2:33pm
Quoting eliteincome
Hello Zappa Yeah everybody talking massive downs moves etc One thing about the YEN pairs they move heaps. This allows you a second chance to fix some of the mistakes that most of us make. I will check out that EUR/GBP Got some pendings down low AUS/NZ 5 year low good we earners:nerd:
caution with audnzd, sidney might be printing, oh yeah, we know the feeling, lol
1.12 seems not to be the bottom.
nzd. i still need 3-5 days to tell you if if its strong or not. i'm watching nzdusd these days
ej can still go down bigtime, but i think audnzd can be a good play in a few weeks. i may leave the yen pairs, mr. kuroda got out of its mind
i hit ej right into the head on friday and made some good cash, but i'm out for the weekend.

uj, looked once more at this one. this fall may go up to 96-97, i don't think lower, but again, it depends on who prints more, lol

i'll print something me too , recovering from the ugly spike sept 19, uh that hurt.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #37,486
  • Sep 28, 2013 4:29pm Sep 28, 2013 4:29pm
Hello YEN Masters

This YEN down move or any down is only a problem

if you are carrying to many longs.

That would be me an many others,some under water now

Up an down will happen in all the charts

GBP/US 148 to 162 it might keep going

NZ/US 77.5 to 84

AUS/US 88.5 to 95

EUR/US talking 137 etc

If the US/JPY creeps down I been shorting EUR/YEN

The EUR/YEN Beast nearly smoked 135

We have now until the end off the year

Are we at a turning point were we should be looking

at the US getting really strong.

Massive down move,wind down your longs.

Does anybody here have any in sites for the next 3 months etc
  • #37,487
  • Sep 28, 2013 4:32pm Sep 28, 2013 4:32pm
watch for your weekly set up,the bulls are comming,,also 200 ema,it tell you that bearish is over.
  • #37,488
  • Sep 28, 2013 8:04pm Sep 28, 2013 8:04pm
Quoting pfernandez
What do you think about this? USDJPY is trying to break the 38.6 level. Is it going for the 50% level? {image}
-I think that forex pair USD / JPY in session tomorrow's mainstream trend fast up. MACD signal line has slowed down, more ADX (14) started poking up:
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  • #37,489
  • Sep 28, 2013 9:45pm Sep 28, 2013 9:45pm
Currencies seem quite rigged and manipulated these days. When the charts point to a bullish pattern and everyone is bullish we tank and when everyone is bearish with charts point to a bearish pattern Dollar reverses and turns bullish. With all this QE money or cash on hand they literally can change the direction of currency movement with a push of a buy or sell button on a computer. Only safe time to buy is after major gains or major losses. Any time in between is a gamble that can lead to major losses.
  • #37,490
  • Sep 29, 2013 12:25am Sep 29, 2013 12:25am
Quoting enterfx
Which way on monday? slightly different tls {image}
My eyes will be particularly on falling TL, I believe thats good established line than the rising TL. Probability on monday is down to falling TL & bounce from there, or gap down & from falling TL rise up...Just I have to wait few more hours to know the truth. Thanks for your chart, that made me interested in opening price too.
Risk / Trade Management is the name of the Game
  • #37,491
  • Sep 29, 2013 1:35am Sep 29, 2013 1:35am
I wish it opens near 99 :-p
  • #37,492
  • Sep 29, 2013 1:38am Sep 29, 2013 1:38am
Quoting umair55
Anyone can who tell me that how worse it will go down in worse secnario???
Be patient...... when everybody say it will fall it doesnt fall... lol
  • #37,493
  • Sep 29, 2013 2:22am Sep 29, 2013 2:22am
Quoting iahmedz
{quote} Be patient...... when everybody say it will fall it doesnt fall... lol
I wish ur words come true
  • #37,494
  • Sep 29, 2013 2:28am Sep 29, 2013 2:28am
a view
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Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #37,495
  • Sep 29, 2013 6:28am Sep 29, 2013 6:28am
Quoting enterfx
Which way on monday? slightly different tls {image}
I will be watching the Nikkei. If last week's generally depressive feeling continues then I expect UJ to continue down.....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #37,496
  • Sep 29, 2013 9:37am Sep 29, 2013 9:37am
Hi everyone,

I' m new on this site, understanding what you guys wrote before, If i'm currently long USDJPY... I should put my stop arround 97 or just below SMA200 on a daily chart ?

Do you know a website where I could read stories about ''normal people'' that became profitable traders or stuff like that ? What makes the difference between the 5-10% that succeed and all the others ?

Regards,

Alex
  • #37,497
  • Sep 29, 2013 12:06pm Sep 29, 2013 12:06pm
My spy told me USD is about to drop 1000 pips in this or next week. :-o I will hedge my one n only long :-p
  • #37,498
  • Sep 29, 2013 1:16pm Sep 29, 2013 1:16pm
early for down this week is uptrend.
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  • #37,499
  • Sep 29, 2013 2:10pm Sep 29, 2013 2:10pm
Gaps on all JPY Pairs 50-110 pips down

http://forex.tradingcharts.com/chart...Set=JPY_majors
  • #37,500
  • Sep 29, 2013 2:25pm Sep 29, 2013 2:25pm
and now? more and more -70 - -150 down, it is more better
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